NCAA Tournament Semifinal 6:00pm - Michigan State vs. Connecticut: Under 134

Analysis:

This is going to be a low scoring ugly hard fought defensive battle. Forget the 130's or maybe even the 120's because the final total of this game could be in the 110's range when all is said and done. These are two teams that will be hard pressed to find easy shots in this game. Everything will be contested. Neither team presses very often. Neither team turns the ball over very much meaning very few opportunities for easy transition baskets. Neither team fouls a lot which means very little points coming at the line with the clock stopped. Both teams will run time off the shot clock with their possessions. So where are the baskets going to come from? We must also keep in mind that both teams will have to adjust to playing in a cavernous environment for a basketball game in a football type of stadium the size of Ford Field which is a situation where your shooting eye can really be thrown off because the players aren't used to playing in such a big stadium where gauging shot ranges becomes much more difficult and that could result in even more scoring droughts during the game some of which could last for a couple minutes in addition to all the defensive elements in this game. All of these factors should add up to an under and the chances are good that it could come fairly easy. The only way I see this game going over the total is if it goes to overtime and we'll take our chances that it won't.

Enjoy the games and good luck.