bodio's Blog

Bodio's NHL Thur 10/06

By bodio | View all Posts
Posted Thursday, October 06, 2011 03:19 PM   47 comments
I'll reiterate again that I don't handicap NHL. I can't even name 5 players in the league. I do handicap odds movement and situations. Basically, this hockey betting system is predicated on the fact that there is just not that many people wagering on this sport. Therefore, major 'odds' moves are more so influenced by the 'sharps' than some of the more popular sports like football, basketball, and baseball. Hopefully the system shows the profit again this year.

I'm going to play 1/3 of my normal bet amount on these wagers.
Let's get to it:


2011 NHL

#1: Philadelphia Flyers +120

Good luck!


=========================================
Updated records:

'10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130
'10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600
'10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800
'10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400
'10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400
'10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200
'10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400
'10 NBA: 151-99 @ 60% for +$42,100
'10 NBAP: 30-26 @ 54% for +$1,400
'10 NHL: 18-9 @ 67% for +$6,175
'10 NHLP: 16-7 @ 70% for +$5,575

'11 MLB: 201 -155 @ 56% for +$27,810
----------------------------------------------------

TOTAL: 616-432 @ 59% for +$135,390

_________________
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned"
47 comments
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ats_mike says:
10/06/11 03:20PM
love it BOL
215Hustler says:
10/06/11 03:21PM
GL
xbaggypants says:
10/06/11 03:21PM
WOW, nice to see you posting in the NHL fourm!
ionutt79 says:
10/06/11 03:22PM
nice play Bodio, I think this match going to under 5.5

good luck
newdawg says:
10/06/11 03:28PM

BOL

Mboyd05 says:
10/06/11 03:46PM
Thanks for the picks and all your info! Whats you thoughts on CFB tonight?
TucsonClip says:
10/06/11 04:01PM
Already down to +110
johnnyflynn says:
10/06/11 04:02PM
MarchMadness05 says:
10/06/11 04:04PM
BOL on flyers also
JMAG says:
10/06/11 04:18PM
Hey bodio do you know if Bodog has 1st period NHL lines?
yogz1 says:
10/06/11 04:24PM
gl bodio.....
JMAG says:
10/06/11 04:29PM


ah I see
What does it mean for a book to be 'square'?
Jimmus says:
10/06/11 04:39PM
Best of luck, Bodio!

 - Jimmus
luiko1 says:
10/06/11 04:46PM
bodio @ Nhl wow,, jajaj
i do not handicapp this sport ,,,but i really like the underdogs here
just take them!
i like also penguins +145! <<<this is my first play jeje 
GL!
TorontoJoey says:
10/06/11 04:56PM
BOL BODIO
Absolutxedge22 says:
10/06/11 04:56PM


Yes, it is under nhl team props.
JMAG says:
10/06/11 05:03PM


Oh ok, thanks
JMAG says:
10/06/11 05:04PM


Oh nice, thanks man
HoustonSports says:
10/06/11 05:05PM
08Cubs says:
10/06/11 05:06PM
Bodio, I love following your feeds, but can you refresh my memory as to what your normal bet is? You mentioned in this thread you will only be betting 1/3 of your normal bet on NHL. Thanks!
JMAG says:
10/06/11 05:07PM
It has the First period lines for each team, but not both teams OVER/UNDERS
DDH420 says:
10/06/11 05:09PM

Posted by DDH420
56 minutes ago

Personally I'm leaning towards the Bruins tonight. They are

missing Recci and Ryder is gone but other than that their team is intact

and I don't think the "hangover" will be an issues on opening night

with the ceremonies and crowd going looney.

 I also think PHI may need

some time to get their team chemistry going. You can't drop 130 points

and two huge pieces of your team and expect to not skip a beat. I think

long term this may be a good move for their team but asking for instant

results may be a bit much.

 Bryzgalov could be solid off the hop (still

way overpaid for not winning fuckall IMO) but there is always the worry

of a miscommunication with a new teammate that could cost them.

Then I also found this which I found interesting:

Thomas, who is 14-2-2 with a 2.06 GAA in 18 career meetings with Philadelphia, including the playoff sweep.

Of the 20 players Philadelphia dressed for Game 4 of the conference

semifinal series against the Bruins in May, 11 won't be around for this

season's opener.


The Flyers cut ties with eight forwards (Carter, Richards, Leino,

Versteeg, Nikolay Zherdev, Powe, Betts and Carcillo) who combined for

117 goals with them. The eight forwards who will replace them combined

for 36 last season.


DDH420 says:
10/06/11 05:14PM

Posted by DDH420
33 minutes ago

I was excited for the start of the NHL season but I'm

catching a few headaches this afternoon. I'm opening up a few accounts

online cuz my current book doesn't offer regulation (60 minute) bets in

NHL and I fucking hate shootouts. Mostly when betting on them and having

a handful of units coming down to a gimmick. I mean lets finish off NBA

ties with a slam dunk or 3 point competition . Or maybe in NFL if

nobody scores in o.t we could have a punt,pass and kick

challenge.

So

I get opened up on sportsinteraction and pinnacle and see they don't

even have reg line bets available (yet) so I'm back with the local for

the next week like it or not. And on top of that I get a text from the

current book saying that I'll no longer be able to play FH or SH ML's on

ANY SPORT. He took away CFL ML's last year when I was destroying them.

Then near the end of last year when I was hitting FH ML parlays in NBA

he said they're o.k til the end of the year but not next year. And now

after I hit the 4 game +400 and 5 game +500 (mostly) ML parlays in NFL

this weekend they're all off the board. Gotta say I'm pretty choked to

hear that right now. Not breaking of all ties though because he still

allows -1.5 to the total parlays on the same game and I plan on playing

some of them this year. I'm still fucking stirred though,thats a pissoff

and a half. Funny I never heard anything two weekends ago when I had

one of the most frustrating days of my wagering career and got crushed

for 25 units over Saturday and Sundays action.......Rant off

coldsnap55 says:
10/07/11 11:20PM

 

Here's the new situation for you ................

   Find another to tail. 

coldsnap55 says:
10/08/11 12:01AM

  Leaf fan that bets Montreal

 

   Was it because of line movement? 

coldsnap55 says:
10/08/11 12:04AM
Go defend Tinky in his thread....Someone is questioning his lines.....Imagine that? 
coldsnap55 says:
10/08/11 12:18AM

Maybe you should.....That mellon on your shoulders isn't working.

moemoney says:
10/07/11 02:10PM

If you follow his MLB thread...he turned tout...not really because he's still posting free plays on his site.
Absolutxedge22 says:
10/07/11 11:04AM
Bodio- I didn't wager on the Flyers for actual money. I used them for my streak survivor contest and picked them. Thank you for the help.
Absolutxedge22 says:
10/07/11 11:07AM


They offer the puck line for the first period lines. And team total goals for the game. I hope this helps you a little.
bob696969 says:
10/08/11 08:32PM
bodio is banned....... he went tout??
NumbNaam says:
10/07/11 09:26AM
OnlyGod says:
10/08/11 09:24PM
Do they punish hotness around here ?
burningsun72 says:
10/07/11 02:09PM
wtf? Bodio banned?
PLAYAAAA1969 says:
10/07/11 05:39PM
TOUT..Say it aint so !!!!!
tonydan says:
10/07/11 11:41PM
fuck yourself you ignorant piece of shit. its a legitimate question.maybe ur ignorance clouds your brain.  how the fuck does someone cap a sport just by line movement? since ur goal is to try to embarass me, i understand what ur doing here.truth is you have embarassed urself with this stab at me. tail "this" motherfucker
tonydan says:
10/08/11 12:08AM
i dont bet with my heart. is this font big enuf for ya?

tonydan says:
10/08/11 12:09AM
who cares?
tonydan says:
10/06/11 11:22PM

hey bodio, nice call tonight. i wish u best of luck on the NHL season. just wondering what u mean when u say that u cap odds movement and situations. how do u cap odd movement?what was it that made u decide Philly was the play? i understand situational betting as i use that too just not sure what u mean about odds movement. appreciate your time in clarifying this

tonydan says:
10/08/11 12:21AM
 coldsnap, i feel like starting a long 7 page argument with you. are you game?
tonydan says:
10/08/11 12:27AM
I_Need_A_Detox says:
10/07/11 10:40PM
i'm going to follow the team that the public is on. good system.
For_The_Books says:
10/07/11 10:52AM


yur local bookie is probably eating the juice himself...and will make off u regardless of the outcome thts why hes is the local bookie......
For_The_Books says:
10/07/11 10:56AM


line movement.....as example line open at

bruins -140.....it closed at -130 before the game started meaning people were taking the flyers to win soo he followed....
Panduro says:
10/06/11 05:15PM
Hey Bodio

Thanks for the picks 

Can u accept me as friend, so i can write in your PM and get the odds as soon as you post em? 
Chinmusic1 says:
10/07/11 04:41PM
Sorry, how do I locate his site to crosscheck his plays vs mine ?  I googled it and nada ???
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