bracks's Blog

Posted Saturday, January 29, 2011 10:39 AM

NCAA Hoops 1/29

44-40-2 YTD: -4.95 Units

Another BIG Sat card. Last week taking the road team wasn't costly, and I am hoping for a repeat. Sorry for the no write ups but my cousin is a #1 seed in the County tourney for wrestling and have to run. All plays for 2 Units. Buying the 1/2 , cause you know I refuse to lose on a hook.

Butler -2 -120 - I think they are coming back into form. Tough road game.

Tex AM +105 - Yes, last week I said how they were a different team on the road, however Nebraska isn't Austin. Too much strength down low for the Huskers.

Nova -4 -120 -Bad letdown loss for Cats. GTown has gotten by some of the mid to lower teams in the BE. Nova isn't one of those. Cats shoot the lights out today and run passed the P-Town offense.

UCLA -2  - very impressed by the never say die attitude they had vs. ZOna on Thur. Cats couldn't pull away. Bruins too tough to get swept in the dessert.

NCST +11 - Most know my love for the Heels, however this is way too many for them to be laying. NCST's season a ll brighter if they beat their rivals. Heels get all they can handle from the pack.

Coll of Knowledge -3 - Cougars have really had Davidson # the past couple fo yrs, even when Curry was around. CoC takes a step closer to March Madness with a solid road win.

Rich -4 -120 - A-10 powers that be match up again this w/e. Home court, as we did w/ X-Men last week, is the way to go. Spiders should pull away late.

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Posted Wednesday, January 26, 2011 04:54 PM

1/26 NCAA Hump Day

42-37-2 YTD: - 3 Units

Well, 1-2 day with an OT loss and Baylor letting the cover get away at the end. I didn't get to post but lost UGA in OT yesterday, pushed on Rich/Day O, and lost PU and VT. So, that great Sat has been wiped out by now. I really couldn't cut down the games, so, I will play them all for 1.5 Units. I think there is some great spots.

Okie ST +5 -120 

I mean, the letdown factor would be enough. Then add the place they are traveling to. Then add the significance of the night, how would you tell me I should take Texas?

Northwestern +5  -120

Yes, I just said on Monday how I was off the largest all yr on saying NW would beat Wiscky. I still think the Wildcats are stronger than that performance.

Woo-Shock -5 

This team has disappointed a lil this yr, however I still have faith. Also, after watching me cash on ILL ST on Sunday vs. SIU, I think this is another time to fade the Salukies.

URI +3

I know STL is a different team @ H, however I am a sucker for this line. Close game, STL shoots 63% FT, URI 70%.

TCU +13

The Lobos have really struggled late. They are 1-6 ATS in their L7 and even worst as a fav. The road team has covered the past couple of trips in this match up. NMex wins, but not by this much.

I am waiting on UNC line. It is already down to a pk. I think there will be late Mia money to get us as a dog. If not, I will wait for HF. 1 stat I will give on M... [More]

Posted Monday, January 24, 2011 09:37 AM

Big Monday NCAA 1/24

41-35-2 YTD: -.55 Units

Well, its not a true Big Monday, but we have a couple of nice plays. I have to say, Northwestern was the worst loss of the season. Not Units wide, but pride wise. man, was I wrong. Oh well.

Baylor +5  **2.5 Units**

I can't say that Baylor hasn't been a lil bit of a disappointment, however, they are playing the team, as I stated on Sat w/ our TexAM play, the most over rated team in the nation, K-St. Both teams need this game, and baylor has at least had some wins in conf vs. K-St's 1-4 record. Games is a lot closer than 5pts, and I still think Baylor wins this SU.

Wofford -6 **2 units**

The terriers have not been the same team as last yr, however, their L's are't vs. the worst teams. MInny, X-Men, So.Car, Cornell in OOC, and only 1 L in SoCON, to the best team CoC. They have protected their home court and I think this line should be more like 8. Woff should win this by 10.

Rider -1  **2.5 Units**

Speaking of teams not like their Tourney 1 of LY, Siena has fallen from grace...FAST. They were able to beat Rider in their 1st meeting, 73-60. That was however, with Clarence Jackson, teams 2nd leading scorer of 14ppg. Sports Insight just posted that Jackson, who injured his ankle last game, has been downgraded to Doubtful. So, we get revenge and the other team missing their 2nd leading scorer? Sign me up.

GL fellas


Posted Sunday, January 23, 2011 08:34 AM

Sun NCAA Hoops-Cause you need something before NFL

6-2 Yesterday: +7.3 Units
40-34-2 YTD: +.15 Units

Well, I have to say, I made a bad mistake. I didn't realize SMC was a ranked team, and thus, bet against the unranked home fav trend. Then, the one I did bet on, Michigan, lost. That was, however, the only 2 losses. Some nice road dog wins by Nova, RU and Zona. Good day. I have to say, I am betting 2 games that prob could go either way. Some things do point to its a play, but you can find just as many I'm sure to go against. I'm playing a hot hand in other words. Follow w/ caution.

Northwestern +2 -115  **2 Units**

Some interesting #'s when you look @ this match up in kenpom. 1st, yes, Wiscky is 12th vs. NW's 37th. Wiscky does have an adjusted O of 120.2 (6th), however, NW is not far behind w/ 119 (9th). To put this into perspective IF you don't follow KP (youre a fool) , Puke is 5th and The OhioSt is 4th. Next stat I was surprised by was their Opp D rank. Wiscky had an 80, where NW comes in @ 42nd. Now for the final piece that made this a play. Wiscky ppg drops to 60.3 down from their yr ave of 69.9. Their 3pt shooting % goes from 37.1% to 29.2 % on the road. This is not like NW @ H. They have the same #'s. 78.2ppg ave, with a 78.3 @ H. Their 3pt shooting is 40.9% on the yr, with a 41.5% @ H.  Again, this game might be a toss up, however this is a Home game that NW needs to win to make the tourney. The style of play is is something Wiscky usually can use to their advantage, however, NW play... [More]

Posted Saturday, January 22, 2011 10:15 AM

Huge Sat of NCAA Hoops: 1/22

How you guys been? See some old faces, hope everyone is doing well. I have barely been able to watch more than 1 game a night. Work has kicked my a$$ the past month. Anyway, a lot of games and I think I have narrowed them down finally.

All plays to win 2 Units

Nova +5 - Cats really gave away the UCONN game. Joseph will be back probably, however a key to beating the zone is 3pt, and we know how Nova feels about them. Also, I just don't bet on a team that ave 63% from the FT line. Its going to be a close game, and thats a big part why.

RU +7 - History, not one that most of you give a crap about, however this in state rivalry has always been close. 4 of L5 have been 6pts or under.

SMC +5- Not an easy trip for anyone. Vandy has shown signs of a solid team, however to flaky to take in this match up. SMC is 30-11ATS L3yrs vs. non conference. Both get around 80ppg, give up around 60, and I will gladly take pts in a game that should come down to the wire.

Tex AM -5 -115 Don't get fooled by that UT game. It was their 1st road test and they failed big time. Back home, where they are undefeated, different team. Also, I think K-St was 1 of the biggest mistakes as a ranked team all yr.

ND -3  This is a hige payback game for the drubbing they took on BCS Championship night. There is no team that plays so AC/DC home and away more than ND, IMO. I will gladly lay this 3.

Mich -125  You know the trend, unranked home fav.

X-Men p... [More]

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