bracks's Blog
Posted Tuesday, March 09, 2010 10:14 AM
I finally went back and got my old posts/blogs to get my yr end #.
1st want to say that it was a great end to the season.
4-2 Last Week, +13.2 units
Last 3 Weeks, 35-20-1 +44.9 Units
YTD: 124-105-5 +32.15 Units
So, with that, we begin the "Real" push to the Big Dance. I must say, my 1st play is a 4 Corner. What can I say, I love the "need the win" factor.
UCONvicts -4 -115 ***4 Units***
They really dropped the ball this w/e. Now, add that SMC took 1 spot and more might be coming. The Garden has not been kind to the Huskies this yr, but playing two #1 Seeds shouldn't be a bad thing. Johnies have played well this yr. This is the BE Tourney though. Cream always rises tot he top.
More to come. GL fellas Will add in here as they come.
Posted Sunday, March 07, 2010 01:50 PM
2-0 Yesterday +15 Units
2-1 on week. + 11.7 Units
31-18-1 2 previous weeks +31.35 Units
Went big on a team I followed all yr and a great trend in the WCC. I can do the same today so, as the title says. Also, have to get on my boys again from Burlington.
Zaga -12 **5 Units***
As I gave the stat last night on the Port game. Since '98, Nuetral Court fav of 7pts or more in the WCC Tourney were 27-0 SU and 19-8 ATS coming into this yr. Last night makes it 28-0, 20-8 ATS. Just like a fine Pint of Black Gold from your local Irish Pub, Cream rises to the top.
College of Knowledge -PK ***5 Units***
Again, no love for the Cougars. OK, they were only 3.5 favs @ home and only won by 1 this yr. Look at the stats though. APP shot 29-57 (50.9%) FG and 6-13 (4%) from 3pt and STILL LOST. They also had an advantage of +10 on rebs. You think they improve on all those things today? Be my guess and put your money on them. I said AG wont let them lose. At 1pt last night, he had 19pts and the entire whole other team had 21. He wants to play in the big dance and he deserves to.
Homer ALERT!!!!
Groovy UV -7 **2 Units**
The Catamounts get UNH in the semis. They have had problems w/ them, losing 75-56 in NH, a 85-76 OT win in Burlington. This line is -7 though, why you ask? UNH -12 away from home. GO CATS GO!!
GL fellas. Like the teams I have invested in today. Might add ... [More]
Posted Saturday, March 06, 2010 11:36 PM
Neutral Court Favs of 7pts or more are
27-0 SU and 19-8 ATS (70%)
since 1998.
Some people don't think that matters, but, I think the cream usually rises to the top in this Conf, in other words.
Port -8 ***4 Units**
Posted Wednesday, March 03, 2010 11:57 PM
5-5
Thats the Pukies road record. TRUE ROAD GAMES!!! Let's face facts, it is what it is, average.
Now, before I hear it for saying this, YES, they havd 3 games @ MSG this yr. All 3 of those teams might make the tourney. I saw 2 of them in person, but we all know the Devils in MSG is not a "road game".
The ACC right now 1 other team thats ranked. So, its not like they played all these Top 10 teams.
They may be a Top 10 team. They may be the ACC Champs when all is said and done, but...
5-5 does not make you a #1 Seed.
This just in....THE TOURNEY ISN"T IN DURHAM!!!
Posted Monday, March 01, 2010 02:37 PM
3-0 yesterday: +7 Units
17-8-1 +21.55 Units last week,
31-18-1 last 2 weeks +31.35 Units
Better to be lucky than good I believe the saying goes. Funny, when you are a streak, it always goes with you. 2 OT games that I had the over, 2 overs after OT. It is March, and its time to start thinking about the Big Picture, but, got to keep an even keel. Vegas is coming, and the dry spell could just as quick. Very happy w/ the small card and liking the the game in the WAC.
Fresno ST +15 -115 **3 Units***
I will start out by telling you how great Utah ST is. They ave 73ppg, opp 60. They shoot 50%FG @ H, and have ave 76.8% FT and 42% 3pt. They have won 14 in a row, 15-1 @ H and 12-2 in WAC play.
However....
7-5-ATS @ H.
Fresno is even 7-6 ATS. The last tiem they played YES, Fresno was held to a season low 43pts, but look closer. Their leading scorer George (16ppg) got hurt and left after 7mins. Then they lost games cause he was out. Look at the Bulldogs big picture. They have played tough on the road. 3 of the biggest in the WAC.
@ LT L-81-73
@ N.Mex.ST L-86-77
@ Nev L 74-70
George was actually held to Opts in 27mins last game as well. I don't see that happening again. They are a tough team and have been good to me this yr. They may lose by just over 10pts, but 15? Not IMO.
Oh, almost forgot.......Utah ST has Conf title game and SR Day next game vs. N.Mex ST on Sat.... [More]
Posted Monday, March 01, 2010 11:21 AM
83-69-5 YTD: +9.29 Units
Let's GO.
My record is my posted plays in my own thread. When I came back to posting, I only posted in LIpps thread. Had a nice run to end before the break, but don't have a way to tell exactly what it was. So, this is record. 1 game, and only 1 play IMO.
Det/Avs U 5.5 -135 **1 Unit**
I think the Wings pull this out. I do like that most of their guys have had a lil break actually since there is some Russian and Swede players. There biggest effected player will be Rafalski and I'm sure Babcock will still be drunk. Tough Rivalry game. 3-2, 3-1 final.
GL fellas
Posted Sunday, February 28, 2010 11:53 AM
5-4-1 yesterday: +2.8 Units
14-8-1 +14.55 Units this week, 17-8-1 L26
14-10 last week +9.75 Units
Well, NOva lost and everyone can tell me "I told you so." Still +, and thats what matters.
SHU/Marq Over 146 ***3 Units**
Hall ave 79ppg on yr and 83ppg @ H. Marq not too shabby ave above 70ppg. The real heal will come on the boards, where Hall is ave 40 a game and will get out running and get plenty of 2nd chances.
GL fellas more to come
Posted Saturday, February 27, 2010 06:53 PM
Does this change anyones thinking for the game?
I personally want to finally lay down my bet on NOva ML.
Whats your view? Non Cuse Fans
Posted Saturday, February 27, 2010 10:58 AM
1-1 last night -.2 Units
9-4 +11.75 Units this week, 12-4 L16
14-10 last week +9.75 Units
I tell you, greed is a funny thing. I am having a very nice week, and going 1-1 and my 1st losing day really made me pissed of. Not the -.2 Units, the way it happened. UP 73-58 w/ 6:29 left. Nia goes 0-5 FG, 1-6 FT, and 3 TO. They scored 1 more pt in the last 6mins. Even missed a FT under 15 secs that would have at least pushed. Fck it, oh well. Big Card today, and scary cause I really like some of these. Might add Units as day goes on. It seems to be one of those days that if you are on, ride it, if not, walk away.
Baylor -4 -115 **4 Units***
Team are ave 44%FG vs. OK. Baylr ave 48% FG and 71%FT. The Bears ave 76ppg on road, are 7-5 away and 4-1 in L5. In the last match up, Baylor won 91-60 and shot 58%FG and 10-20 from 3pt. I hate road chalk, but, OK is not playing the same kind of ball as BU.
N.Mex +8.5 **4 Units***
I'm sorry, but I still think Los Lobos are the best in this Conf. I can give you all the reason to like BYU, but still very high on this team. How many times do we see this team get to the tourney and be 1 and done? N.Mex is 10-2 on road, and last time beat BYU 76-72 even after going 21-33FT. Anice thing to now was they were +6 in reb. I think this game comes down to the wire, and BYU might pull this one out, but would nto be surprised if the Lobos pulled it out.
SIU +8 &n... [More]
Posted Friday, February 26, 2010 12:59 PM
4-0 last night +8 Units
8-3 +11.95 Units this week, 11-3 L14
14-10 last week +9.75 Units
In a nice 2 day Blizzard that isn't suppose to end till Sat morning. At least it gave me a reason to stay home on Friday since I was gone for the US game @ 3pm anyway. Nice run and don't want to go crazy on FRiday since they usually have these #'s on point. Got 2 that are in a great spot IMO.
Valpo +9 **2 Units**
As the play on Boise last night, this isn't really a letdown fully from Buster but Butler has some things coming into this one. They are on the nations longest winning streak (17) and going to become the 1st team to run the Horizon unbeaten since Wiscky-GB in 95-96. They even have a streak of 8 vs. Valpo. So, yes, they are a great team but coming into Valpo where they are 9-2 @ H, laying 9 is a lil too much. The streaks continue, but "closer than the expert think." Like taking the pts s. a ranked team playing on Fri as well.
Nia -3 **2 Units**
Fairfield is 4-12 in Conf this yr and 0-3 ATS as 3pt or < dogs. The Purple Eagles are somewhat respectable 8-10 on road, but 4-1 in their L5 games. They ave only 1pt less (71ppg) on road as their season ave (72ppg). They are also 3-0 ATS and SU vs. FF the L3, including 88-64 W in Dec. They are a road fav and not great but even w/ FF from the line. Most know I hate laying pts on the road, so my feeling about this match up should speak for itself.
GL fell... [More]
Posted Thursday, February 25, 2010 05:07 PM
2-2 last night +.4 Units
4-3 +3.95 Units this week, 7-3 L10
14-10 last week +9.75 Units
Came real close to having a nice night last night. Miss Ark 2nd HF by friggin 1/2 pt. Still + again, so no complaining. Tonight was a reall tough tonight to keep it small. There is 4 other games I wanted to lay money on, but as I said before I posted last night, road dogs this late in the yr will eat away your money. Both L's, were road favs. So, sticking with these 3. Might play a 2nd HF if there is an opening.
N.Tex -5 -115 **2 Units***
The Cajuns come town down down a guy. That is bad news for a team that is 3-10 on the road. Mean Green is 11-2 @ H, 5-0 L5 games, and 11-5 in Conf.
Boise St +9 **2 Units**
Over the yrs some of the teams in BUster weekend can't handle to keep it going. These reg conf games after them are a basic let down. La Tech is 10-1 @ H, but I think they come out flat to start this one. 9 is just too much.
N.Western -9 **2 Units**
Ok, 1st off, they are playing Iowa, who is 1-9 on the road while scoring 54ppg and giving up 67ppg. N/Western is 13-4 @ H and going for its 18th W. They still have a small shot at the tourney. A game while the Country is watching is a good way to make a smal splash.
GL fellas. Like I said, I liked ASU, Troy and WIsckyGB but I am not taking road chalk. On a last note, I think that Wofford line is prob going to be right on. CoC is a team I p... [More]
Posted Wednesday, February 24, 2010 04:10 PM
1-1 last night +.55 Units
2-1 this week +3.55 Units, 5-1 L5 games
14-10 last week: +9.75 Units
Well, happy I said that I thought there was a chance Ville lost. Can't believe the 2nd HF effort. Fla came thru in the 2nd though, making the trend 10-4 this month. We have a couple tonight but since ND is no longer a fav and Baylor is over 5, I am just going to watch. So, had to go back to good ole capping.
Temple -4 **3 Units**
Dayton has seemed to miss their window for the tourney unless they win the A-10 one. The Flyers are 5-7 on the road and the shoot a horrible 66% from the line. The owls are 11-1 @ H and should of received a nice wake up call by Joes. You know I can't back teams in close games that might have to win it from the line. PS- Crus likes it
UTEP -4 ***3 Units***
Man, I don't even know how to write up something good about taking road chalk. Let's give this a try though. 1st off, some might notice I have backed this Miners team A LOT this yr. I have even said I think they are the best in this conf. They are 11-1 in it. They might be 7-3 on the road, but ave the same pts (77) and FG% (47%) as they do @ H. So.Miss is on a slide. They are 3-2 in their L5, but scoring 9pts fewer a game and only 6-6 in conf. This # isn't really off but Miners should win by 8-10pts.
STL +5 ***3 Units***
Ah, the Bilks @ H. Never have I really seen a team so much better @ H. They are 11-1 this yr, holdi... [More]
Posted Monday, February 22, 2010 10:47 PM
1-0 last night +3 Units, 4-0 L4 games
14-10 last week: +9.75 Units
Just great when a games stats go the way you thought. 2nd chances and rebs for UConvicts. Yes, there was fouls, but, Neers also shot 52% FT.
On to today. There are others I want to play, but just stick to the formula. I think there is a trend that works w/ these.
Ville -3 -115 **3 Units***
I know what the 1st thing will be. "No way GTown drops 3 in a row!!" WHY? Ville's press and team can't win this game @ H?
FLA -3 ****4 Units****
Game came down to the wire last time. You get a revenge factor on the home team here. I would play this early. I think this line goes no where but UP!!!
GL Fellas. I might play UVA. I really want to. Just don't know if I should stick to the guns.
Posted Monday, February 22, 2010 09:29 AM
3-0 yesterday: +7 Units
14-10 last week: +9.75 Units
Great way to end a week that was a battle back and forth on the Units side.
Is it Groundhog Day today?
UCONvicts +3 -115 (buy) ***3 Units***
I say that opening line cause I feel the same reasons to take UCONN as why I was on Pitt. Take a look at most of WVU L's. (Pur, Cuse, Nova, Pitt). In all of those teams you get in your face D with great guard play. In 2 of the L's ( Cuse, Nova), they were -10 in the rebound category. That doesn't work for a team that ave +7 and lives off 2nd chance pts.
So, now, can UCONN do those things? YES. Is there D holding opp to shooting 39%FG? YES. Do they have better guard play? YES.
Of course, can't forget, they are a home team who needs another big W. As I said yesterday, this is how you survive in the new BE. You take care of home court and pull off an upset here or there. Calhoun has been back for a lil while and I think can get them on track before the final run. Maybe this step away helped him see the problems better. Can't see the forrest from the Trees right?
GL fellas. I migth add a lil ML to it.
Posted Sunday, February 21, 2010 10:38 AM
4-3 yesterday +3.05 Units
Won the bigger bets yesterday (Okie ST UTEP, CoC) so it didn't turn out to be a bad day. Very small card today and I don't feel like going crazy.
PiTT +3 **3 Units**
A great Home team playing in the Zoo today. These 2 played a classic last yr to close the old Spectrum. I expect one in the same league today. Pitt is ranked but just barely. This is the kinda win that keeps the resume looking good. If you want to make it it in the BE, you have to win the Big Games @ H.
Sparky -1 **2 Units**
The in state rivals meet again. Zona has done well ATS lately, but the Cats just don't have the offense that can give ASU real problems. ASU plays their style and wins this battle in the desert.
GL fellas. If I can add a nice value 2nd HF will do it here. Think I want to just watch the MSU/OSU game. If Sparty is down a il @ HF though, might play them 2nd HF
Posted Saturday, February 20, 2010 12:06 PM
0-1 last night
Always a great weekend. Chance for the lil guys to get a shot @ the Limelight. Not to be lost though, is some great games between reg Conf foes. Of course, we also have "the trend" Also, want to come Clean, full blown HOMER ALERT play.
OKIE ST -2 ***4 Units***
Trend. Thats all.
WF -1 -115 **3 Units***
Was SOOO happy to see them as a fav. Was worried it would be the trend. Need to bounce back here. Let's be honest, its NCST.
UTEP +2 -115 ***3 Units**
Miners are slowly really starting to make me think they are the best in CONF- USA. They make a big statement on the road today.
Miss ST -6.5 **2 Units**
Tough loss. You know what the cure is for that? Schedule LSU after Tucky.
College of Knowledge +5 ***3 Units***
It has come to my attention that when people are in love w/ this school, they don't cover. When people like the other side, good things happen. George Mason is no easy task. game comes down to the wire. I think CoC is making it cause they win their Conf, but GM needs this.
WOO SHOCK +7 ***3 Units**
The game I think I am most excited about. Aggies are a tough out @ Home just have this # a lil lower.
HOMER ALERT
Groovy UVm -4 **2 Units**
Thats right boys and girls, we have a lined game for the Catamounts. Not a huge team coming in in F... [More]
Posted Friday, February 19, 2010 04:52 PM
1-2 last night -4.7 Units
Well, its Friday, so I guess I should do the normal. Go the other way.
****Harv +7/ODU +7 tease**** ****4Units***
2 games I think just coming down to the wire. Maybe a bad reason, but oh well. I make them all the time.
Posted Thursday, February 18, 2010 12:34 PM
4-2 last night +6.75 Units
6-4 this week +9.35 Units
I thought the Rebels might make the full comeback last night. They fell short. Can not complain thought. Both big bets won w/ MIzzu keeping up the home unranked fav trend. I really wanted to play a lot tonight. Sticking to a much smaller card. Lets hope its for the best.
MIss -4 ***4 Units***
Yes, the trend again. If the trend isn't enough, Vandy is 6-5 on the road scoring 7ppg less than ave (71ppg). Add that to Miss being 11-2 @ H, ave 83ppg.
So.Bama +13 -115 ***3 Units***
W.Tucky is 8-11 as fav (11-4 SU, 8-7 ATS @ H). So.Bama ave the same ppg on road as they do @ H. FG% only drops 1%. The last 5 games have not been decided by more than 8pts. That is just fine w/ me since we are getting 13.
Troy -2 -115 **3 Units***
M.Tenn ST. is 5-7 on road, ave 65ppg. Troy is 8-2 @ H, ave 80ppg and shooting 49.8% FG. The Trojans are 4-1 in L5 and they already beat MTST this yr as a 5.5 dog.
GL fellas. I have a lot of leans as I said. I might play a couple of these late. Mostly, UDub and SMC. I am not on a lot of them cause they are high on the Covers consensus. I have noticed that if thats the case, you should walk away. I did it to CoC last night. They won, but didn't cover
Wazzu -5
Wiscky-MiL
Minny -1 (its the trend, but worried it becomes pk)
UDub -8
SMC -7
...
[More]
Posted Wednesday, February 17, 2010 11:35 AM
1-2 last night. -1.4 Units
2-2 this week +2.6 Units
Tough 1pt loss on Penn last night. Creighton, they were last close at 7-7 when I saw the score. Won again on my big bet w/ Wiscky-GB. Have a lil bigger card than I would like. Playing a total as well, which is always scary.
Mizzu -3 -115 ****4 Units****
Yes, the trend is here again. Last night, I stayed away cause the number was above 5 w/ VT, and it saved me. I really think that is the take the fav/dog spot. 4.5, take the fav. This though, has a lot of #'s to join in. As some might know, I hate teams that can't hit FT's. Texas- is really in that Memphis team a couple yrs back. Just hack them if you are down. Horns have 62%FT, Mizzu is 72%. Horns are also 2-5 on road ATS, 4-3 SU, w/ a 2-8 ATS rec in Conf. Mizzu is 14-1 @ H, ave 85ppg, 49% FG while holding opp to 61ppg. Maybe none of those teams were as good as Tex, but even if its close, I don't want them on the line.
Free Shoes U + 105 ***3 Units***
Remember when Wahoos were in 1st place? Remember how great FSU was "suppose" to be? These 2 started out on the opposite ends of what kind of season they were "suppose" to have. Ah, but thats why they play a whole season. these 2 are meeting in the middle now. 1 is going up, the other is going down. I like to take the rising stock, not the tanking one.
Fresno St + **2 Units**
Nevada is 0-7 ATS when the total is 140-149. now, most might not ... [More]
Posted Tuesday, February 16, 2010 10:45 AM
1-0 last night **+4 Units**
Nice game last night by N.Mex ST. Never really in ?.
Oh, to be in NOLA right nowCan only imagine. Hope everyone has a great Mardi Gras. Be safe. Don't have too many Hurricanes and gumbo. How much is too much? ITS NEVER ENOUGH if you are getting the REAL ones down @ Patty O' Brian. On to tonight.
Wiscky- GB -3 ***3 Units***
The Home team is 4-0 in L4 in this series ATS, SU. The ave winning score is by 13pts. (1 game LY was in tourney on N court). its a revenge game for GB, who lost on the road in most part to going 1-8 from 3pt (12%) and 11-17 (64%) FT. They ave 7-17 (39%) and 14-20 (73%). Clev ST is also 3-9 SU on road, 5-7 ATS this yr.
Creighton +9 **2 Units**
This game has win and not cover written all over it. NIU coming off a loss, can wrap up the conf w/ win, but that doesn't mean its by 10pts. Then, throw in that Center Eglseder is out for a DUI. i think this one is "closer, than the experts think"
Penn +6 **2 Units**
This kills me to do it, but I have to go against P-Town. the Quakers are 3-1 SU ATS the L2 yrs in this series. It is also just my rule. How am I not going to take a home dog in a rivalry game getting 2 poss. spread ? P-Town is the better team, and I think they bounce back after letting Cornell off the hook, but this game is coming dow to the wire.
GL tonight fellas. I am still looking at Miss ST... [More]
Posted Monday, February 15, 2010 01:51 PM
3-3 Yesterday +.2 Units (better than down)
I passed out before I could see the end of the game, however I woke up to a nice UCLA cover. Still can't believe the Shockers didn't pull away. Oh well. We have one really good play IMO today.
N.Mex ST -11 -115 ****4 Units****
The bows are not a very good team when they leave the beautiful 808 state. They are 0-5 in WAC play, only scoring over 60pts once. L @ Fresno 78-64, L @ Utah ST 98-54, L @ SJST 83-60, L @ Nev 66-60, L @ La Tech 66-60. Their opp shot 49.5% FG and 39.8% 3pt and ave 78ppg when home. The Bows last 2 trips to visit the Aggies didn't end well either. L 82-71 and 106-71. Their meeting this yr was a close finish. Hawai'i was up 40-28 @ HF. NMST stormed back to win in the 2nd HF, but finished with horrible % of 3-20 (15%) from 3pt. We will get a huge bump in that tonight as well as the FG. I see this as 15-20pt win.
GL fellas. I was thinking about W.Car, but couldn't pull the trigger. Might be waiting for a nice 2nd HF play in Nova game. I feel 1 will jump out to a lead by HF.
Posted Sunday, February 14, 2010 10:42 AM
7-5 yesterday +6.3 Units
The unranked @ H favs win and cover again yesterday. 2-0
The dogs were barking yesterday, and I don't see them stopping today.
DePaul +14 **2 Units**
This is such a typical Hall game. They got the tough W vs. ND Then they will follow it up with a lack luster performance. They better not lose to them, but winning by 8 is a lot more likely than 15.
LaSalle +5 **2 Units**
I have been impressed with this team when I have taken them. I want to take them SU, but won't get greedy. Don't be surprised with a W though.
The Ohio St U -120 **3 Units**
Much better team, and I love when teams like ILL start getting all this press. I will take the best player in the conf to just win the game.
WOOOO SHOCK -7 ** 2.5 Units**
A team that I have been riding lately. Thought it might be a lil lower, but that really makes me want it more. MIzzu ST has played well at times, but they are about to get SHOCKED!!
UCLA + 7 ** 2.5 Units**
Do I even have to write it? Rivalr game, getting 7pts. There, I said it again.
GL tonight fellas Enjoy the time w/ someone you love today. I will spend it with the family, then love the fact that the market is closed tomorrow with my other love. Beer!!! for the night games!!!
Posted Saturday, February 13, 2010 10:42 AM
2-1 yesterday, but -1.5 Units
Still can't believe Big Red didn't at least win last night. Penn shot lights out in the 2nd HF and answered everytime Cornell got close. How much are people going to pound that # tonight @ P-Town?
I have a very big card, and that is usually not a great sign, however, I had 8 plays to start last Sat, so can't be gunshy if they fit. By the name of the title, I think you know what most will be.
MD +10 **3 Units**
WAY too many in this rivalry game. Most know I will take that all day long. Call me a sucker.
PC +15 **3 Units**
PC comes to town after WVU game and before Monday's UCONN game. I like the match up for PC here. Nova style of play fits them and keeping it under 15 while Nova has been known to take the foot off the gas seems easy.
URI +4.5 **2.5 Units***
Yeah, taking Rhodie 1 more time in a big game. On the road no less. Time to make it or break it Rams.
Drake +3 -115 ***3 Units***
The slide continues for Indy ST. Number has come down a lot from original line, thus I bought it to at least 3.
SDST -3 **2 Units**
I really don't love this bet, but people know I just flat out play this trend. UNLV is coming off a L, but SDST has had their # the past couple of yrs.
STL +5 ***3 Units***
One team great @ H, the other, not so much on the road. Dayton may be able to pull this one ... [More]
Posted Thursday, February 11, 2010 04:04 PM
1-0 posted plays yesterday.
(2-1 w/ pushing N.Mex game, when I got greedy & went 4 middle)
Heels under was not even in? I said it would be ugly. Heels play great D, hold the Pukies to under 30%FG in the 1st HF, and still don' t have a lead. Thats when I knew it was a L for them. On to today. A lot of games today, but had to cut the fat and got it to 4 games
Ore ST +12.5 **3 Units**
The beavers 12-5 ATS, 10-1 vs. opp w/ winning rec, 7-2 on road. As nice stat that will help vs. ASU is they hold opp. to 29.8% from 3pt. LY, both games were under 12pt, with a 9 and 11pt lose. This ASU team is a lot worst, and OSU lot better. ASU offense is not one that you can easily break open the scoring.
Port -10 **3 Units**
Pilots are 8-2 @ H. They shot over 50% FG and ave 82.7ppg. The Whales Vagina, only 5-9 on the road while shooting 37.9% FG. They are also 1-4 in L5. Too much offense for SD to handle.
College of Knowledge -11 -115 **2.5 Units**
Elon won Su @ CoC 59-53 LY as a 12.5 dog. A large reason for that was the Cougars could not hit the side of a barn from 3pt land, literally. 2-22 from 3pt. If you ever watched them play, you know its a big part of their offense. CoC is at least as good as last yr, where Elon, can't say the same. They are 3-13 on the road, giving up 72.9ppg. Revenge spot for the Sr. who are coming of a SU loss last game, as well as LY game vs. Elon.
[More]
Posted Tuesday, February 09, 2010 11:25 PM
well, for the 1st time, in a long time, I am not looking forward to THE GAME. The short version, it will be hard to watch.
The simple fact is, every strenght the Heels have had in the past isn't really there now. Singler taking his defender outside DOES hurt the D (whats left of it). The PG spot, which might have been the biggest advantage EVER between these 2 the past 3 yrs, is gone. The 3 balls, that the Pukies just fall in love w/ and will keep shooting them no matter what redic % they shoot in the 1st HF, hurts. The Heels dont have the answer.
The Heels in the past could aways stay within in striking distance and just roll with it. The Pukies at Cameron LY shot like 60% from 3pt and the Heels were still only down 8 @ HF. Graves and D-Strick just aren't Elli, D-Green, Lawson (Tyler when a dagger is needed). Roy WILL have to use TO's to stop the bleeding this game.
I will NEVER SAY NEVER in this series. Look at probably the greatest game in this series in the past 20yrs. It was when the Rat had his surgery in the middle of the season cause he couldn't stand watching his crap team. Stack and Sheed were suppose to run all over Capel and that Oger PArks. (worst tatts, want to be thug EVER in NBA). WHat happened, Capel pulls that shot out of his A$$, just to watch STack go baseline under the hoop and the foul in OT and the Heels pull it out. You just never know in this game. I do know though. It will be ugly. Heels have no shot IF they run up and dow... [More]