bronxdude's Blog

The books are trying to steal your money with this line

By bronxdude | View all Posts
Posted Sunday, March 08, 2009 02:53 AM   15 comments
I think that line is way to funky minus 31/2 with the celtics at home , That is telling me the books are begging you to bet the celtics, make your green betting against the green
 
 My pick is MAGIC PLUS THE POINTS
15 comments
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lts41 says:
03/08/09 03:11AM
MAGIC
lts41 says:
03/08/09 03:11AM
BOL bronxdude
rangerz2478 says:
03/08/09 03:13AM
Yea I kind of thought this line was low too. Figured it to be 5.5 or so...
TheHouse says:
03/08/09 03:36AM
It wil be 4.5 in the morning, bet it now if you like the Celtics, or if you want to win some money.  Celtics by 8 in this one 
SirJohnDrake says:
03/08/09 03:56AM

I disagree with you that the spread is way too funky actually the spread is just a tad inflated by 1 pt to be exact.

When you see that the magicians are winning by an avg. of 6 pts OTR and the mighty celts are winning by an avg. of 11 pts at home then the odds makers have set the spread pretty much where it should be. They set it where it should be based on stats because they want close to equal action on both sides and so I disagree with you a 2nd time about them wanting bettors to side with the mighty celts.

Getting back to the spread this is how you derive a spread, since the celts are winning by 11 at home and the magicians are winning by 6 on the road all you do is minus 6 from 11 you get 5 then you divide 5 by 2 and you get 2.5 and so they just inflated it by 1 pt at the opening and made it -3.5 favoring the mighty celts.

TheHouse says:
03/08/09 04:37AM

HUH????  I think you've had a little too much to drink Sir John Drake.  I wish you were making the odds on every game with your theory

sinkhole1 says:
03/08/09 04:47AM
lol and then u divide your inflated ass by 3 and u get
SirJohnDrake says:
03/08/09 04:55AM

That is not a theory numb nuts that is how they derive the spread. Try it with another matchup and you'll see the spread being close to how I showed you numb nuts on how they derive it...lol

troyes says:
03/08/09 05:01AM

wtf?

highside107 says:
03/08/09 05:02AM

Huh?


akison03 says:
03/08/09 05:07AM
Bos
WizrduvOdz says:
03/08/09 10:47AM
I agree with Drake......line should be 2.5 with KG out.....Orlando is one of the elite teams.    That said, just like Cle came off their embarrassing loss with an ATS win, I think Bos comes off that win with a loss....take the 3.5 
bubba says:
03/08/09 10:51AM
CrazyMilkMan says:
03/08/09 10:53AM



VGPOP says:
03/08/09 11:42AM
If line goes to +5, I'll take Magic.

Magic with a double revenge, almost lost the game against Nets on Friday (because they were looking ahead for this matchup), Celtics just beat Cavaliers, seems like a perfect spot for Magic.
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User: bronxdude
Joined: October 2001
Location: New York
Team: New York Mets
Occupation: Trade

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