burley's Blog

Posted Sunday, December 13, 2009 08:23 AM

tootsie pop sucker play wk 14 what dempapples would do

hands up nba cappers who had the lakers to beat utah and got the 2 points as a dog line?
well i am sure 8/10 of you had them as a value play. why not throw a few bucks on the hot lakers and i get +2 to boot. fact is vegas cleaned up with utah winning from start to finish. more than 80% of the public were on the lakeshow. there is a correlation to this week's sucker bet as i am going to bank on vegas for this selection the same way i played the utah jazz tonight.
i have a 7-0 ats record going since posting here, not including ml and teaser winnings.  in demapples fashion for this pick i am going with what he would play or i think what he would play. though i did bet this at -3 and not where it currently stands at 3' it is a risky bet and have a few other games on the go that i also think is worthwhile value.

the sucker bet this week is for joe public to bet on the san diego chargers.
so the play is dallas -3' ...although truthfully the wise thing to do is to buy this down to 3 as the chargers seem to do well against the nfc east.

this is the top bet game at s insight..74% spread and 76% looking for dog money payout.
is vegas and ovs books stupid enough to hand over free money in turn started giving you +150 for chargers su and now has blossomed to ver +167? i am sure there are the same bettors taking the +167 now who got in earlier. also there is reverse line movement with the volume of bets and now wants to give you an extra half point.
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User: burley
Joined: January 2007
Location: British Columbia
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