burley's Blog

tootsie pop sucker bet...what demapples might do

By burley | View all Posts
Posted Sunday, November 29, 2009 07:24 AM   13 comments
demapples has not been around and i miss his sucker bet w/u. i am surely not a replacement but here goes a game that he might pick...
with over 90% of the action going miami dolphin's way and we see that the spread is stuck at -3.5 with more lopsided bets coming the fish's way one can't ignore buffalo in this spot.
mia already beat the bills this year 38-10. hardly likely to see an upset with the beating they took, but if that is the way you see this score then why only -3.5?
-it will be 45 degrees out hardly weather that miami is acclimated to.
-the bills won 38-17 as 6.5 favs 2 series ago.
-ronnie brown is out
the above 3 are some reasons to back the bills.
yeah the bills are bad. they did show some life in the first half last week then succumbing in crumbling fashion that is bills football.
there might be some intangibles to this line however that we don't know about.
maybe the bills really like the new coaching system as they now might be familiar with running the plays.
miami is on its second road game winning the first which might mean letdown.
i don't like betting on bad teams. this is as scary as it gets as intangibles with the new regime is the only thing to go on to explain the 'trap' line
so there u have it as the books will continue taking miami bets and not letting this get past -4
buffalo bills +3.5

13 comments
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Bucks10 says:
11/29/09 08:02AM

I do like Miami here. Their defense is underrated. They control this game with the run.

 

Best of luck with your play

DOVJAK says:
11/29/09 08:09AM
icover4u says:
11/29/09 09:35AM
Bigballer says:
11/29/09 09:40AM
I like Houston or Cleveland as the sucker bet this week
jbait88 says:
11/29/09 09:46AM

Carolina is the sucker bet

redskinsnut says:
11/29/09 09:53AM
I saw demapples on a milk carton this morning at the supermarket.
jpfinne says:
11/29/09 10:05AM
On Miami - good D and O
Dblduce5178 says:
11/29/09 10:15AM
how are these sucker bets when Joe Public is pounding the other side?
meatwhistle says:
11/29/09 11:02AM
like it burley.  Was wondering what happened to DEMAPPLES.  I'll be following you as well. 
ratherBgambling says:
11/29/09 11:05AM

ratherBgambling says:
11/29/09 11:08AM
Has this forum come to a point where we are longing for the return of "demapples" Wow, all he would do is go to the line movement page on covers and see which team had a high percentage on it and call it a sucker bet. 
JackSmack says:
11/29/09 02:17PM
He left last year after week 10 as well
burley says:
11/29/09 07:55PM
i hope the sucker bet took you off the phins for some of u or at least reduced your bet.

i will check the numbers and may have a play on monday night
pushing our luck on our first ever win as a demapples substitute prognosticator
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User: burley
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