hands up nba cappers who had the lakers to beat utah and got the 2 points as a dog line?
well i am sure 8/10 of you had them as a value play. why not throw a few bucks on the hot lakers and i get +2 to boot. fact is vegas cleaned up with utah winning from start to finish. more than 80% of the public were on the lakeshow. there is a correlation to this week's sucker bet as i am going to bank on vegas for this selection the same way i played the utah jazz tonight.
i have a 7-0 ats record going since posting here, not including ml and teaser winnings. in demapples fashion for this pick i am going with what he would play or i think what he would play. though i did bet this at -3 and not where it currently stands at 3' it is a risky bet and have a few other games on the go that i also think is worthwhile value.
the sucker bet this week is for joe public to bet on the san diego chargers.
so the play is dallas -3' ...although truthfully the wise thing to do is to buy this down to 3 as the chargers seem to do well against the nfc east.
this is the top bet game at s insight..74% spread and 76% looking for dog money payout.
is vegas and ovs books stupid enough to hand over free money in turn started giving you +150 for chargers su and now has blossomed to ver +167? i am sure there are the same bettors taking the +167 now who got in earlier. also there is reverse line movement with the volume of bets and now wants to give you an extra half point.
there are reasons why i am very sure that san diego loses this one although they might be within a fg.
for one dallas will more than likely lose next week otr against the saints. secondly at the same time a key playoff bye battle ensues next week with the chargers playing the bengals. knowing that dallas loses next week they should ensure at least one more week of sitting on the top perch in the nfc east.
as always bet small. gambling for profit is a journey not a race. this is a risky pick, but i am not putting all my eggs in this basket. my covers 7-0 ats is a bit in jeopardy with a risky venture like this one, but in demapples absence i think i did him proud with this one