nba playoffs sunday

Posting one up there:

Orlando/Boston Under 95.5 1H

For various reasons.

NBA 2/18 Nuggs at Cavs total discussion

Does anyone else see some value in the Under at 206?

-Looking back at all Thursday Night games this season (based on Covers closing line) the Under has cashed 24 times versus 11 times for the Over.  Linesmakers do not give away money in heavily bet games and most people will want to bet an Over on a Nationally televised game. 

-In their last three games before the break, the Cavs have gone over three in a row, while Denver has gone over in three of their last four before the break possibly increasing the total in tonight's tilt and giving further value to the Under.

-In their last match-up on Jan. 8th at Denver, the total closed at 202 and the final score was 99-97 with the Nuggets winning, a final total of 196.  Both teams shot a respectable 45% from the field, over 40% from 3-point land, and put in 40 points from the charity stripe and still went under by 6.  Yes Carmelo Anthony was out but I still don't think he is worth 4 points on a total.  Add that this low scoring game was played at Denver where the Nuggets average roughly 5 more points per game than on the road.

-Last season, with a lot of the same cast of characters, these two teams played to a total of 193 and 209.  In the game where they went over the total, the Cavs shot a ridiculous 57% from the field, while the Nuggets shot roughly 48% and put in 21 points from the charity and it still only eclipsed tonight's total by 3 points.

So far:

Pl... [More]

nba games played after OT stats

After watching two games go into OT last night I looked into how teams performed in their next game following an overtime game this season.  I came up with the following:

1) Teams in the East are 11-16 Straight up following an OT game.
2) Teams in the East are 13-14 ats (7-10 ats as dogs, 6-4 as favorites).
3) Teams in the West are 16-15 Straight up following an OT game.
4) Teams in the West are 11-19-1 ats (4-8ats as dogs, 7-11-1 as favorites).
5) The teams with the best records after an OT game are the Mavs and Lakers at 5-0 and 3-1 respectively.
6) If you take out the three teams with the best records from each conference, the remaining teams are 15-27 straight up after an overtime game and 16-25ats (9-17 as dogs and 7-8-1 as favorites).