Texasfan says:
could see the under happening.  Cleveland can do whatever they want. They will control the tempo.

cataholine says:

I like the under too

gqfiji says:
mo and powe should be back thursday, both practiced wed

grizly says:

Jive_Turkey says:

combined home / away ppg aves = 200.15

last meeting = u202

tomorrow's total = 206  

hmmmm...

Jive_Turkey says:

I'm tracking (TRACKING) totals that fall into this category atm, but I wouldn't lay a dime on an NBA line or total this season until I can guage a longish term feel for this "perfect storm" system.

These cnuts will chew you up and spit you out if you grind away trying to beat them taking their -110 lines every day imo.

You've got to find a way to get +100 at least on whatever you bet in this league unless you can find a trend or system that holds strong enough for long enough.

The NBA seriously aint worth the 8 month anguish

 

Canadian_Beaver says:
Never play totals - but BOL

bushman9 says:
Jive,

I thought the same thing at first.  I thought all the stats pointed to an under and they put out a total at 206 which should probably be a sign to take the over.  However there is a reason why this line is set a tad higher and it has nothing to do with the rather short history these two teams have with each other over the past two seasons.

In the Cavs last six games which happen to be their last six home games they are averaging 108.8 point per game.  In their last five games they are shooting 51.7% from the field.  In three of their last six home games, the Cavs have scored more than 113 and in those games they have shot a very high % from either the field and/or 3-pt.  Also it should be noted that these high scoring games were against the Magic, Knicks, and Clippers respectively.

Denver averages 107.2 per game and is averaging 109.6 in their last five games.

If anything, the stats point to a clear over based on how these teams have been playing right before the break.

What I'm betting on is the following:

1) The over will be a popular side in a heavily bet game so I should be getting a somewhat favorable line.
2) In their brief history over the past two seasons, these teams have played each other at a slower pace and lower scoring total.
3) The total may be inflated somewhat due to the high scoring these two teams posted before the all-star break.
4) The Nuggets score less on the road than they do at home.
5) These teams will not keep shooting at the high pace they were before the break, which is well above their season averages, and may be a little bit rusty and out of sync coming off such a long break.

This is not a record setting bet for me by any means.  It is just another game that I see enough of an edge that I would be willing to make a 1-2 unit bet.  I know that these teams are more than capable of coming out and playing at a fast pace and shooting the lights out to the tune of a 220 point total.  I also know that posting such a write-up for me is usually the kiss of death but I will try not to be superstitious.  I just thought I would share my angle and information with the board.  Good luck with whatever you play.

SpaceJamJORDANS says:
is jamison suiting up to play 2night?

UNDERdogin says:

 

this is well thought out

last years game where denver went in there and scored at will is in my memory

someone posted the heat vs denver in their next game as a monster play and hit it

I was thinking about that game last night when the heat opened at right around the same number that denver opened in miami

 

BigYo says:

Raidermex says:

I ran the model on it.

Here is the score.

Denver 97 Cleveland 103

200 total points

First Half Score

Denver 49 Cleveland 53

102 total points

Second Half Score

Denver 48 Cleveland 50

98 total points