college 14-8 ats
(7-1) 2units
(7-7) 1unit
Plays locked in earlier in week:
Cinci -27 (If this keeps rising, might have to play a half-middle at some point)
Miss -9.5 Miami +7 (might add more at 7.5)
Stanford -6 (for some reason this play worries me, thought I was getting a good line on Monday and can't really buy back now.)
Leaning but have yet to play:
Maryland +13 (Clemson is a defensive minded running team this year. Maryland is a defenseless minded running team that normally plays good when no ones expects anything out of them. The only thing holding me back is the severe regression in talent on the MD
squad this year. Almost losing to JMU, losing to MTSU, and getting blown out by Rutgers at home says how down they are this year.)
Cuse +6.5 (This is a different Cuse team this season who has shown they can stay with teams that are more talented while covering 3 of their games as dogs. Here they get USF in a
great letdown spot after upsetting Florida St. with their star QB out for the season. I think this to be a close game. Waiting to see if a 7 comes my way.)
Wisconsin +3Florida St-3.5 (I can understand why this number has come down as FSU can't be trusted to lay a number to anyone at this point. They are a complete Jekyl and Hyde team but they do have the superior athletes in this one. One thing FSU has shown over the past season and a half is that they rebound well after a loss and they play well on the road. BC has a very mediocre offense and a defense who hasn't really faced a very good offense yet. Add in the trend that in this series the away team has won and covered the spread the past 4 years.)
LSU+4 (Might have to see this line rise a little more to make a play. I just don't see this Georgia team with their defense playing anything but a back and forth close game with LSU. Georgia has recently played poorly as a home favorite and well as a road dog.)
Miss St. +5.5 (Just too many points for an underrated and tough SEC team at home. I think this line may be due to the fact that GTech housed the overrated Tar Heels at home which was a good spot for them to come out fired up. A question mark for this game is how Miss St. comes out against a non conference opponent after their failed last minute upset of LSU.)
Air Force +3 (Air Force is a little bit more talented in my opinion than Navy this season but that hasn't mattered much in the past. Navy has won the last 6 meetings and 5 of them as dogs. Is this Air Force's year to break the streak? This trend is holding me back a little, have to think about it more.
Cal +4 (I was going to lock this in early at 5.5 but was stubborn hoping it would pop to the key # of 6. The low number is the only thing holding me back at this point but will probably still
bite. Obviously Cal is dogged due to their 42-3 throttling by Oregon. They ran into a buzzsaw that was more up for the game than them. Maybe they thought too highly of themselves or maybe
they were foolishly thinking of USC the following week, I don't know for sure. Bottom line is Cal is not a good road team and should be fired up to show their true worth against a national powerhouse who has not proved much this year. One thing that worries me is with a master motivator like Carroll, how will this team respond to the Stafon Johnson tragedy?)