bushman9's Blog

NFL Week 1

By bushman9 | View all Posts
Posted Tuesday, September 02, 2008 05:00 PM   7 comments
My leans so far:

Buffalo Bills Even Improved team on both sides of the ball with key additions on defense and offense and another year under the belts of Edwards, Lynch, and Receiving Corps. They go up against a good Seahawks team with a great defense returning all of their starters.  I have questions whether the Hawks can overcome their offensive deficiencies with a makeshift right side of the offensive line and no established go to receiver with both Engram and Branch out.  The line is saying the Seahawks are a 3 point favorite over the Bills on a nuetral field and I see these teams as being even giving value on the Bills at anything under -3.  Although the Bills were 4-4 last year at home those losses were to the Pats, Giants, Broncos(which they should have won), and Cowboys.  They are a very capable team and should be hungry in their season opener.

Houston Texans +6 1/2

Tennessee Titans +3 (-115)

Philadelphia Eagles -7 1/2

San Francisco 49ers +2 1/2

Green Bay -2 1/2

Write-ups to come for remaining games.
7 comments
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texashorns says:
09/02/08 05:09PM
i think the jags are the toughest team in the nfl.  they take out the titans.
Profit01 says:
09/02/08 05:11PM
GL bushman..  I really think Minny is the smarter play here. Don't forget this will be Rodgers first ever start in the NFL and that in itself usually means a loss and add on what has gone on this offseason and into the preseason I just don't see how Rodgers can possible do well in this game.. History of QB's who take over from hall of fame QB's really have done very poorly everytime. Why should this be different then every other time this has happened in the nfl and those other guys didn't have to go through mentally what Rodgers had to go through to earn there job.
bushman9 says:
09/02/08 05:18PM
i don't disagree with you about the talent level of the jags, however this is a division rivalry pitting two playoff teams against each other.  These two teams usually play each other tough and split last year 1-1.  As "tough" as the Jags are the Titans are equally gritty and their defense plays with a chip on it's shoulder.  The Titans also added a couple players that should make their woeful offense a slight bit more dynamic.

The Titans may not win but I like the value of +3 and roughly +145 ml at home on opening week.
bushman9 says:
09/02/08 05:30PM
TY Profit,

I really don't know the success/failure rate of a qb following a hall of fame qb and I think we would have to look at each scenerio and see who these players were.  Yes it is true that Rodgers is unproven but he has been in the league for a while and from what I have seen of him as a ballplayer I like.  However my lean doesn't really have a whole lot to do with Rodgers.  It has more to do with Minny being a one dimensional team on offense, a public darling this year, and line value.

Adrian Peterson is a stud but look at their rushing stats in the final eight games.  Peterson only went over 100 yards once when teams stacked the box on them.  Do you really trust Tavaris Jackson to take over and lead this team to victory?
MrBator says:
09/04/08 05:15AM
I like your picks, bushman9.

 

 

bushman9 says:
09/07/08 12:44PM
Bator, Good luck this year.


Official Plays so far:

Buffalo Pick (2 Units)

Buffalo -1 (1 unit)

Houston +7 -125 (3 units)

Houston +7 -115 (1 unit)

Philly -9 -105 (1 unit)

Tennessee +3 -115 (2 units)

Tennessee ML +130 (.75 unit)

Miami +3 (3 units)

Miami ML +130 (1 unit)

Tampa +3 Even (2 units)

Tampa ML +155 (.5 unit)

San Fran +2.5 (1 unit)

San Fran ML +120 (.75 unit)
bushman9 says:
09/08/08 06:05PM
Green Bay -2 (3 units)

Green Bay 1H -.5 (1 unit)


GL
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