bvent's Blog
Posted Sunday, January 18, 2009 02:15 PM
NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME
Away: Philadelphia [12-6 ATS]
Home: Arizona [11-7 ATS]
Game Time: 3:00 PM
Stadium: University of Phoenix Stadium
Cards +4
Under 49.5
AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME
Away:
Baltimore [14-4 ATS]
Home:
Pittsburgh [10-7 ATS]
Game Time: 6:30 PM
Stadium: Heinz Field
Steelers -5.5
Under 34.5...
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Posted Saturday, January 17, 2009 06:03 PM
This should be a great game. Good Luck!
Posted Saturday, January 17, 2009 03:38 PM
Don't get left behind with this play. Since a surprising 56-55 home loss to UNLV, Louisville has won four in a row (3-1 ATS), going 3-0 SU and ATS to start the Big East season. Pitt snuck into the top spot when they beat Georgetown and both North Carolina and UConn lost. I don't feel this team is deserving of being #1 at this point of the season. Meanwhile, Louisville is looking for its third straight win over a ranked opponent.
The Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5. However, the Cardinals are 8-20-2 ATS in their last 30 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600 and 6-20-2 ATS in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Panthers on the other hand are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Last but not least is the fact the road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 match ups.
Even though I don't believe Pitt is deserving of the #1 spot in college hoops I do know that DeJuan Blair, Sam Young, and Levance Fields will prove too much for this Louisville squad.
PITT ML
I don't want to hear crap about the "L" word either, I don't believe in jinxing a play. I had the Cavs as a LOCK last night and that was a winn... [More]
Posted Saturday, January 17, 2009 01:41 PM
Wake Forest is 6-0 ATS and 4-2 SU in this ACC rivalry, losing 80-75 in overtime on the road last year but getting the cover as an 11.5 point underdog. In fact, these squads have gone to OT in three of the last four clashes. The Demon Deacons are also on a 5-0 ATS run playing in Clemson, and the road team has covered in seven of the last nine meetings.
The Deacons are 4-0 against winning teams, 6-0 against teams with a winning percentage above .600, 9-3 after a spread-cover and 7-3 on the road versus teams with a winning home record. The Tigers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five ACC games, but they are on 1-4-1 ATS at home and 2-6 at Littlejohn against teams with a winning road record.
Clemson has yet to play a ranked team this year and this will be evident today as I expect the Deacons to hold the Tiger to under 70 points this afternoon. Clemson is 2-12 SU in their last 14 against ranked teams.
WAKE +2.5
UNDER 153.5
Put your money to good use. Forget betting several games everyday. Use smart money management and start cashing in today.
Posted Friday, January 16, 2009 01:05 PM
The James Gang is 19-0 SU and 15-4 ATS in front of the home fans this season and are looking for a little more home loving after Thursday’s 102-93 overtime loss in Chicago as 7.5 point favorites.
The Cavs got out to a quick 13 point lead only to let the Bulls claw their way back in. LBJ shot 8 of 28 from the floor missing 20, yes, count them, 20 shots. Delonte West was injured early in the game and never returned. Probably one of the key's in yesterday's loss.
On 0 days rest the Cavs are 5-2 ATS compared to the Hornets who are 4-3 on 2 days rest and 6-4 ATS in their last 10 against the Cavs. The Hornets have won the last 3 these two teams played and 4 out of the last 5 and beat the Cavs last year at the Q. The also have a 1-0 advantage this year beating the Cavs 104-92 earlier this year in New Orleans.
The Cavs are a good bounce back team and this will be evident tonight. Daniel Gibson will fill in for the injured Delonte West. Gibson has always performed well in front of his home town fans.
I don't want to hear crap about the "L" word either, I don't believe in jinxing a play. Do you really think I have that power? If so, let me be your book.
CAVS -3
Don't think about it, just play it and be happy you did. Good Luck!...
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Posted Friday, December 12, 2008 11:09 AM
If you have to bet one game on Sunday what is it and why?
I like Houston +3.5 at home. Tennessee has looked flat lately and Houston's offense has been pretty good. Steve Slaton has done an excellent job and Andre Johnson is probably the best receiver in the league. I think Tenn will have a hard time stopping this offense.
Posted Wednesday, December 10, 2008 01:41 AM
This is a tough game to cap. Like many of you have mentioned the Saints have been aweful on the road. But they've lost road games to Carolina, Atlanta, Tampa, Washington, and Denver. All pretty good home teams. Their only road win is against the lowly Chiefs.
Along with the weather the Saints lack of Def will be one of the deciding factors in this game. Chicago is a hard place to play on a normal Sunday. Move the game to prime time and lower the temp to about 20 degrees and its even more difficult.The Bears are averaging almost 27 points a game at home while allowing a little over 23 ppg. Meanwhile the Saints are allowing 28 points on the road while scoring an average of 22 points per outing on the road. IMO neither of these teams will put up a lot of points in Thursday's match up and the UNDER is probably the play here.
Drew Brees is a different QB on the road than he is at home. He has 7 touchdown passes in 6 road games but 16 in 6 home games...one game that I didn't include with the home games was played in England where he had 3 TD passes. Brees also has 10 INT's on the road compared to just 4 at home. His QB rating is much worse on the road than it is at home and his play will be another factor in this game. On grass is QB rating is 86.6 compared to 105.3 on turf. His rating in road games is 76.7 compared to 117.2 in road games.
Kyle Orton isn't anything special whether he is playing at home or on the road, but has been playing better a...
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Posted Tuesday, December 09, 2008 04:36 PM
I see a lot of different opinions on tonight's match up and wanted to post my opinion and get input from others.
Q. Is this team like any other Cleveland team in previous years?
A. I don't believe so, IMO this team is much deeper than in previous years and I'm not sure past trends between these two teams apply. Matter of fact, I don't know if past trends vs any opponent apply this year.
The Cavs are #1 in the league in team DEF allowing 90.2 ppg and #4 in offensive scoring (103.5 ppg). They are also number one in offensive FG % and number one in defensive FG %.
Meanwhile, the Raptors have been struggling all year and have been blown out on the road several times this year. I don't see why anything changes tonight. The Cavs have been good to me all year and I will continue on the ride until it stops.
Cavs -12
Posted Monday, December 08, 2008 12:34 AM
I like Carolina in this divisional match up game. Carolina got beat pretty badly when these two teams last played in October. A blocked punt returned for a TD was the start of a bad day for the Panthers. Jake Delhomme played a pretty poor game. There were many oppotunies for the Panthers to score but Delhomme either under threw his receivers or was throwing picks that gave Tampa good field position.
Needless to say the Panthers need this win and playing at home on Monday night should help. Jake Delhomme is 7-2 against the Buccaneers overall and 0-1 this year. I can't see them losing two games to the Bucs in the same year. In my opinion it's pretty hard for NFL teams to win 2 games against a division rival. I will buy the line down a half point but like Carolina to win here. The over has been hot on MNF and I think it gets back on track in this game after last weeks under.
Carolina -2.5
Over 38
Good Luck!