c-money's Blog

Advice on 8 team parlay...

By c-money | View all Posts
Posted Wednesday, August 06, 2008 05:21 PM   31 comments
New poster to covers, I have admired many of the posters here and was wondering if I could get some feedback on the following teams on this 8 team parlay: USC-21,TULSA-14,OAKLAHOMA ST.-6,N.CAROLINA-14,NEVADA-17,BYU-21.5,TROY-6,FLORIDA-27.....
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nostradamus12 says:
08/06/08 05:45PM
FL and NV sound good, throw Texas Tech -40 in if it's available
c-money says:
08/06/08 05:50PM
I've only worked only worked on those,  I have a possible 3 that I could add...WYOMING-10,ARIZONA-28,AUBURN-27/ LEANING ON:VANDY+1.5,TENN-7.....
volley1460jr says:
08/06/08 05:50PM
USC was better @ 20.5 but i dont think you need to worry. Pete is no stranger to running up score and will need to iron out kinks before 13 SEP Ohio State!

 

OK ST -6 i really like. Much better then people will give them credit for early on.

 

Troy -6 (much better @ -5) but only worried bc at MTSU but i think its solid pick.

 

GL!

c-money says:
08/06/08 05:57PM
Thanks NOSTRADAMUS...i like T.T. too. Will probably keep it at 8 teams 50.00 to win $10,450.00...Here's a revised list:T.T,NEV,FLORIDA,OAKIE ST.,USC,N.C.,TULSA,BYU...
volley1460jr says:
08/06/08 05:59PM
take Tulsa out!!! and add TENN -6

 

 

c-money says:
08/06/08 06:11PM
VOLLEY1460JR, good looking on the Troy call. I'm going to take them because troy has good off/def lines, mtst. has no pass rush.
c-money says:
08/06/08 06:17PM
After further review, Tulsa is out,Tenn in. Thanks Volley...
volley1460jr says:
08/06/08 06:36PM
they like being under the radar right now...

 

One of the best Defenses in the SEC and the a$$load of problems UCLA has coming into the season plus Berry is a playmaker on TENN who imo will have an INT -return for TD and an offensive TD in the opener. They are looking at getting him touches on off.

 

TENN covers easily.

 

dont know if you had BC -9.5 in there but that is a good line, they lose M. Ryan which makes this under 10 but two DT are beast and E. Jarvis likes to run between the tackles, WILL NOT happen in this game. Plus Crane has all the potential to be next NFL prospect and has done favorable coming into replace Ryan last yr. This is a good line for me, but hadnt looked into it when i put my opening parlay in. Will add them in a few myself.

 

If you have WY in there i would replace them with BC... that game scares me for some reason. WY isnt a proven winner and with last yrs score albeit in Ohio and the TO margin i think mentally Ohio enters this game with "can do" mentality and think they can actually steal one on the road.

c-money says:
08/06/08 06:59PM
By the way Nostradamus, I'm from Virginia originally/Alexandria to be exact. Moved to the Bay area in 1987... 
c-money says:
08/06/08 07:12PM
Did not include Wyoming, might include B.C. in another parlay...I like to deal only on parlays...something I've enjoyed recently. Chalk in week one only,$$$$$$   
c-money says:
08/06/08 09:24PM
I understand....what did you mean when you said on building a bank stick to 3-4 teams only if someone has a gun to my head...are you saying 3-4 teams are better when starting off ?
c-money says:
08/06/08 09:55PM
Yea, got it NewDarkDay...I understand you feel that way. But you know some would say betting is for suckers....you see what I mean. It's all relative to who you talk to...and what they like or feel they are good at.
gobigblu4evr says:
08/06/08 10:39PM

I agree

Knightryder says:
08/07/08 12:07AM
Depending on your bankroll you would probally be better off breaking your 8 teamer into 3-4 teamers risking more more money per wager. More money on fewer teams is always a better option than less on larger parlays. Plus 3-4 teamers will allow you the option of hedging your parlay more frequent than 8-12 teamers. Most cappers dont believe in hedging parlays. I live by it. There is nothing wrong with having options that puts the game in your favor regardless of outcome.

 

Here is a strategy that I have had success with:

 

When betting 3-4 teamers

If you win your first 2 or 3 with 1 game to go bet only 20-30 percent of whatever the payout will be if win the parlay on the other side. For example:

 

If risked $100 on a 4 teamer to win $1000. Bet between $200-$300 on the other side. If you hit on the parlay you still take in a nice return on your $100 invested. If you loose you still cover the loss plus a little profit. If your last game to go is a heavy favorite i would suggest you bet 20% of payout on the opposing side spread and 10% on moneyline to maximize profits should you loose the parlay.

 

Also when choosing your games play close attention to kickoff times. You dont want to play to many games that overlap each other in your parlay. On 3-4 teamers I never bet more than two games that start around the same time in the same parlay unless i really like the matchup. Otherwise its best to space your parlay out over the course of the day or days. Trust me you will win parlays at a higher percent and put yourself in better oppurtunities to hedge if you choose to do so. Spreading games out also gives you the option to make halftime adjustments on your earlier games that could save you money or increase your profits. But ofcoarse there is a huge risk of loosing more money than your original wager but thats why they call it gambling. Sometimes you just know you made poor choice at the very beginning of a game. At this point its about minimizing lost than making profit. In these cases bet only 5-15 percent of payout on the other side in the 2nd half. But only do this if you are still catching pts. on a # that is equal to or better than the original spread. By doing this in the right situations you will cut some of your losses and if your team makes a miracle comeback to cover your parlay lives to fight another day still carrying 85-95 percent of the payout's value.

 

Your best chance at hitting an 8 game parlay will probally be through crossing sports. Obviously, the best time to do this will be in oct-dec when you have all 4 mager sports plus college b-ball going at the same time. I like to combine a 2-3 teams from each sport to create one parlay. Just stick to your strengths if you're better at one sport than another. GL

c-money says:
08/07/08 12:13AM
By the way NewDarkDay, I play mutiple bets. Not just parlays. If you noticed I said I like playing them recently....Thorpe adding 4 or 5 more then we'll see what....The majority of folks that responded were helpful were you....
c-money says:
08/07/08 12:22AM
Excellent Knightryder....THIS is what the forum accomplishes. Knightryder good-looking out...will watch for you during the year !!!
cherokee10 says:
08/07/08 01:03AM
I agree with Barry_Minuts, 3-4 teams are the best way to go. I love parlays (better pay) but 8 teams is risky, and one team fucking it up for ya will most likely drive you insane.....and cost you some anger management classes.

 

FLA,USC and TENN are great picks.......Troy might be a little close but they'll cover.......GL

Knightryder says:
08/07/08 01:27AM
No problem C-money. I like most of your picks. Im already locked in on:

 

USC -20.5 got it early

North Carolina -14

Tennessee -6

BYU -21 bought the .5

Nevada -17

All straight up. I haven't worked out any parlays yet. I want lock in on straight wagers with value first. Some of these lines are already starting to move. Hope you got Florida early. Not sure I would touch it at 33 or 34.

c-money says:
08/07/08 01:41AM
Hey cherokee10, what if I replace Troy with Nevada-17 vs Grambling St. ?
c-money says:
08/07/08 01:45AM
Yea Knightryder, locked in as well. I see the movement.
c-money says:
08/07/08 02:03AM
I took the advice of Barry/cherokee, split the eight teamer. 1st ticket-Nevada,USC,N.Carolina,Tenn. 2nd ticket-Oklahoma St.,Florida,Texas Tech,Wake Forest
Knightryder says:
08/07/08 02:33AM
I really like your 1st ticket. Almost identical to what i had in mind. And i see you took my advice about spacing your parlay. We may be sitting on the same game come sept. 1. Not a bad line to sit on either. Tenn could move as high as 8.5-9 by game time. Good work
cherokee10 says:
08/07/08 11:13AM
c-money,

 

Nice work switching Troy with Nevada. Troy is always a solid team, but losing their stud QB will make this game close, too close. Both tickets look deece, many of those game I have myself and looking forward to splitting them up here soon. GL my friend

 

Nawfside says:
08/07/08 05:47PM
This thread cracks me up. 8 team parlays are for people that like to throw their money away. If you lose 1 out of 8 you've lost whatever money you put on it. Why do that when you can just bet them all straight up. If you put $100 on each game and lost 1 then you've still won $590! There isn't an easy way to get rich quick when it comes to betting. It's a long and progressive process. Good luck to you though.
c-money says:
08/07/08 07:04PM
Nawfside...point taken. If you looked at the entire thread we were discussing my possible 8 team parlay/4 team parlay. All this shit is betting, so what if a 8 teamer does hit. It's only 50 invested. This is why I brought the issue up. Multiple facets to betting. One could say we all throw money away at some point ! 
Knightryder says:
08/07/08 09:13PM
C-Money you said it right. All this shit is gambling! Yeah its ture that straight wagers are the way to go in the long run but that doesn't mean parlays aren't beneficial. There is nothing wrong with parlays if you limit yourself and choose your spots wisely. Week 1 always presents strong oppurtunity for parlay success. No one is saying to dedicate your entire bankroll to parlays. That would be stupid. Maybe3-10 percent at most depending on the size of your roll is all that is needed. It amazes me when people on this forum criticize others for how they choose to invest thier money. If someone goes 7-1 in an parlay you will always have numerous people saying he should just have bet them all straight. But you rarely here anyone comment on the man who goes 8-0 su and say he should have parlayed em for $50 to win a few thousand instead of straight to win a few hundred. Whose to say that person who parlayed didn't bet the same games straight up in the first place. If you can afford to bet 100 a game whats wrong with throwing 20-50 down on a parlay or two with the same games. If you have winning day chances are you are profiting either way.

 

As far as hedging an spacing. Its all debatible. I personally dont understand whats wrong with hedging. Nobody sets out with hedging in mind when you place your bet. If i did not think all my games were going to cover i would not have bet them in the first place. But if the oppurtunity presents itself why not take advantage of it. You're not faced with too many win/win situations in life let alone gambling. Like C said there are many facets to betting. The key is to find what method works for you and stick with it.

94slug says:
08/09/08 05:49PM
Wyoming is going to be horrible no QB new coaches!    At the end of the year parlay is a sucker bet.  Save your bucks for straight wagers it will prove to be far more profitable.  Further more you bet to many favs get more dogs!!!!!!!!  Read more covers it will help...  Good luck..
Prosteak says:
08/11/08 10:42PM
Parlays are great. Nothing like spacing them out and going into the night game with two won and 1 to go. You obviously know the odds of winning an 8 game parlay, so make it a small play. Or not. straights are not the only parlay plays, of course, O/U, money line. I like parlays primarily for entertainment value - VERY entertaining when they hit.

You hit an 8 game parlay this season, go to the local watering hole and make a legend of yourself.

c-money says:
08/07/08 11:03PM
Knightryder, you hit it on the head. I'm sure you're similiar to me in regards to conversing with some of the better cappers on this forum and we leave the rest to their own devices...GOOD LUCK,AND THANKS !  
c-money says:
08/27/08 09:39PM
Don't worry 94slug...with 52 post i suggest you do the same. You need to read my blog on parlays. I place multiple types of bets. I JUST HAPPEN TO POST MY PARLAYS.
Faber_Guy says:
08/11/08 10:57PM


'Dores are getting... u sure u want to put them in there?
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