ce_manager's Blog

NY Mets vs. Atlanta Free Pick

By ce_manager | View all Posts
Posted Saturday, May 04, 2013 12:50 PM   0 comments
Today's free pick comes to us courtesy of Larry Ness. Larry is Playing the total on tonight's Braves-Mets game.

Pick:O (NYM AT ATL)
Start: May 4, 2013 - 7:10 PM
Capper: Larry Ness
Offered at: 5dimes @ Over 7.5 -102

Analysis:
The Mets lost six straight games from April 25-30...
My free play is on the NYM/Atl Over at 7:10 ET.
 
The Mets lost six straight games from April 25-30, totaling only 11 runs and hitting .165 with three HRs but have scored 14 times with six HRs in back-to-back victories to open the month of May. New York won 7-6 at Miami on Wednesday and then 7-5 (10 innings) last night in Atlanta.
 
The Mets have a chance to match a season high with their third straight win as they face Julio Teheran, who has been Atlanta’s least effective starter in 2013. Opponents are hitting .333 against Teheran, who has the worst ERA of any pitcher on the Braves' active roster. He has one quality start in five tries, while every other Atlanta starter has at least four. Now here’s the catch, the Braves have won all five of his starts (he’s 1-0 with that 5.08 ERA), as Atlanta has scored 31 runs in his outings.
 
Jonathon Niese is 2-2 with a 3.31 ERA on the season but is winless in his last three starts, while getting just three runs of support. That should change here and while Niese is 5-1 with a 2.93 ERA in seven starts against the Braves since the start of the 2011 season, I’m expecting those Atlanta bats to ‘wake up.’ The Braves haven't given their pitchers much support following a 12-1 start, hitting .226 with 156 strikeouts while dropping 11 of 16. However, Atlanta has batted .295 with 10 HRs and 57 RBI over its last nine home games against the Mets. Go OVER!
 
Good luck...Larry

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User: ce_manager
Joined: August 2011
Location: Ireland
Team: Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Occupation: Management

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