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MLB: Cleveland vs. Detroit Free Play

By ce_manager | View all Posts
Posted Saturday, May 11, 2013 06:40 AM   1 comment
Today's featured free pick comes from Bryan Power. 

Pick: DETROIT 
Start: May 11, 2013 - 7:08 PM Capper: Bryan Power Offered at: 5dimes @ -225 Detroit 
Analysis:

1* Detroit (7:08 ET):  It's VERY rare that I would even touch a line this high.  But sometimes it's worth it.  Such is the case Saturday night when Detroit sends out Justin Verlander to face the Cleveland Indians.  As I expected, the Tigers beat the Indians down in Friday's series opener 10-4 (winner for me).  Today, should be even easier.....

Over the last two seasons, Verlander has a perfect 13-0 team start record in home night games. That should be enough right there as we all know how good Verlander is. He comes in with a 1.55 ERA in seven starts and he's been even sharper lately with a 0.86 ERA and 0.952 WHIP his last three starts.  He took a no-hitter into the seventh inning his last start, a 9-0 win over Houston. He's allowed more than one earned run in only two starts this year. Meanwhile, after a dreadful start to the season Ubaldo Jimenez has won back to back starts for Cleveland.  That ends here. His ERA is still 6.37 in six starts. 

To rehash from yesterday's analysis, home field advantage has been huge in the past when these teams meet.  The Indians are now just 8-29 here at Comerica Park since 2009.  Detroit is now averaging around 6.5 runs per game at home.  Cleveland is due to start giving some back after winning 10 of 11.  1* Detroit.

1 comment
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Sukloski says:
05/11/13 09:25AM
I have serious doubts about the Tigers winning today's match easily. They are playing the best hitting team .802 OPS and the best bullpen 2.61 ERA. I know Verlander is a beast, but if the Indians keep it tight until Verlander is out it will be much closer than you would expect. At these odds its at least a no-bet proposition, Cleveland to win for the bolder ones.
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User: ce_manager
Joined: August 2011
Location: Ireland
Team: Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Occupation: Management

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