Today's featured free pick comes from Bryan Power.
Pick: DETROIT Start: May 11, 2013 - 7:08 PM Capper: Bryan Power Offered at: 5dimes @ -225 Detroit
1* Detroit (7:08 ET): It's VERY rare that I would even touch a line this high. But sometimes it's worth it. Such is the case Saturday night when Detroit sends out Justin Verlander to face the Cleveland Indians. As I expected, the Tigers beat the Indians down in Friday's series opener 10-4 (winner for me). Today, should be even easier.....
Over the last two seasons, Verlander has a perfect 13-0 team start record in home night games. That should be enough right there as we all know how good Verlander is. He comes in with a 1.55 ERA in seven starts and he's been even sharper lately with a 0.86 ERA and 0.952 WHIP his last three starts. He took a no-hitter into the seventh inning his last start, a 9-0 win over Houston. He's allowed more than one earned run in only two starts this year. Meanwhile, after a dreadful start to the season Ubaldo Jimenez has won back to back starts for Cleveland. That ends here. His ERA is still 6.37 in six starts.
To rehash from yesterday's analysis, home field advantage has been huge in the past when these teams meet. The Indians are now just 8-29 here at Comerica Park since 2009. Detroit is now averaging around 6.5 runs per game at home. Cleveland is due to start giving some back after winning 10 of 11. 1* Detroit.