Today's free play comes from Bryan Power.
Pick: ST. LOUIS
Start: June 22, 2013 - 7:15 PM
Capper: Bryan Power
Offered at: 5dimes @ -185 St. Louis
1* St. Louis (7:15 ET): This might be a high price range, but I'm willing to lay the juice in this instance as Shelby Miller toes the rubber. The Cardinals lost yesterday's series opener, which was the first time the teams had met since the 2011 World Series. But Saturday should be a far different story....
Shelby Miller is having an outstanding season. He is 8-4 with a 2.08 ERA and 0.961 WHIP. His strikeout to walk ratio is 96 to 19 as his team start record is 10-4. But here at home is where he's been most effective. In seven starts, he is 5-1 (6-1 TSR) w/ a 0.99 ERA and 0.750 WHIP. His KW ratio is 55-7. In his most recent start, he threw five scoreless innings against the Cubs, allowing only two hits. His KW ratio over the last three starts is 24-2.
Meanwhile, for Texas, Martin Perez lost his 1st start of the season. He lasted only 5.3 innings and gave up four runs. His WHIP ended up being 2.064. Perez is ill-suited to deal with a St. Louis lineup that comes in averaging over five runs per game. Furthermore, the Cards are an outstanding 22-4 off a loss this season and have only lost back to back games one time since the end of April. 1* St. Louis.