ce_manager's Blog

Free Pick: Colorado vs. Atlanta

By ce_manager | View all Posts
Posted Wednesday, July 31, 2013 12:12 PM   0 comments
Today's Free Pick comes from Will Rogers.  Let's see why The Coach likes the Braves in tonight's clash with the Rockies.

Pick: ATLANTA
Start: July 31, 2013 - 7:10 PM
Capper: Will Rogers
Offered at: 5dimes @ -170 Atlanta

Analysis:
I don't see much reason why we shouldn't be expecting the Braves to make it three in a row over the Rockies tonight at Turner Field. Well, Tyler Chatwood certainly has pitched well for Colorado, but that's simply not going to be enough against a far superior opponent.
Here are my keys to the game:
1.  Mike Minor - The Braves lefty has pitched very well of late. He just beat St. Louis, allowing only one run on four hits over seven innings.  He has a 2.05 ERA and 0.818 WHIP over his last three outings and on the season his ERA is just 2.89 in 21 starts. I see him outpitching Chatwood.   Colorado is just 14-25 vs. southpaws in 2013
2. Home field Advantage - Atlanta is a MLB best 36-15 at home this season, and that includes a 19-5 mark in the -125 to -175 price range. Colorado is now 11 games under .500 on the road for the year. They last won a road game on July 14th.
3.  X-Factor - Not only are these teams going in opposite directions of late, with the Braves winning five in a row while the Rockies have lost six of nine, but Atlanta has totally dominated Colorado head to head as well.  Not just this season, but over the last three years as they are 16-4 against them, including 9-1 at Turner Field.  In the first two games of this series, Atlanta has scored 20 runs and has 26 hits.  In the season series with Colorado (five games), they are averaging 7.8 runs/game and batting .311.
Selection: This is a free play on the Atlanta Braves (1*).


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User: ce_manager
Joined: August 2011
Location: Ireland
Team: Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Occupation: Management

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