ce_manager's Blog

Oklahoma City vs Washington FREE Winner

By ce_manager | View all Posts
Posted Monday, January 07, 2013 08:01 AM   0 comments
Today's featured FREE play comes from expert Ben Burns. To say Ben Burns is hot right now would be an under statement. In addition to going a PERFECT 8-0 with his football on the weekend, Ben Burns was also 2-0 in the NBA. He's now 30-10 his L40 NBA selections. Burns hasn't had a sub-500 day in 2013 and he's 26-10-1 (or 27-10) since New Year's Eve. Going back further finds him at 93-56 (+$29,103) over the past four weeks. You can check out today's free selection here.

NBA: Oklahoma City vs Washington, January 7, 2013 - 7:00 PM

Capper: Ben Burns
https://experts.covers.com/Handicapper/Ben_Burns

Pick: Washimgton +10.5

Analysis:

After eking out a winner with Friday's complimentary selection on the Pistons, I didn't release any "free" plays over the weekend. I did win both my "premium" NBA picks though, while also going 8-0 with my football. So, although Saturday's college hoops didn't fare too well, it was certainly a nice way to spend the first weekend of 2013.

Today, I'll take a look at an "ugly underdog" which is getting a lot of points ...

The Thunder are one of the best teams in basketball. The Wizards are one of the worst. That said, I feel Washington is offering us some solid value here.

Obviously, OKC is the superior team. However, as noted, this is a very large number.

Both teams played yesterday. The Thunder played early in the afternoon, beating Toronto by double-digits. (Durant, Westbrook, Ibaka all still had to play 35 or more minutes.) The Wizards played later, getting blown out by Miami.

I successfully played against the Thunder the last time that they played the second of back-to-back games. They lost outright vs. Minnesota. They're now 2-3 ATS the last five times that they were in that situation.

A closer look reveals that the Thunder have only won by more than seven points once, the last six times that they played on the road, after playing the previous day/night. (That includes four games this season & two last spring.)

Meanwhile, the Wizards have quietly been very competitive, when playing the second of back-to-back games. In fact, they're 8-2 ATS their last 10 in that situation, including 2-0 ATS since Christmas. They've played the second of b2b games nine times this season and only one of those resulted in a loss of greater than nine points - and that was at Miami against a revenge-minded Heat team. (I backed the Heat in that one, as it was a tough spot for Washington.)

The Wizards are 10-4 ATS the last 14 times that they were listed as home underdogs in the 9.5 to 12 range, going 4-2 ATS their last six in that situation. During that stretch, they've also gone 12-7-1 ATS when playing a home game where the O/U line ranged from 190 to 194.5 points.

Getting 10.5 at the betting window, as they currently are here, the Wizards upset the Thunder last January. Consider grabbing the points.

If you don't currently have an Expert account, simply sign up and receive 2 FREE Guaranteed Winners.
https://experts.covers.com/
0 comments
comment Post A Comment
Add your response:
Please note that the blogger has the option of reviewing all comments before they are displayed to the public. Your comment may not be published immediately.
 

Profile

User: ce_manager
Joined: August 2011
Location: Ireland
Team: Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Occupation: Management

Recent Posts

Archive

Categories