Today's featured FREE play comes from expert Ben Burns. Yesterday's 5-0 card brought Ben Burns to 15-5 the last four days. Winning at every single sport, Burns is up nearly 35 grand the last 10 weeks. Check out his expert analysis below.
NBA: Brooklyn vs Milwaukee, February 20, 2013 - 8:00 PM
Capper: Ben Burns
Pick: UNDER 193
I won with the "over" when these two teams met yesterday, part of a 5-0 Tuesday "sweep." The final score eclipsed the total long before the game reached OT.
The second game of a home and home series is often played at a different tempo from the first though. That said, I'm expecting significantly fewer points in tonight's rematch.
As noted yesterday, the Nets score more points AND they also allow more, when playing at Brooklyn. When playing on the road, as they are this evening, the "under" is a profitable 15-9. (Those games averaged 187 points.) That includes a 5-1 "under" mark when the Nets played a road game with an O/U line in the 190 to 194.5 range.
The Nets have also seen the "under" go 10-6-1 the last 17 times (9-4-1 L14 on the road) that they played the second of back-to-back games, dating back to last season. That includes a 2-0 "under" mark their last two in that situation. Those games finished with scores of 183 and 173.
Meanwhile, the Bucks have seen the "under" go 7-5 the last dozen times that they played their second game in two days. Note that Milwaukee was held to double-digits in scoring in nine of those games and that only four of those 12 opponents hit triple-digits.
The Bucks, who entered the break off four straight games which stayed below the total, have seen the "under" go 11-6-1 the past couple of seasons, when playing a home game where the O/U line ranged from 190 to 194.5.
It should also be noted that the O/U line was only 187 when Brooklyn visited here earlier in the season. We're getting considerably more points to work with here and I feel that's providing some value. Consider the Under.
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