ce_manager's Blog

Free Pick: Kansas City vs. Jacksonville

By ce_manager | View all Posts
Posted Saturday, September 07, 2013 10:26 PM   4 comments
Sunday's Free Pick comes to us from the red hot Bryan Power!

Pick:JACKSONVILLE
Start: September 8, 2013 - 1:00 PM
Capper: Bryan Power
Offered at: 5dimes @ 4 -110 Jacksonville

Analysis:
1* Jacksonville (1:00 ET):  Normally, a battle of 2-14 teams from the previous season would hold little to no interest w/ me, or football fans in general. But Kansas City is expected to improve in a major way in 2013 and its those very same expectations that will cost them the cover in this season opener. I'm taking the home dog here...
Kansas City had the worst point differential in the league last year at -214.  As a result, significant changes were made both at coach and at quarterback.  Andy Reid replaces Romeo Crennel on the sidelines; the only thing those two counterparts share is a love for the buffet line. Reid is a definitely upgrade as is new QB Alex Smith over the hideous Matt Cassel-Brady Quinn duo that plagued the team under center last year.
But at the same time, I feel that its too early in the season to be laying points w/ the Chiefs on the road, at least this many.  With the line now past the key number of 3, I feel the value resides with Jacksonville at home.  Over the previous two seasons, Kansas City is 0-5 against the spread when laying points. They are also 0-4 ATS the first two weeks of the season. Like KC, the Jaguars are breaking in a new head coach, Gus Bradley, who is the former DC from Seattle.  He won't want to open the year with a loss at home and I see this game coming down to the wire.  1* Jacksonville.

Sign up at https://experts.covers.com/ today and receive 2 Guaranteed Free Winners! 
4 comments
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Tjones972 says:
09/09/13 05:16AM
You are wrong..
marco says:
09/11/13 09:20AM
SOME EXPERT !!!!
Phor20 says:
09/12/13 11:28AM
nice job (eye roll!) I took KC -7 and all in my suicide pools, KC w/ easy skej will go 11-5 or 12-4 this year
toddwins says:
09/19/13 01:56PM
Another scamdicapper post, bringing up ABSOLUTELY meaningless trends. I can always tell when these clowns are giving bogus picks out, just look at what they mention in their "preview". If they bring up useless trends, it's a loser.
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User: ce_manager
Joined: August 2011
Location: Ireland
Team: Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Occupation: Management

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