ce_manager's Blog

NFL: Chicago at Detroit FREE Winner

By ce_manager | View all Posts
Posted Thursday, December 27, 2012 09:59 AM   0 comments
Today's featured FREE pick comes from Chris Elliott for Week 17 NFL.

Chris Elliott

Pick: Over 44.5

Analysis: The Bears can score on offense and defense, averaging 23.3 PPG to rank 15th in the NFL with their defense posting 9 TDs to lead the NFL with Tillman and Briggs accounting for a massive 5 defensive TDs combined. The Lions are averaging 23.2 PPG while totalling an excellent 311.5 yards with the top ranked passing offense. Expect Johnson to continue his record setting season with 1,892 receiving yards.

The Bears QB Jay Cutler is healthy for this game and that is a big key for Chicago's offense as he is the catalyst with 2,776 yards and 18 TDs after missing a few starts this season. He has been especially strong after a slow start, with 15 TD and 8 INT in his last 11 games. Top RB Matt Forte was seen wearing a walking boot after Sunday's game but rest assured he will play Sunday in the teams biggest game thus far this season as they are in the thick of the playoff hunt. The Bears offense opens up on the road with the "Over" cashing in 5 of the last 6 road games with the average total in those games sitting at 47 PPG while they had a stretch of scoring 125 points in 3 road games in Oct/Nov against teams similarly ranked defensively as the Lions.

The Lions have made their mark this season with the passing offense ranking 1st in the NFL as QB Matt Stafford has thrown the rock a jaw dropping 685 times in 15 games for an average of 45.7 attempts per game. They have posted an excellent 414.2 YPG to rank 2nd in the NFL while the passing offense ranks 1st overall with 311.5 yards in the air. WR Calvin Johnson broke hall of fame receiver Jerry Rice's record with an amazing 1,892 yards receiving as no defense has been able to slow him down averaging 126.1 YPG in the air. Overall Lions games are averaging 50.6 PPG while the games have been especially high scoring at home, averaging 51.6 PPG with 4 of the 7 games going Over.

4 of the last 6 games between these two in Detroit have gone "Over" the total with the average total in those games sitting at 49.2 PPG. With the low projected total Sunday, take the "Over" to win this game. I successfully hit the "Over" in the past 2 weeks with my free plays and look to hit another easy winner here! Good luck and enjoy.

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User: ce_manager
Joined: August 2011
Location: Ireland
Team: Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Occupation: Management

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