celliot's Blog

NFL Free Play NE at SEA

By celliot | View all Posts
Posted Saturday, October 13, 2012 06:25 PM   2 comments

The NFL’s #1 offense will take on the #1 defense Sunday when the New England Patriots 3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS travel west to Washington to face off with the Seattle Seahawks 3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS.

The Patriots (1-1 ATS road) are averaging an NFL best 33 PPG and 439.4 YPG. QB Tom Brady has had another great start to the season in 2012, completing 67% of his passes for 1,450 yards with 8 TD and just 1 INT. He has a QB rating of 102.8.

Overall the offense is 1st in total yards (2,197) 3rd in rush yards (827) and 8th in pass yards (1,370).

DE Chandler Jones leads the defense with 3 sacks and 2 forced fumbles. They have allowed an average of 22.6 PPG (16th), 290 pass yards per game (4th) and 82.2 rush yards per game (8th).

The Pats haven't lost ATS on the road since October of last season. It's October in Seattle and they are overdue.

The Seattle Seahawks picked up a big 16-12 win on the road last week in Carolina. QB Russell Wilson has been average for Seattle, posting a QB rating of 75.3 and throwing for 815 yards with 5 TD and 6 INT. RB Marshawn Lynch has been a beast, averaging 4.5 yards per carry and 100+ YPG.

DE Chris Clemons has been solid, picking up 5.5 sacks and 1 FF through the first 5 games. Overall the defense has been top notch. They are 2nd in PPG allowed (14), 1st in total yards allowed (258.6), 3rd in rush yards allowed (66.6) and 4th in pass yards allowed (4th).

The Hawks are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games at home including the last 5 consecutive.

Of note, the Patriots were held to 18 points at home against Arizona in a 20-18 loss. The Hawks defense is comparable to the Cardinals while the Hawks home field advantage is considered the best in NFL. No crowd is louder than the 12th man in Seattle, I've witnessed it myself, its amazing.

While Brady is one of the best ever and will be up to the challenge of the loud crowd, is his offensive line up to the challenge of the Seahawks awesome pass rush?

The Hawks stuffed the Packers high octane offense on Sept 24th for 8 sacks in the first half until Rodgers was forced to hand off to Cedric Benson in the second half. Seattle won that game 14-12 at home. The Packers offense is comparable to the Patriots. They are both pass first mentalities, expect the Pats to be forced to run the ball in this game.

It is cold and wet in Seattle these days with an 80% chance of rain for this matchup. Look for a heavy dose of the ground game from Seattle which will slow the game down and keep it close. With the home team as the dog +4 points. Take Seattle to win ATS
2 comments
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lvexpert41 says:
10/14/12 07:41PM
Nice call!
celliot says:
10/14/12 11:36PM
Thank you

12-2 NFL/NCAAF this weekend, check me out on the experts page!

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User: celliot
Joined: May 2012
Location: United States
Team: Atlanta Braves
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