classy's Blog
Posted Tuesday, September 29, 2009 09:12 PM
Edmonton at Winnipeg +5
In order for Edmonton to cover this game they must win by 6 points. So how many games have the Eskimos won by 6 points this season…….one, and it wasn’t on the road. Yep, the only 6+ point win was at home vs. Montreal in week 5 and given how good Montreal has been this season you have to think that Montreal’s level of play in that game had more to do with this loss than Edmonton’s level of play. So given this fact you would think Winnipeg should cover this week right? Think again. Winnipeg did win vs. the worst team in the CFL last week, but they’re still haunted by all their bad home field results before that game. 45 point loss to Saskatchewan….27 point loss to Montreal…14 point loss to Toronto….I’m not yet convinced that this team has officially turned around their home field woes. Winnipeg also have not won 2 games in a row this season.
Saskatchewan at BC –1.5
I think Saskatchewan will win this one, but I won’t put any money on it. Saskatchewan continues to be one of the best road teams in the league this year, but I still don’t know how they lost that game in BC in week 6, after they won in Calgary the week before. The Lion... [More]
Posted Tuesday, September 29, 2009 03:46 AM
So i'm on yahoo.com looking at the probable pitchers for tuesday. I look at the right side of the screen and see a banner link advertisement for a sports handicapping/consulting site run by Brandon Lang. As a way to get the readers attention, the ad also brags about the fact that his life was documented in the movie 'Two for the Money'.
If you didn't see the movie 'Two for the Money' let me give you a quick recap....
A guy joins a sports consulting firm and starts out picking a lot of winners. As times goes on his luck runs out and starts picking a lot of losers. As a result of his recent bad luck his world around him starts to crumble. He loses a shitload of money, his personal relationships are screwed up, and his bosses personal life is on the brink of ruins. At the end he lets it all ride on one game, a game he picked by flipping a coin. During the game he literally walks out on the firm not knowing if he had won or lost his final bet. (he won).
My question to you is this. Given what happened to him during the movie (losing picks and flipping coins) would you really want to pay for this guys advice?
hmmmmmmmm......
Posted Wednesday, September 23, 2009 01:48 PM
Montreal at Hamilton +4
Hamilton have now won 5 in a row at home and are rolling along nicely. Montreal should be their toughest home field test the season since they started their win streak back in week 3. Montreal have the best record in the CFL but their road play has been inconsistent. They got off to a good start away from home with good wins in Calgary and Saskatchewan, but their last 3 road games have been up and down. In week 5 they lost badly to an Edmonton team, which was not playing well at the time. Two weeks later they won nicely vs. Winnipeg, then after their Bye week lost in BC. Then last week at home they dominated Winnipeg in a game which I thought Winnipeg would make a little more competitive given that the Al’s were as strong at home in the previous 2 home games vs, BC and Saskatchewan, but apparently not. Montreal is 10-1 in their last 11 meetings against the Ti-Cats. Don’t know which Montreal team will show up, so I’ll lay off this one.
BC at Calgary –8
With the exception of one game in Hamilton in week 5, BC’s been a very competitive road team this season. They’ve won in Edmonton and Toronto, and lost close games in Saskat... [More]
Posted Wednesday, September 16, 2009 06:01 PM
You know the one
The one with the eye and tounge arguing with each other. Then the brain comes in tells them both that they're going to make them "eat dirt" and "wear the onion sombrero all day long"
I don't get it
Posted Wednesday, September 16, 2009 04:45 PM
Calgary at Hamilton +4
Hamilton wins at home and Calgary plays nothing but close games on the road lately, so with the line at +4 for the home team, I’m going with the Ti-cats here. Hamilton has won 4 in a row at home, and a couple of those games were vs. teams coming off good road victories. Calgary may or may not win this game straight up, but their last 3 road games have been close. They’ve won and lost close games in Edmonton over the last month and won a close 3 point game in Toronto after their bye week.
Toronto at BC –7.5
BC’s played good the last 2 games vs. Montreal but can they keep it up….don’t know. If the team that showed up vs. Montreal and Saskatchewan comes to play then they can cover the 7.5 easily. If they team that showed up vs. Winnipeg and Calgary comes to play, probably not. Bottom line, BC’s very inconsistent at home. Toronto’s lost 2 in a row on the road. Both of those losses came against good home teams like Montreal and Hamilton, both have a combined home record of 9-0 in their last 9 home games. The Argo’s have proven that vs. the right team or situation that they are capable of winning on the road like they did... [More]
Posted Wednesday, September 09, 2009 03:05 PM
Hamitlon at Toronto +1
The bookmakers were bang on with this line. Hamilton have lost 3 in a row on the road while the Argos have haven't won at home in over a year, but despite their poor road and home records, those numbers are a bit misleading. If you look at Toronto's last 3 home losses dating back to week 5, all 3 games were close and were decided in the final minute. Hamilton's last 2 road losses were also close vs Edmonton and Saskatchewan, so it's not a far fetched theory to suggest that this game will probaby end up close as well. Toronto is 9-1 at home vs Hamilton in their last 10 home meetings.
Calgary at Edmonton +2
Another good line by the bookmakers when you consider that 4 out the the last 5 games have been decided by 3 points or less (the other game was within 5). Calgary's last 2 road games were decided by 3 points, while Edmonton's last 2 home games were also close, so a close game here again isn't out of the question. Calgary's road play is dependent on the level of their opponent this season. They win vs. slumping teams like Toronto and BC and lost vs. Edmonton and Winnipeg (coming off a good week 1 game). Edmonton's been pretty good at home this season going 4-1 so expect another tough challenge for the Stamps this week.
BC at Montreal -10
Much like Calgary, BC on the road will play to the level of their opponent (except in Edmon...
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Posted Sunday, September 06, 2009 10:23 PM
Toronto at Hamilton
Toronto's a bad team (1-6 in their last 7), and Hamilton's a good team at home winning their last 3. But for some reason Toronto really seems to have Hamilton's number especially in Hamilton on Labour Day. I know that Toronto's team isn't as good now as it has been in previous years and Hamilton a much better team now than they were in the past, but that horrible week 1 loss at home vs. Toronto is still lingering over me. If I told you that Hamilton would be playing Toronto, BC, Edmonton, and Winnipeg at home and they were only going to lose to one of these teams, Toronto would be that last team on the list....but they did. The -5 line also looks a bit nasty as well so if you're going to pick Hamilton, play with caution.
Edmonton at Calgary
This will only be the 4th road game of the season for the Eskimos. They've have a pretty wobbley time on the road this season losing bad in Montreal, playing bad in Saskatchewan (but winning), then playing good in Hamilton (but losing). At home this season, Calgary has mostly played to their level of their opponent, winning vs. under .500 teams like Winnipeg and Toronto, and losing vs. decent competitive teams like Montreal and Saskatchewan. I'd like to say that you should pick Calgary, because they're the home team, it's Labour Day, and Labour Day games are a big deal in the CFL. But recently Calgary doesn't have a dominant history over that past 6 years of winning at home vs. Edmonton like BC does...
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