The bookmakers were bang on with this line.  Hamilton have lost 3 in a row on the road while the Argos have haven't won at home in over a year, but despite their poor road and home records, those numbers are a bit misleading.  If you look at Toronto's last 3 home losses dating back to week 5, all 3 games were close and were decided in the final minute.  Hamilton's last 2 road losses were also close vs Edmonton and Saskatchewan, so it's not a far fetched theory to suggest that this game will probaby end up close as well.  Toronto is 9-1 at home vs Hamilton in their last 10 home meetings.

 

 

Another good line by the bookmakers when you consider that 4 out the the last 5 games have been decided by 3 points or less (the other game was within 5).  Calgary's last 2 road games were decided by 3 points, while Edmonton's last 2 home games were also close, so a close game here again isn't out of the question.  Calgary's road play is dependent on the level of their opponent this season.  They win vs. slumping teams like Toronto and BC and lost vs. Edmonton and Winnipeg (coming off a good week 1 game).  Edmonton's been pretty good at home this season going 4-1 so expect another tough challenge for the Stamps this week.

 

 

Much like Calgary, BC on the road will play to the level of their opponent (except in Edmonton week 3).  With that being the case I don't really expect another victory in Montreal this week.  The Al's are a perfect 4-0 at home this season with all 4 of their wins coming by 9 points or more,   Montreal should win straight up but that line is scary (good job by the books again setting the right line)  BC largest loss on the road this season was by 12 points in Hamilton, but that margin of victory was a bit misleading becuase of BC's 6 turnovers in that game which resulted either good field position for Hamiton's offense, or blown opportunites for easy points by BC's offense (Remember that fumble at the Hamilton 1 yard line?)

 

 

This will only be the 4th game at home for Winnipeg.  The Bombers at home got off to a good start beating Calgary in week 2, but since have played poorly losing to Toronto, then to Montreal by 27 points.  Saskatchewan's road play has been very tough to read all year.  They won big in Toronto week 2 (which is good considering that Toronto has been losing close since then) then winning in Calgary in week 5.  Just when they were starting to look like road warriors the next week they go to a slumping Lions den and lose by 14, then 2 weeks later in Montreal they lose by just 9 against an Al's team which usually wins in double digits at home.  LIke I said, tough to read.  In Winnipeg's last 7 regular season home games vs Saskatchewan the Bombers have gone 5-2 with both their losses coming by 2 and 3 points, so if you base your picks just on history, Winnipeg +3 might not look so bad.

 

Conclusion:  I wish the line was +3, but I'll give the Eskies a whirl.