classy's Blog

Important things to know about the Stanley cup Finals

By classy | View all Posts
Posted Friday, May 29, 2009 08:35 PM   2 comments
Here are some stats that have been compiled on both the Penguins and Redwings throughout the first 3 series of the playoffs.

Records

The Penguins are 8-1 in their last 9 playoff games including a 4 game winning streak on the road. Detroit is 7-2 in their last 9 playoff games and have also won 5 in a row at home.

Playoff Trends

In the playoffs each team starts the sereies playing 2 games at home and 2 on the road.  Detroit have won all their game #1's at home and are a combined 5-1 in the first 2 games of each series. 

Pittsburgh on the road were all over the place winning the first 2 in Carolina, losing the first 2 in Washington and splitting the first 2 in Philly. 

Based on the above facts it's almost a sure bet that Pitsburgh will probably not be leaving Detroit with a 2-0 series lead and it is highly likely Detroit will probably win game 1.  What happens in Game 2 if Detroit does win game 1 is anybody's guess. 

As impressive as Detroit's 5-1 home record is in game's 1+2, Pittsburgh's is better.  The Penguins are a perfect 6-0 at home in their first 2 games at home, while Detroit have split the first 2 road game's twice and won the first 2 once (in Columbus). The  Red wings are 3-0 on the road in game 4's so if the Wings lose game 3 it might be wise to layoff game 4 because you'll be going against two 3-0 trends for both teams.

Back-to-back statistics

Games 1 and 2 occur on back to back nights.  Looking back to this season the Red wings not including shootout losses (not real losses) have only lost back-to-back once out of 15 times this season.  The Red wings had good success winning back-to-back games turning the task 6 out of 15 times.  The Penguins in 14 back-to-back games this season split 11/14 games.  2/14 back to back games were both losses and only 1 resulted in 2 wins.

Keep in mind that the only back to back win the penguins had was in the playoffs against Washington so take that 11/14 split statistic with a grain of salt.

The Final 3 games

Beyond game 4 things get a bit backwards.  In games 5,6,7, the Red Wings are 3-0 at home and 0-1 on the road, While the Penguins are 0-2 at home, and 3-0 on the road.  Something's gonna have to give.  What gives is anyone's guess

Win/Loss Trends

Pittsburgh havn't lost 3 in a row since early Feburary and the last time they lost 2 consecutive games at home was December 30th  so if the wings win game 3 in pittsburgh or win 2 in a row anywhere in this series, if might be a good idea to fade them the next game.

Detroit haven't lost 2 consectuive games on the road since January 27th so if the Wings lose game 3 in PIttsburgh, maybe you should ride them in game 4....but then again pittsburgh's never lost the first 2 games of a home series, so maybe you should just layoff game 4 altogether?

Game 7

Game 7 in a Stanley cup finals usually always go to the home team.  14 game 7's have been played in the SC finals and 12 have them have gone to the home team.  Last time the road team won game 7 was in 1971, Since then the home team is on a 6-0 run.

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So based on the above info, this is how I predict the series could go

Game 1: Detroit
Game 2: Pittsburgh
Game 3: Pittsburgh
Game 4: Detroit
Game 5: Detroit
Game 6: Pittsburgh
Game 7: Detroit
2 comments
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weeble5672 says:
05/29/09 10:40PM
Wow...an appearance by classy.

Nice info
Johnnypicks says:
05/29/09 11:48PM

really....great write...,,,,,like the wings in  6 max

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