combato's Blog

Posted Sunday, October 19, 2014 07:25 AM

CFB Update 10/19/14

Had the best CFB week of the season going 11 Wins and 2 Loss ( after adjusting for the late scratches posted on the blog on Sat which scratched OU and WKY

Winners were SJ State, So Miss, BC, Ohio, W Mich, Maryland, Pitt, Houston, New Mexico, LSU. North Carolina

Losers were Virginia and Hawaii

Season Record to date in CFB is 52 Wins, 33 Losses.

Check the Covers contest for all the leans

Posted Saturday, October 18, 2014 10:07 PM

NFL for Sunday 10/19/14

Cincy +3
Jax +5.5
St Louis +6
Minnesota +5
Miami +5
NY Giants +6.5
Pittsburgh -3 (Monday Night)

Posted Saturday, October 18, 2014 08:19 PM

Questions about leans

Several people have asked me about "leans" - which side looks the best even if I am not playing it

What I do is I play all of my leans and regular plays in the Covers contest.  I don't have a set time that I turn all of them in but if anyone wants to check where the leans are, they will be in the Covers NCAA contest along with the regular plays.

Currently I in the upper 3% of contestants for CFB and about a bit less in the NFL.   I don't play to try to win the contest but I do use as a way to point out that my handicapping is okay and not a lot of BS like we see on the forums.

NFL Record on the Blog thus far this season is 25 Wins and 20 Losses for a 56% WP (about where I expect to be over a large number of plays so things are on target up to this point)
Will have CFB updated record later tonight or tomorrow.

Posted Saturday, October 18, 2014 06:25 PM

Adding LSU -11 vs Kentucky



Posted Saturday, October 18, 2014 05:40 PM

Adding Hawaii +9 vs SD State



Posted Saturday, October 18, 2014 05:27 PM

Adding Southern MIss +8

Southern Miss +8 - not the greatest team by any means but UNT is pretty weak too.

May drive over tonight and watch this one in person.

Posted Saturday, October 18, 2014 04:38 PM

UNC -2.5 vs Ga Tech

So why am I taking North Carolina and laying 2.5 vs Ga Tech?
Looks to me like some sharp money likes UNC and therefore, so do I.

Posted Saturday, October 18, 2014 03:39 PM

Virginia Head Coach continues to blow game

Mike London, head coach at Va, continues to impress me (negatively0 with his disorganized, and undisciplined approach to coaching.

He personally lost the game with his team being unable to function in the last 2 minutes.  Penalties, delay of game, dumb calls allowed Duke to come from behind and win.

What a dumbass!!





Posted Saturday, October 18, 2014 02:37 PM

Add New Mexico +7.5



Posted Saturday, October 18, 2014 11:27 AM

Late Breaking - Scratch OU and W Kentucky



Posted Friday, October 17, 2014 10:56 PM

Getting Lazy on the BLog

Hit Pitt winner last night
On Houston tonight but I laid -9 after it opened at -6.  Would be nice to anticipate games BEFORE they move.

Tomorrow, here a few games that I will be on for sure

Maryland -5 vs Iowa  ( sharp $ looks like MD as well early line move on MD)  Maryland has some speed this year and will probably just out speed the plodding Hawkeyes.

OU -7 - I love to bet really good teams when the public is pissed at them.  OU is a good team but square bettors have driven the line from OU -10 to OU -7.  Not often we get value like - Unloved Favs are not as good as they used to be however.  Still, not terrible and I am playing OU.  Blow out of KState

W KY -4- Low visibilty game with a lot of reasons to play WKY

Va + 3 vs Duke - Everybody loves Duke.  Some love Va.  Va has a moron for coach while Duke has this years favorite genius as their coach.  Duke has an offense as but VA can play defense, even with an idiot for a head coach.  Looks like Va to me.

3 MAC Games that all look the same -  MAC dogs that are bet early have been money in the bank this year.
Western Michigan has been fantastic,  Ohio less so but not horrible.   (still, I refuse to play Kent under any circumstances)
Pick these 3 games and you most likely hit 2 for a winner/

BC +5.5 vs Clemson - Lemme tell you, BC is one tough bunch.  They run the ball down your throat and then s... [More]

Posted Monday, October 13, 2014 07:41 PM

NFL Butt Kicking ( 1 win, 5 losses )



Posted Sunday, October 12, 2014 06:38 AM

CFB Update

Went  6 wins, 5 losses on the blog

Winners were, Duke, BC, TCU, W Mich, Michigan, USC

Losers were Ga State, Ohio, Indiana, UCLA, Florida

Record on blog for season stands at 46 Wins, 31 Losses (60%)

Posted Saturday, October 11, 2014 10:26 PM

NFL for Sunday 10/12/14

Cleveland -1 ( consider a ML play here)
Miami +2.5 ( consider a ML play here)
Buffalo +2.5 ( another ML possibility)

Wash +3.5
Atlanta -3

Posted Saturday, October 11, 2014 05:57 PM

Florida, Michigan, USC tonight



Posted Saturday, October 11, 2014 01:41 PM

Boston College, TCU, UCLA are 2:30 plays



Posted Saturday, October 11, 2014 01:39 PM

Western Michiga n +1



Posted Saturday, October 11, 2014 01:04 PM

1 PM games

Ohio +1
Georgia State +10

Posted Saturday, October 11, 2014 10:58 AM

Early 11 AM Games Sat CFB 10/11/14

Playing two early games

Indiana +3 vs Iowa 
Duke +4 vs Ga Tech

More later before games at 1 PM CST

Posted Thursday, October 09, 2014 02:37 PM

Thursday Oct 9 NFL

Houston looks like the play tonight.

Currently, the line is Hous +2.5.

I am going to wait and see if any of my outs move the line to -3, -110 or better.'

If not, I will play Houston on the ML instead of getting only 2.5 pts.

Posted Tuesday, October 07, 2014 01:15 PM

NFL Update

Lost Washington on Monday Night

NFL Weekend was 4- 4
Total NFL record is now 24 Wins and 15 Losses



Posted Monday, October 06, 2014 06:24 PM

Monday Night NFL 10/6/14

I am playing Wash +7 tonight



Posted Monday, October 06, 2014 07:47 AM

NFL Update

NFL Record for Sunday 10/5/14 was 4 wins, 3 losses

Wins were St Louis, Carolina, Buffalo, New England

Losses were Jets, Az, Tenn

NFL Record - 24 Wins, 14 losses ( WP 63%) 

I have added Jets, Jacksonville and Oakland to my "No Play" list until these teams show signs of being actual NFL franchises.

Posted Sunday, October 05, 2014 05:10 PM

Sunday Night Play

I am playing New England tonight but waiting until late to see if I can get +3.

If I don't get +3 or better, then I will play NE on the money line.

Posted Sunday, October 05, 2014 01:03 PM

Scratching SF as a play for Sunday

Afternoon games

Jets +6.5 vs SD
Arizona +8.5 vs Den

SF is no longer a play for me today

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User: combato
Joined: October 2001
Location: Texas
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Occupation: Health Services

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