WEEK 10's SUCKER BET brought to you by Tootsie Pop!

"Good morning everyone and welcome to Week 9's edition of the SUCKER BET, as always brought to you by the kind folks at Tootsie Pop!  For those of you who are unfamiliar with the SUCKER BET, each week I identify the games where the public seems to be heavily favoring one side.  Typically there are 3 or 4 choices each week.  From those games, I choose one unpopular pick as the SUCKER BET.  Last week was ANOTHER outright win for the SUCKER BET, bringing our season tally to an even 5-4 ATS.  This week we are going to do something we only done a few times in the past.  There is a total that jumps out in which Joe Public is heavily favoring the over.  Perhaps more so than any on the board this week.  I'm however going to take the under 44 in the Falcons at Panthers match-up.  This week I'm relying heavily on trends.  However there is more to support this play than just trends.  That being said....The Under is 12-2 in the last 14 meetings in Carolina.  The Under is 6-0 in Falcons last 6 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0, 6-0 in Falcons last 6 games as a road favorite,  and 7-1 in Falcons last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.  The Under is 9-0 in Panthers last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games in Week 1, 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game, 4-1 in Panthers last 5 home games, 4-1 in... [More]