WEEK 3's SUCKER BET brought to you by Tootsie Pop!

"Good morning everyone and welcome to Week 3's edition of the SUCKER BET, as always brought to you by the kind folks at Tootsie Pop!  For those of you who are unfamiliar with the SUCKER BET, each week I identify the games where the public seems to be heavily favoring one side.  Typically there are 3 or 4 choices each week.  From those games, I choose one unpopular pick as the SUCKER BET.  Last week was a winner for the SUCKER BET as the Texans won outright vs. the Titans.  This week I'm picking the Seahawks +2.5 as they host the Chicago Bears.  According to Covers Consensus, over 75% of cappers are licking their chops at the Bears giving less than a FG.  The line suggests that Joe Public has been backing the Bears since the line opened at Bears -1.  These are all indications I like to see when evaluating a SUCKER BET.  The Bears are coming off a big victory over the Super Bowl champs and Seattle lost a tough divisional matchup on the road to the Niners last week.   Seattle is 35-13 SU over the last six seasons at Quest Field.  Seahawks are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.  Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.  Bears are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.  Bears are 1-6-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.  Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 3.  Bears are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road fav... [More]

WEEK 2's SUCKER BET brought to you by Tootsie Pop!

""Good afternoon everybody and welcome to Week 2's edition of the SUCKER BET, as always brought to you by the kind folks at Tootsie Pop!  For those of you who are unfamiliar with the SUCKER BET, each week I identify the games where the public seems to be heavily favoring one side.  Typically there are 3 or 4 choices each week.  From those games, I choose one unpopular pick as the SUCKER BET.  Last week was a tough week for the SUCKER BET as the backdoor cover was taken away by a late Stafford INT and the Saints rolled as many thought they would.  Of the 6 games last week where the public was more than 60% favoring one side, the Broncos were the only unpopular pick to cover.  This week is another tough call to make but I'm taking the Texans +7 in Tennessee.  This line has been sitting at 6.5-7 since it opened which is something I like to see.  The Titans are coming off a tough OT loss vs. the Steelers and everyone in the country watched them play well as the covered ATS.  Conversely, the Texans got beat up badly by the Jets. The Texans have some key players coming back off injury none more important than WR Kevin Walter. Steve Slaton had 2 big games vs. the Titans last season.  Houston had the 4th best passing offense last season (3rd overall). Texans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as... [More]

WEEK 1's SUCKER BET brought to you by Tootsie Pop!

"Good morning everybody and welcome to Week 1's edition of the SUCKER BET brought to you by Tootsie Pop!  For those of you who are unfamiliar with the SUCKER BET,  each week I identify the games where the public seems to be heavily favoring one side.  Typically there are 3 or 4 choices each week.  From those games, I choose one unpopular pick as the SUCKER BET.  I've done this on and off for the past 4 or 5 years or so yielding pretty good results.  One year I think we won 13 or 14 games.  This week's pick is a risky pick, but then again it wouldn't be a SUCKER BET if it wasn't.  Give me the Lions +13.5 in New Orleans.  That New Orleans crowd is going to be pumped.  I don't dwell on the preseason too much, but the Saints were cooking on offense, more so than any other team this preseason.  Then again the Lions went 4-0 last preseason.  But I don't see the Saints sneaking up on anyone this season and I don't see them going 10-5-1 ATS like they did last year.  Conversely I think the Lions are primed to better position themselves to win football games.  They have exorcised the demon of Matt Millen, which can't be understated.  Big money is coming in on the Lions and has been since the line opened at 11.  That's what I like to see in evaluating a SUCKER BET. Pierre Thomas is listed as questionable and might not suit up.  I'm not a believer in Reggie Bush as a full-time back.  Lions are 6-0 A... [More]