It's been very long since I've posted on these boards, but I figured I'd document these great games coming up on Sunday.
GB (-3.5) @ CHI (43)Of all the statistics and trends I've read regarding this game, none other seems to have more weight than: In his last 9 starts, Aaron Rodgers has thrown 22 TD passes and just 2 INTs in 269 pass attempts, with a .729 completion percentage and a 125.0 passer rating. Speaking of passer ratings, in his 5 starts vs. the Packers, Jay Cutler has a passer rating on 65.0. Additionally, Packers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings in Chicago. Therefor it's no surprise that I like the favorite in this match-up.
As for the total, I won't side with Joe Public on this one. I'll take the over. In the L5 Packer playoff games, the over has hit 4x. In the L6 Bears playoff games the over has hit 5x. I keep hearing about the weather and the field condition and all that stuff and it only solidifies my feelings more.
PREDITCION: GB 27, CHI 17NYJ @ PIT (-3.5) 38.5 I like the fact that Mark Sanchez has played relatively well in his couple playoff games. I think there is value on the other side as last week's performance was just the 4th time all year that he has had multiple TD with no INTs, his last was week 4. But one of the most powerful statistics has to be; The Steelers haven't allowed a 100 yard rusher in their last 50 regular season games. I can't believe this line isn't closer to 5 or 6. Which makes me feel like I falling into a SUCKER trap. But I can't take the other side, so I'll take the chalk.
As for the total, I think this game goes over as well. Pittsburgh's young receivers are going to be able to make a significant impact. I think the Steelers can put 24 points on the board. In Pittsburgh's last 5 Conference Championship games, ALL have gone over. In thier last 11 home playoff games, 10 have gone over. In the Jets last 11 road games, 10 have gone over.
PREDICTION: NYJ 17, PIT 24Good Luck Everyone!