dpb123007's Blog

Posted Wednesday, June 17, 2009 02:34 PM

Wondering why a 6-0 pitcher is +165?

Matt Palmer vs. the defending National League Cy Young winner. Is it a good idea too fade Tim Lincecum today?   Sportnetwork write-up below hit it on the nose.   #1. Palmer w ERA over 8.5 against San Fran just last year #2 Lincecum undefeated last 10 starts and has been incredible at home. See numbers below, they are for real. #3. Angels have never swept Giants. Never.   For me, it's Lincecum all the way Jose. -175, done. F Chalk. It doesn't scare me from games where Vegas knows more than most bettors when they set this line so high.  Angels have hisorically always been a public favorite team as well which adds even more reason to back the Giants today. Vegaas wants Angels action and they are getting plenty of it.  

The right-handed Palmer is familiar with the Giants and Lincecum. The two were brief teammates in San Francisco's farm system and Palmer went 0-2 with an 8.53 ERA in three starts with the Giants last year, the first three outings of his career. Today marks his first-ever start against his former club after signing with the Angels this offseason.

Lincecum, who hasn't lost since April 12, also aims to win his seventh decision in a row for the Giants. Lincecum is undefeated over a span of 10 starts in which he has allowed more than three earned runs just once. The reigning NL Cy Young Award winner won his second start in a row on Friday, throwing his second career shutout, a seven-hitter versus Oakland.

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