dpb123007's Blog

Wondering why a 6-0 pitcher is +165?

By dpb123007 | View all Posts
Posted Wednesday, June 17, 2009 02:34 PM   6 comments
Matt Palmer vs. the defending National League Cy Young winner. Is it a good idea too fade Tim Lincecum today?
 
Sportnetwork write-up below hit it on the nose.
 
#1. Palmer w ERA over 8.5 against San Fran just last year
#2 Lincecum undefeated last 10 starts and has been incredible at home. See numbers below, they are for real.
#3. Angels have never swept Giants. Never.
 
For me, it's Lincecum all the way Jose. -175, done. F Chalk. It doesn't scare me from games where Vegas knows more than most bettors when they set this line so high.  Angels have hisorically always been a public favorite team as well which adds even more reason to back the Giants today. Vegaas wants Angels action and they are getting plenty of it.
 

The right-handed Palmer is familiar with the Giants and Lincecum. The two were brief teammates in San Francisco's farm system and Palmer went 0-2 with an 8.53 ERA in three starts with the Giants last year, the first three outings of his career. Today marks his first-ever start against his former club after signing with the Angels this offseason.

Lincecum, who hasn't lost since April 12, also aims to win his seventh decision in a row for the Giants. Lincecum is undefeated over a span of 10 starts in which he has allowed more than three earned runs just once. The reigning NL Cy Young Award winner won his second start in a row on Friday, throwing his second career shutout, a seven-hitter versus Oakland.

The righty, who turned 25 on Monday, fanned eight in that win and improved to 6-1 with a 2.66 ERA. He has been slightly better at home, going 3-0 with a 2.41 ERA in six starts at AT&T Park.

Lincecum has never faced the Angels, who can complete a sweep of the Giants for the first time in club history today.

GL to ya.

6 comments
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MrBuckShot says:
06/17/09 02:50PM
I on board with lincecum.

 

Angels might have some hot bats right now but Lincecum is a dominant right handed starter, which is alot different from the 2 shakey lefties (zito, snachez) they faced, plus Geurrerro and Hunter are doubtfull.

XxXBrendoXxX says:
06/17/09 02:51PM
No Torii Hunter or Vlad for the Angels today..
LuckyGuy says:
06/17/09 03:00PM
SF
cmo1037 says:
06/17/09 03:09PM
BOUNTYHOUNTER says:
06/17/09 06:11PM
HALOS.....
YourBoyi15 says:
06/17/09 06:52PM
Thats Baseball for you Hunter and Vlad with big hits for the Halos
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