dreadedrasta's Blog

Tuesday NCAA Basketball

By dreadedrasta | View all Posts
Posted Tuesday, December 08, 2009 12:08 AM   13 comments

Only lean I have early is San Jose St-3 I will be paying attention to Sac St and Temple totals as both games should be very very slow paced with not much offensive efficiency on either side.

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dreadedrasta says:
12/08/09 12:28AM
Temple total was posted at 118 which I think is reasonable for an under play...the number I got was 126 but with the spread being only 4 I'm thinking possessions take on an added meaning and these teams play it smart and work for quality baskets which may come at a minium as neither team is that efficient on the offensive end...Temple ranks 227 and Miami (OH) 103...hoping to see a Sac St total turn up somewhere now.
drudatt108 says:
12/08/09 12:55AM
K4ngur13 says:
12/08/09 03:03AM
target_9 says:
12/08/09 04:52AM
dreadedrasta says:
12/08/09 05:39AM
Any opinions on the unders for: Dayton/George Mason, Temple/Miami (OH) and Georgetown/Butler ?  I mentioned on KGC's thread a couple days ago that I noticed a trend in regards to pace, pointspreads, and overs and unders.  Games that featured two fast paced offensively efficient teams with pointspreads greater than ten points went over at an alarming rate.  While slower paced teams with a one possession spread tended to go under a lot early on in the season. Over the weekend there were many games to back up what I am relaying... yesterday not so many but there were only a handful of games at that.  Today's game that warrant a look are as mentioned above: Butler/Georgetown spread of 2.5 no total listed yet  , Dayton/George Mason spread of 2.5 total 125.5 and Temple/Miami  (OH) spread of 2.5 118
dreadedrasta says:
12/08/09 05:56AM
Pepperdine/Fresno St looks very attractive at 134...another one possession game amongst offensively inept teams...
BandosWB says:
12/08/09 07:45AM
Rasta - I see you like SJSt.  Can you tell me why the same guys are so much better this year then last?  It is much more than just natural progression.  This year their efficiency is 110/98 playing the 11th SOS?  Wow.  Last year they were 101/104.  They beat SF at home last year by 6.

 I thought this line would be 6 and it is only 3 - early money coming in on SJst. 

Any insight you have, please let me know. 
BandosWB says:
12/08/09 04:32PM
bump
dreadedrasta says:
12/08/09 07:35PM
Hey Bandos sorry for the delay busted water heater at my dad's I was trying to help him out.  Ok why I like San Jose St tonight: I like the position they are in a lot of the guys on the team are from Northern California so I'm sure they will have a lot of support with them on the road.  I like the fact they are led by upper classmen; in games like this experience is big.  As you probably have seen yourself San Jose St is superiorly efficent offensively, defensively, and pace-wise.  San Francisco was horrible last year and they are right on track to keep pace with last year's record.  They've lost their last 6 all on the road, but I don't think much changes here tonight.  San Francisco lacks the heart to win a close game like this and as already mentioned San Jose St is far more efficient and just the better team.  I'll take a superior team on the road against a crappy team at home with a one possession spread every chance I can and if it's back up in the numbers as well I'm all over it even more.
ballgame1881 says:
12/08/09 11:40PM
Where/How do you get the efficiency and pace #'s??

BOL
BandosWB says:
12/08/09 11:41PM
kenpom.com

kindergartencapper says:
12/08/09 11:47PM
hey man...i'm going to be booking my week for Vegas soon.  I'll be out earlier so we'll have to get out and cause some real trouble this year.  Just get your ass off work this time
dreadedrasta says:
12/09/09 12:15AM
damn san jose st fell apart in the second half perhaps they were the ones playing with no heart...kgc i'll be off or i'll call in like i do everytime at the beginning of march madness...headed to new orleans next week to see my saints versus the cowboys!!
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User: dreadedrasta
Joined: April 2007
Location: Nevada
Team: Los Angeles Lakers
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