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Saturday's Big Game Preview - Who Remains Undefeated?

By dynamicmetsfan | View all Posts
Posted Friday, November 11, 2011 12:13 PM   0 comments

Who Remains Undefeated?

LSU (Western Kentucky, Mississippi, Arkansas)
Stanford (Oregon, California, Notre Dame)
Boise State (TCU, SDST, Wyoming, New Mexico)
Oklahoma State (Texas Tech, Iowa State, Oklahoma)
Houston (SMU, Tulsa)

Well we get a huge match up this weekend between Stanford and Oregon (+3.5 /68 ) Get 100% bonus. It should be every bit as entertaining if not more as last week’s #1 vs. #2 match up. Stanford’s Andrew Luck vs. Oregon’s speedy offense and if Stanford can get out of this game they should finish the season undefeated and it may set them up vs. LSU in the National Championship game. Check out my 4.4* NCAAF Prime Time play with a bonus in this elite match up. We were victorious last week with LSU +4.5.

Pressure on undefeated teams:
Just like the NFL these teams start to be circled on their opponent’s schedule. An upset of an undefeated team at this stage of the season is like Super Bowl win for most teams especially those who have had disappointing seasons after high expectations. The fact is that since 1980, undefeated college football teams playing on the road from this point of the season on out are 90-31-1 straight up, but are 49-63-2 ATS. Hence, fade the remaining five undefeated teams and you should win on average 56.25% ATS. More importantly you have a 1 in 3 shot at getting a team to lose outright which is more intriguing to me moving forward as I have hit huge under dogs this season – Just check out this week’s big under dog play in the early afternoon on Saturday!

More States:
Face that undefeated team up against an opponent off an ATS win in their previous game and they are just 43-20-1 straight up, but just 24-38-2 ATS which is a 61.3% ATS advantage. If any of these 5 teams are facing a team off an ATS win you should back them rather than the undefeated team. Face them off against an opponent that actually has a winning record and they are 46-27 straight up, but 28-43-1 ATS. Oklahoma State faces that task this week.
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