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Thanksgiving Day 4 Game Preview - Freddy Wills - ON FIRE #1 NCAAF

By dynamicmetsfan | View all Posts
Posted Tuesday, November 22, 2011 09:56 PM   0 comments

NCAAF 260 - 196 (57%) + $21,875.00 - L456 picks
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NFL 9 - 4 (69.2%) + $1,830.00 - L13 picks 

Thanksgiving Day 4 Game Preview

Thanksgiving Day has some great games we give you the early odds and a brief preview of each of the three NFL games and the classic Thanksgiving Day match up between Texas and Texas A&M. We continue to be #1 in the nation in ncaaf picks. Last week was highlighted by our outright prediction of Iowa State +2250 on Friday night followed by our max play of the week winner on Rutgers +3, and LA Tech +252 as well. Don’t miss out on all the action this Thanksgiving weekend and don’t miss out on our promotional packages either.

Packers vs. Lions (12pm et) – Line GB -6 O/U 55.5 Get 100% Sportsbook Bonus
The Lions have played on Thanksgiving every year since 1934. The last time they had a winning record was in 2000 so you better bet there is a lot of anticipation leading up to this game especially since they go up against the immortal Aaron Rodgers and Green Bay Packers. The Lions went off as 6 point under dogs vs. the Patriots last year too and held a 17-10 lead at half time before Brady and Bellicheck did what they always do. They made half time adjustments and came back and defeated the Lions 45-24. Get more sports picks

In fact the Lions are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 Thanksgiving Day games, while the Packers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings, but this one has the potential to be a shootout and which ever team can limit the mistakes will likely win and cover. This game is not just about Aaron Rodgers and his 128.8 QB rating. Mathew Stafford is putting up pro bowl numbers too with a 93.4 QB rating 2,843 yards, 25 TD, 10 interceptions. Detroit beat the Packers at home 7-3 in December last year while they lost in Green Bay 28-26.

Dolphins vs. Cowboys (4:15PM ET) – Line DAL -7, O/U 44
Like the Lions the Cowboys have been a staple of playing on Thanksgiving as they have been in action since 1966. A few weeks ago this match up looked like a snoozer, but the Dolphins have won 3 straight ATS and SU and now we have a solid match up with the way the Cowboys have been playing as well. Miami has had a lot of success running the ball and playing great defense will that continue on Thanksgiving? Don’t forget Matt Moore who is playing well with 63.35% completion rating and 7 TD to 4 interceptions with an 88.8 rating. Tony Romo continues to dominate with his 99.4 QB rating.

Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Thanksgiving Day games. It’s been a blueprint for success if you liked to parlay games. Just parlay against the Lions and with the Cowboys and you are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 years with huge profits. We believe that trend will end this year with at least one of those results going the other way.

49ers vs. Ravens (8:20PM ET) – Line BAL -3.5, O/U 38.5

Brother vs. Brother as the Harbough’s steal the primetime action away from the college football match up below. 49ers surprisingly have the leagues 2nd best record at 9-1 and are 9-0-1 ATS this season while the Ravens are 5-4-1 ATS and 7-3 overall. 65% of the public have opened laying action on the 49ers and can you blame them many are 10-0 when backing the 49ers this year. If you looked at this match up in the pre season many would have yawned, but it’s a great one led by two dominant defenses. Patrick Willis vs. Ray Lewis, who wins? The QB’s may have more say and…

Alex Smith seems to have the better numbers right now with a 93.9 QB rating completing 62.41% of his passes for 13 TD and just 4 interceptions while Joe Flacco has more yards he’s completing just 55.41 % of his passes with 12 TD to 8 interceptions and a 77.6 QB rating.

Texas +8 at Texas A&M (8pm et) Line - Texas +7.5, O/U 54
This game is not as exciting as it used to be both teams have just 6 wins and are mediocre at best. We will most likely have a premium pick when we run our formulas on this match up and research allt he facts, but for now this is a lot of points even to a one dimensional Texas team that lost their one dimensional running game with injuries to their start QB’s. Their defense is still of top 25 caliber and that could easily be the difference in a game like this.

A&M comes off a blowout 61-7 win over Kansas, so this line maybe is not exaggerated after all especially since Texas lost at home as 8 point favorites to Kansas State on Saturday. The win saw them take a 44-0 lead into half time in which they sacked Kansas 6 times. They definitely seemed to get their swagger back. This will be Texas A&M’s last game while Texas still travels to play Baylor in early December. They’ll be playing for a 7th win and bragging rights and maybe a slightly better bowl game. Either way I think they are well prepared for Thursday and head coach, Mike Sherman has them motivated. “I told the kids before the game, ‘It doesn’t look like we’ll win a championship, but that doesn’t mean you can’t play like champions,’” coach Mike Sherman said. “Show people what you’re made of.”
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