Posted Saturday, October 09, 2010 10:04 AM
Ok folks...this is usually the week that most books take in a shitload of money.....its seems its always weeks 5 or 6 of each year. Last year, I lost 14 out of 15....in a single day....
That wont happen again! Last year I took the games that the favored team's line was too good to be true.....there is a TON of that this week.
Illinois +15.5 @ Penn St.
Tennessee @ Georgia -9.5
Central Michigan +22 @ VA TECH
Texas A&M +7 @ Arkansas
SD ST @ BYU +5.5
Utah @ Iowa St. +7.7
Florida Atlantic +2.5 @ LA Monroe
Auburn @ Kentucky +8
LSU +7 @ Florida
South Florida ML
Lots of reverse line movements, and public money on "favorites" this week.....Beware. IF something looks to good to be true....either do the opposite, or dont play the game.
One that is really sticking out like a sore thumb.....TENNESSEE vs. Georgia.....Public perception is Tennessee is much better, and Georgia is aweful.....but yet Tennessee is at +9.5, with 82% of public Money on Tennessee.
My play is on Georgia!
Good Luck....and looking to cash in on at least 75% of these.
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Posted Saturday, September 25, 2010 09:46 AM
Ok...Lost on the Pitt bet...but then layed down a HUGE bet on SMU last night...with a small on the over.....
Today....After reviewing what I like the most...I started with only 5...(these are the plays that are not 2U) ....then took some more....based on my win last night....these are only for 2U...and are either situational plays....or reverse line movements with majority of the public on the favorite.....
Wake Forest +20.5 2U
Georgia Even 2U
Cincinnati +15 5U
Arkansas +8.5 3U
Boise St -18 4U
ND +6 4U
Baylor -8.5 2U
Florida International -11 2U
Florida Atlantic -11.5 10U
LA TECH +4 2U
Memphis +11.5 2U
Reason for the Huge play on Florida Atlantic.....North Texas was beat up last week.....to the point where 9 starters will not be playing....could be out for the year.....and they are down to their 3rd string QB...accompanied by a 2nd string center....(Ouch)
This game will get ugly....I predict a spread of 17+ to be covered....
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Posted Saturday, October 24, 2009 08:41 AM
Coming off two good weekends (11-3) and (13-4)...but got hammered in the first 3 weeks, so my record is now only 62-44........but didn't post on covers....I used to post...but got tired of the bulls**t in here....
We have a lot of great cappers, and we all need to work together to break the bookies!! Most of you have some great insight....and looking back, I could have used some of it in some last minute picks last week that caused 2 losses!
Best of luck to you all!
Picks for week 8 are:
Iowa+1
TCU -2.5
Idaho +15.5
Okie St. -9.5
Duke -5.5
Miss. St. -21
Navy -3
Kansas +7
Oregon St. +21 (Thanks Research!!)
LSU UNDER 50.5
ASU
Still considering the following....any thought (helpful) is much appreciated!!
Pitt
LSU
SMU
KU
Texas Tech
Central Mich.
Posted Saturday, October 25, 2008 12:05 PM
Weekend picks in CFB
Oklahoma -18
Ball State -25.5
Bama -5
Troy -23.5
Tulsa -23.5
TCU -30.5
Huge play on favorites this week.....however i feel these are big mis-matches!
Posted Friday, October 03, 2008 10:02 PM
Top picks for week 6....
There are not a lot of them, but......these would be the games that I am going heavy on.....
Texas Tech (-6.5) @ Kansas State....
Mizzouri (-10) @ Nebraska
TCU (-24.5) vs San Diego St.
Texas (-13.5) @ Colorado
The rest of them that I am taking are:
Bama -16.5
Auburn -4
Florida -24.5
Nevada -24
Penn St. -13.5
Tennessee -16
Tulsa vs. Rice OVER (80)
Duke +14