fennster's Blog

Posted Saturday, January 16, 2010 10:35 AM

1/16 Picks 8-8 +10u

Took the day off yesterday, not much of interest.

Don't like these huge cards, always feel like I'm missing out on some good value games because there are just too many to look at.

Record:  8-8 +10u

PENN ST -3:  (7U)

Penn State hasn't looked bad since Big Ten play began; which should be a surprise since they're at the bottom of the conference this year.  Though their record in conference is 0-4, they're 2-2 ATS, with covers at Minnesota and at Illinois.  Today they're fortunate enough to roll into the gym of the only team in conference that is head and shoulders worse than them; Iowa.  This team is simply garbage.  They have very little leadership (except when organizing the team to play quarters) they live and die by the 3, but don't shoot the 3 all that well nor with any consistency.  I will fade Iowa and continue to fade Iowa until they cover more than 1 game in a row.

OHIO STATE -5:  (10U)

BIG TIME PAYBACK GAME.  OSU got trounced by Wisconsin on the road less than a month ago.  Of course, Wisconsin is unstoppable at home and Turner (OSU's soul) was out with his broken back.  Add to the revenge factor that this will be Turner's first game back at home after recovering from, can I say it again, a broken back, and I think you might be surprised to see the final score on this one.  Lastly, while Wisconsin has been a covering machine (10-5 ATS), that's ... [More]

Posted Thursday, January 14, 2010 01:53 PM

1/14 Picks

Tuesday 4-1 +17u

Wednesday 3-3 +5.5u  (lost two picks by a combined 3pts, but late add of UNLV helped)

Total: 7-4 (+22.5u)

Today's Picks:  Not much out there

MICHIGAN -14: (7U)

Seems obvious, everyone and their mother is loading up on IU on this board and consensus has it 2/1 for IU, but for some reason the line has now crept up to 14.  Seems too good to be true, right?  Maybe it is. 

I follow the Big Ten and specifically my alma matter IU closer than any other group, though my any means am I touting myself as a Big Ten or IU expert.  What I can tell you was that IU was wretched at the start of the season.  Then, slowly, they started playing a bit better, some would say even beginning to gel as a team.  Then Creek, who was their most reliable scorer and leader, blew out his knee.  IU did surprise me by using the loss of Creek as motivation and beat Michigan at home their first game without Creek.  Since then they were crushed on the road at Ohio St., and were beaten at home by Illinois.

Now, they're at Michigan, where historically they've played well, covering 9 of their last 11.  All seems too easy.  And if I have one rule, it's whenever everything, and I mean everything, points to one team, go the other way.  Which is while I'll be looking for a blowout tonight.

SOUTH ALABAMA ML -125:  (2.5U)

S. ALA has do... [More]

Posted Tuesday, January 12, 2010 01:13 PM

Posting does bad things to my roll...but here we go

YTD: 0-0   Units are a percentage of my roll

PENN ST +9 (bought the hook):  10u

While it's really tough to win at Assembly Hall, it's not as tough to cover there.  Illinois has only covered 1 of their last 3 at home.  On the flip side, line makers seem to have given us some value on Penn State due to its last two losses.  They won't win this, but they'll keep it under double digits.

TENN ST +13 (bought the hook): 5u

Iowa is all sorts of bad and Tenn St, while nothing great in their own right, has made a bit of a knack of covering on the road against a favorite (6-1 ATS).  Continue the Iowa fade.....

BAYLOR -4 (bought the hook): 7u

Everytime the boards of line makers doubt Baylor they've been proven wrong (SC, Xavier, ASU).  Though they are a road favorite here I suspect that we'll continue to see Baylor's athleticism and style of play dominate this one.

MIAMI OH -1.5: 2u

A pure play on the crazy nature of this line.  10-5 team vs 3-11 team and the 3-11 team is favored.  Now, I understand that this is a conference game and these two teams see to have a knack for winning against each other on their own floor.  Other than that...there's no reason in hell that Miami OH should be favored here.

KANSAS ST -9: 7u

Kansas State has owned this series lately.  I am a bit weary of how they respond after a loss, but I do put some stock int... [More]

Posted Wednesday, December 23, 2009 06:50 PM

Utah/Pepperdine thoughts?

Line moved down a bit, my book has Utah -5.5 now.  Pepperdine is a mess of a team....how much does Utah have to really do to beat them and beat them soundly?

Posted Monday, November 30, 2009 11:55 AM

STARTING PLAYS

YTD:  0-0

First play of the season for me:  Chi +3

Bulls thus far this year have been brutal on the road, though the majority of their losses on the road (4 of 7) occurred during the "circus trip", which just ended.  

They've now had 4 days to recover from their what was and will be their toughest road trip of the season and they now take a 60 minute bus ride up to Milwaukee to play a Bucks team that has floundered lately, losing their last 4 (3 road, 1 home).  Jennings has been a spark for them, but their missing a lot of size inside (no Bogut or Moute). 

Expect a HUGE game from Deng and Rose (last time they played Deng went for 24pts/20rbs)....I would have actually predicted a Bulls blow out, except without Kirk, I see Milwaukee's guards scoring a bit more.

Might be worth waiting for the line to jump higher, I think most action will be on the Bucks, pushing the line to 3.5 or 4 by game time.

GL to all. 



Posted Saturday, November 28, 2009 03:16 PM

MAYBE THIS IS WHY GW IS GETTING SPANKED

Associated Press

WASHINGTON -- It was a family affair for President Barack Obama at the Oregon State-George Washington University game Saturday.

Brother-in-law Craig Robinson is the Oregon State coach. And the president brought along first lady Michelle Obama, daughters Malia and Sasha, and mother-in-law Marian Robinson.

The family sat courtside at the Smith Center, munching on popcorn as Oregon State (1-3) tried to hand George Washington its first loss after four victories.

Obama, an avid basketball fan who likes to play the game himself as often as he can, spent the past two days out of public view, enjoying Thanksgiving at the White House with family and friends.



Posted Saturday, November 28, 2009 10:31 AM

SAT LEANS

BALL ST -4.5
GW -7.5
DEPAUL -6.5
WIS MIL  E
EVANSVILLE +9
PACIFIC +2.5
FRESNO ST. -1
WILL & MARY +17
S. ILL -11.5
N. ARIZ +16
E. KENT -16


Posted Friday, November 27, 2009 04:17 PM

TIGER'S PICKS

THESE THREE ARE FOR TIGER:

 

NEW MEXICO -8:  They've yet to let me down this year, I don't see them having a lot of trouble with a below average Hawaii team.

WASHINGTON ST -15:  They handily took care of D2 Anchorage the other night, but they're opponent, Nichols State, couldn't handle the Anchors last night....Nichols could be the worst team in all of D1.

TENNESSEE -25.5:  Tennessee has a way of putting their foot on the throats of the lesser teams and not letting them up for a breath.  A great time to blow lower level teams out.

GL ALL!!!



Posted Wednesday, November 25, 2009 11:31 PM

KENTUCKY CRAPPED THE BED

I HAVEN'T BEEN WATCHING THE GAME...WHAT THE HELL HAPPENED? 


Posted Wednesday, November 25, 2009 12:48 PM

WASH ST ALASKA ANCHORAGE GAME

I've watched the line drop from -11 to -9.5....what gives....AA is still a D2 team, similar to Chaminade, right?  And event though they didn't have a long plane ride, they're still a D2 team, right?  And while Wash St., isn't Duke, they still should roll a D2 team by more than 10pts, right?  

Posted Wednesday, November 25, 2009 11:18 AM

ILL ST 11/23 = FLA ST 11/24 = TODAY'S DUKE

I WOULDN'T BE SURPRISED TO SEE UNC LAY OFF THIS ONE.....THIS IS JUST WAY TOO POPULAR ON THE BOARD.

Posted Tuesday, November 24, 2009 11:41 PM

How good is Cal St Fullerton??

It's only appropriate that we change the name of the thread!


Posted Tuesday, November 24, 2009 08:18 PM

YESTERDAY'S ILL ST IS TODAY'S FLA ST

THOUGH I DIDN'T THINK UNC WOULD FALL FOR THIS ONE


Posted Tuesday, November 24, 2009 06:42 PM

Mary land or Cin city?

Haven't seen much chatter about this one...should be a decent game, but who gives a crap about that....where do we make


Posted Tuesday, November 24, 2009 03:16 PM

UAB -9 vs. TROY

Can Troy keep up?

Posted Tuesday, November 24, 2009 02:41 PM

ILL STATE PLAYING TONIGHT???

Learning fast......if virtually everyone (except UNC) on this board is on a game, stay off.

Posted Sunday, November 22, 2009 11:18 AM

Mush plays

Since I've started posting my picks, I've been horrible...if you can't beat em', fade me.  These are my plays today...stay away, stay far away!

Tennessee -19.5  (3u)

Niagara -7  (3u)

St. Joseph's +14 (6u)

Murray State -24 (2u)









Posted Saturday, November 21, 2009 10:04 AM

Sat NCAA Picks

Yesterday, not so good 1-2...

New Mexico -20.5

Bowling Green +10.5

Providence +6

Going to bring it back to at least .500 with today's picks

Wisconsin GB - 5.5

North Texas +12

South Alabama +16

TCU +6

GL to all


Posted Friday, November 20, 2009 04:22 PM

Early Evening/Late Night Picks

New to Covers, but been gambling for way too long.  Let me know what you think of my plays...I'll be keeping track of my record for those of you who demand that type of accountability.

I'm pushing these three plays:

New Mexico -20 (line recently moved up to -20.5)

Game is in Albuquerque.  Martinez is sweet scoring forward who can score and pound the glass.  McDonald does nothing but score and score more from the backcourt.  Nicholls State has nothing to either slow down NM or keep up with them.  NM should win by 28+.  

Bowling Green +10.5:

Iowa is the worst team in the Big Ten...by far.  Which is saying a lot because Indiana is absolutely terrible.  Iowa has already lost to UT-San Antonio (at home!!) and Duquesne again at home.  They play at home again against a team that's also garbage, BG.  ThoughI wouldn't want to have to watch this game, but I don't see Iowa blowing anyone out, let alone winning.  They'll likely lose every Big Ten game this year.  This should be the Hawkeye's first win, but not by double digits (then again they should have beaten UT-San Antonio!!)

Providence +6

[More]

Profile

User: fennster
Joined: October 2009
Location: Haiti
Team: Chicago Bears
Occupation: Degenerate

Recent Posts

Archive

Categories