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This line is implying the Jets would be favored over the Saints??!!

By gcnmoo | View all Posts
Posted Monday, January 25, 2010 12:54 PM   12 comments

So, the saints would be 9 point underdogs at Indianapolis??  I just don't understand this line.  It is esentially saying the Jets are better than the Saints.  I understand that the public has a big say in the super bowl, since there is a ton of public money and public likes to look at the last game, so that must be the only basis for this line.

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Europa says:
01/25/10 12:59PM

The hype of Colts coming from 11 pts behind and beating Jets by 13 pts and Saints luckily win over T/O prone Vikes set in for higher spread for the Colts.  

Lucky008 says:
01/25/10 01:41PM

wow... a 4 looks like a 9 on your screen?  get a new monitor

and that's "to" the colts, not "at" the colts.  game is being played in FL.

gcnmoo says:
01/25/10 02:18PM
The line is currently -5.5 and usually home field in the playoffs is worth 3.5 pts (particularly in domes).  5.5 + 3.5 = 9   So, Indy would be -9 over Saints at home based on this line, and they were -8 over Jets at home
plntmn says:
01/25/10 03:04PM
the jets had a running game and the number 1 defense in the league. We all seen the Vikes cost themselves the game, the saints didn't beat them. Jets were a better team and would have beat the saints.
jkochvar says:
01/25/10 04:07PM

The line does not imply this at all.  You can't compare two lines from two separate games and draw any conclusions from them.  The lines are set on basis of perception.  The Saints would have undoubtedly been favored over the Jets....the early lines from LVSC before the games this weekend had the Saints at -6 or 7 over the Jets if they met.

And the line  that most books released was 3.5 or 4....the early money has driven it up to 5.5 at this point. 

Ice4Blood says:
01/25/10 04:18PM

i don't think they would have been favored... but without a doubt they should have been favored...

i would guess the line would have been Saints (-2)... simply because the Saints are more of a public dreamboat than the Jets...

but that's a moot point, i guess...

grouch says:
01/25/10 04:49PM
The Saints are better than people give credit .take away both quarterbacks and teh Saints would probably win. Simply because Peyton's back up sux . He gets a nice check for doing nothing .If Manning gets knocked out it goes to all ground game  I am hoping  The Colts don't use Adia anymore  or he goes on IR .  Brown is actually a better running back . I like the Colts at around 3 points
mightiestmojo says:
01/26/10 09:08AM
"take away both QBs and teh saints would probably win"?? Of course they would! If anyone thinks the Colts would be in the playoffs without Manning they aren't watching football. He is here though and barring injury, knock on wood, I don't see how the Saints compete. I'm not basing it all on the Vikes game either. The Saints collapsed at the end of the year and after a spectacular game against 'zona collapsed again.

I think Saints run similar to Jets, trick plays, and keep it close in the first half then manning takes control and pulls away.

RyanRebman says:
01/26/10 12:15PM
The difference between the Jets and the Saints is that it is more likely to keep scores at a premium(which did not happen) whereas the Saints/Colts will score some TDs which can result in a higher difference in final score
RyanRebman says:
01/26/10 02:21PM
Not to mention, if the Jets had beaten the Colts and the Saints played the way they did, then it would be around a 2 or 3 point spread, still in the Saints favor, but still low
gcnmoo says:
01/26/10 02:55PM

Well this line is based on public perception more than any game in any sport all year.  In the regular season, I can't imagine this would be the line if it was at a neutral location.

gcnmoo says:
01/26/10 06:45PM
perhaps, i don't buy it though, the jets simply had no passing game to speak of.  The saints weakness (defense) wasn't horrific like the jets passing game was.  They were actually above average overall.
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