gfoss59's Blog

NBA plus minus, and about to change

By gfoss59 | View all Posts
Posted Sunday, December 09, 2012 01:51 AM   0 comments
Still strong:

Sticking with our conviction at season's start that the Memphis Grizzlies would not only be the league's best first half team, but its best against the spread.  Love that Zach Randolph since his Clipper days, as a "power cover" forward.


Likewise, the Spurs, especially given reasonable health.  Just a good, steady, boring...  cover!

The Thunder have shocked us performing so well without Hardin, but we've simply stayed off them, and will continue to do so.  Still not convinced Westbrook can carry the load.

Still weak:


Our fave team (as fans), the Boston Celtics, are, predictably,  weak against the spread this year, as are the Lakers, for similar reasons: Roster turnovers, key elements missing, adds up to a 20-40 game adjustment time. 



We've enjoyed systematically going against both, and will continue to do so for another 10-20 games... roughly, at least a week or two after Nash and Bradley, respectively, make their returns.  With an occasional foray like our Boston-to-cover position on Rondo's return against Minnesota.

About to change:


We like the Bulls to continue their recent upturn after a dismal 4-12 ATS start.  Well coached, defense doesn't slump, &tc.



Ditto the 76ers, another well-coached team, whom we took to cover against Boston at home, then flipped on the next night in Boston.  Easy money...   didn't anyone watch last year's epic playoff series?

Leave us out:

On both the Knicks, and the Nets.  We don't believe either will sustain, but haven't bucked the trend except to make a few obvious choices, like the +7 gift a few nights ago against the Heat.  (See our comments on the game thread.)



We don't get either team yet, and so, are simply staying off.  Always remember:  "You don't have to have a position on everything."

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