goallinebob's Blog

TUESDAY SUPER PARLAY THREAD <<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

By goallinebob | View all Posts
Posted Tuesday, August 03, 2010 11:28 AM   82 comments
Rough day again yesterday
Wells can't win even with great #'s in 5
Pavano allows 4 for a loss
Overall went 6-6 i believe,,,
_________________________________________________
On to today ,,one early game of a DH,,CHW vs Detrroit

Buehrle 5 past last 9 starts
0-0-2-3-3-0-3-0-5,not Consistent
inn 6-9 past
1-4-0-0-0-2-0-1-0,,Great 6-9 #'s
game
1-4-2-3-3-2-3-1-5
______________________________
Porcello 5 past last 9
2-2-6-8-2-1-3-3
inn 6-9
0-4-0-7-4-1-0-1
Game
2-6-6-15-6-2-3-4
Wish i could play the under 6-9


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goallinebob says:
08/03/10 11:34AM
When you look closer,,,,,, neither allow runs in 6-9 inn,,so the play must be in 5 inn as that is where it all begins. That said and what is shown i'm leaning to the OVER in 5,,line for game is 8.5 so a 5 inn line will be 4.5 i guess,,and if so i like the over.This game is not a strong play for me and not even sure will play it,,but you have all i have on it


BucknutsBG says:
08/03/10 11:40AM
I like the over in as well Bob!!! Porcello has gotten shelled twice by the white sox this year.
KeyElement says:
08/03/10 12:18PM
Bob, BetJam opened the 5 inning total at 5.5 and it is now down to 5 there, and 4.5 elsewhere. Contrarian player that I am I like the OVER at 4.5 & 8.5, so you got a back up vote here. BOL.
KeyElement says:
08/03/10 12:21PM
BTW, 6 to 9 is the bullpens, neither of these guys ever (seldom) make it to the sixth. Matchup offense is what gets it there, probably early, maybe 5 innings is best.
psantana357 says:
08/03/10 12:31PM
R. Porcello in the last game against (29/07/10) the rays 8K'Ss 7IP 2BB 4ER.

just my 0.2


Bucci020 says:
08/03/10 12:41PM
plus detroits bullp[en has been shitty. . . . im looking at a 3-0, 3-1 lead for cws be4 the bullpens come in. . .

just playin the white sox here.  gl
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 12:52PM
Decided to np it as there are better plays later,, that said,,,,

with Porcello's last 4 starts i can not see how he did not go farther allowing just 3 runs tops in last  four starts,,,and allowing just one run tops in 3 of his last 4 inn 6-9,,,,,,unless his pitch count was high the #'s say he went deep into these last 4 games esp the last 3 ,,,

still think the over is the best play but in 5 ,,,,,
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 01:02PM
If you analize Buehrles Pattern of previous starts he is due to a shut out in 5,,so although i like the over in 5 i will just watch and see how this turns out
Buehrle 5 past last 9 starts
0-0-2-3-3-,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,0-3-0-5,not Consistent,next should be a 0,,
SportsMoneyNow says:
08/03/10 01:05PM
BOL Goaline
JFEEZEE says:
08/03/10 01:17PM
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 01:18PM
what i really like today 
__________________________
Leake 5 past last 9 starts
0-5-2-1-6-2-1-1-1,,Love last 4 starts
inn 6-9 past
1-1-4-3-3-1-8-6-3 appears has problems 6-9
Game
1-6-6-4-9-3-9-7-4 not good for game totals
________________________________________________
Maholm 5 inn past last 9
1-0-13-1-10-2-4-6,,Pretty sad #'s for 5 inn 
inn 6-9 past
3-4-0-0-2-3-1-3
Game
4-4-13-1-12-5-5-9 four strong over #'s
 this appears as a great Over in 9,,and the line is a soft 8,,
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 01:19PM
Leake in 5 and over in 9 is my plays for above
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 01:30PM
Dickey 5 past last 9,,,,,( Shows great improvement last 4/5 starts)

1-0-5-0-2-1-3-0-0,stronger than Lowe in 5
inn 6-9 past
0-0-5-6-2-1-0-1-0,, great #'s last 5
Game
1-0-10-6-4-2-3-1-0,, damnn good in 9 too Consistently better
________________________________________________
Lowe 5 past last 9 starts
1-2-0-3-0-1-2-4
inn 6-9
1-2-2-4-3-2-5-1
game
2-4-2-7-3-3-7-5
Dickey just shows better starts in both 5 and 9 inn
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 01:33PM
Halladay 5 past last 4 starts
0-1-0-0
6-9 inn 
4-0-0-1
game
4-1-0-1
________________
Marlins West,?????
___________________
Halladay in 5 and 9
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 01:38PM
sanchez 5 past last 3 starts
1-1-2,,,,,,,,,,Sanchez in 5
inn 6-9
0-3-7
game 
1-4-9
______________
Cook 5 inn last 3 starts
5-5-5,,Over in 5
inn 6-9 past
2-1-1
game
7-6-6,, Over looks great in 9

Syddigs says:
08/03/10 01:48PM


GLB

I know that you live in Vegas and that you bet at the casinos, but offshore book BetCris, allow you to bet innings 6-9. They call it the second half of the game. You can bet who wins innings 6-9 either before the game starts, or you can bet the second half side and total for half an inning during the bottom of the 5th inning.

The second half total that they put up for innings 6-9 is usually dependent on the game total and the number of runs scored through the first 5 innings but the general second half total that they use is 3.5 and it's the juice that usually varies.
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 01:50PM
Latos in 5 past last 9
3-2-2-0-0-0-0-2-2
6-9 past
0-0-0-1-2-0-1-0-0
Game
3-2-2-1-2-0-1-2-2
SUPERB
_____________________________
 Lilly 5 past last 9
6-1-1-3-8-1-0-0
6-9 past
6-1-0-11-1-2-4-6
Game
12-2-1-14-9-3-4-6

Line is 6.5 so,,,, 5 inn is 3.5 i guess
Latos in 5 and 9 and under in 5,, you pick the one thats to your liking,, you have 3,, best to me Latos in 9
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 01:55PM
syd yes i know that,,but since i live here it doesn't make much sense for just a few that come along inn 6-9 to mess with and start a new account,, if did not live here it would be a different ball game for me but you may want to play it as it appears as a great under, i try to at least let others know my thoughts 
Blue_Chips says:
08/03/10 01:55PM

 

ChiSox (G1) over 4.5 1st 5inn hits! Good call!!!

 

goallinebob says:
08/03/10 02:04PM
Olsen 5 past last 8 has been out for a while i believe
1-10-0-0-1-1-4-2
6-9 past
4-0-0-2-7-1-1-1
Game
5-10-0-2-8-2-5-3
_____________________________--
Saunders 5 past last 9
0-5-9-2-0-2-1-1,, Line is 5,,,,Under
inn 6-9 past
1-7-3-2-2-3-0-2
game
1-12-12-4-2-5-1-3
 Saunders or Under in 5 is bast IMO,, line is 9.5
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 02:08PM
Results,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Over is a winner in 5 already,,,,
,


Buehrle 5 past last 9 starts
0-0-2-3-3-0-3-0-5,not Consistent
inn 6-9 past
1-4-0-0-0-2-0-1-0,,Great 6-9 #'s
game
1-4-2-3-3-2-3-1-5
______________________________
Porcello 5 past last 9
2-2-6-8-2-1-3-3
inn 6-9
0-4-0-7-4-1-0-1
Game
2-6-6-15-6-2-3-4
Wish i could play the under 6-9

When you look closer,,,,,, neither allow runs in 6-9 inn,,so the play must be in 5 inn as that is where it all begins. That said and what is shown i'm leaning to the OVER in 5,,line for game is 8.5 so a 5 inn line will be 4.5 i guess,,and if so i like the over.This game is not a strong play for me and not even sure will play it,,but you have all i have on it

goallinebob says:
08/03/10 02:18PM
damnnn to lazy to drive to casino for one game,,,,,,,,
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 02:26PM
A lot of first starts and pitchers with 2 or less starts in AL today as i usually want 5 starts to get a feel of what they can or can not do

Torres
Mosely
Huff
Duensing 2 starts
bell

I can't put these games on a parlay,,
_______________________________________________-
just a 9 inn play IMO

 davies 9 inn past last 4
3-4-4-6
_____________
Mazzaro 9 past last 4
1-6-2-7
Line is 8 ,,,,,think Over has a good chance
___________________________________
Lewis and Vargus i don't like as too ????? so pass,, if want # 's ask
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 02:34PM
I already have tomorrows plays all done so what i will do is select the best from today and ad them to the ones i like tomorrow for my final parlay selection,,,,,,,,,,,
 what looks good tomorrow

 Laa Santana in 5 and 9 ,, could be a POD

CHW gm tomorrow looks as a very easy over in 9 with Jackson and gallaraga

Love Price over Baker

lester in 5 over Masterson
Karstens vs Cueto Under in 5
Cubs gm Over in 9
mets gm Over in 5

 that enough for today,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
KeyElement says:
08/03/10 02:37PM
Post #9 - If you analize Buehrles Pattern of previous starts he is due to a shut

out in 5,,so although i like the over in 5 i will just watch and see how

this turns out

Buehrle 5 past last 9 starts

Post #22 -  Results,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Over is a winner in 5 already,,,,

If you passed, wtf do you care?
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 02:37PM
well there were 8 runs allowed inn 1-5 now lets see how many occur inn 6-9,,will be interesting,,,
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 02:46PM
Buehrle 5 past last 9 starts
0-0-2-3-3-0-3-0-5,allows 1 run
_______________________________
Porcello 5 past last 9
2-2-6-8-2-1-3-3,,,allows 7 runs

the over was dependent on Porcello,as Buehrle returned to status quo,, Buehle's next start is due for an over ,, per past 
KeyElement says:
08/03/10 02:50PM
Over is good in 3 for the F5 and in 7 for the game. End of story.
jrhdgolf9 says:
08/03/10 02:53PM

Great info, thank you

 

goallinebob says:
08/03/10 02:56PM
regardless if i passed or not i read the game in 5 correctly that Buehrle only allowed 1 run thus the balance of runs allowed must come from porcello and you need to go back 5/6 starts for him to do that,, just an analysis that was dead on regarding what to expect from Buehrle
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 03:02PM
inn 6-9 past Buehrle
1-4-0-0-0-2-0-1-0,,Great 6-9 #'s
__________________________
inn 6-9  Porcello
0-4-0-7-4-1-0-1,,,,,,,,He/,,BP allows 4 runs 
mikec says:
08/03/10 06:26PM
Will tail Cincy and SF 1st 5. Don't trust NYM as Atlanta's home record is too good. Don't trust Halladay either. He isn't always great, Philly line up decimated with injuries, and who knows what to expect from West. Good luck Bob! 
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 04:08PM
chips it really isn't,,,, as did have a book here in vegas that took 6-9 inn plays sides an O/U's but went out of biz,,,,,,,,,,,casinos here just don't offer it or i am unaware of any that do,,,,,,,,,,and i'm not gonna drive all over just to play inn 6-9,,,,,,,,,,,,,hell half time i don't want to drive to play standard games,,,,,,,hell i'd love to just pick up a phone,,,but i do everything at South Point and i get a lot of comps so i'm happy doing what i'm doing and thats the real FACT
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 07:21PM
Cinn Rain delay,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 07:26PM
digs,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 07:27PM
Phils up 2-0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 03:11PM
Porcello runs allowed all starts/ with Bull pen when pulled 16 starts
1st,,,,7
2nd,,,13
3rd,,,,10
4th,,,19
5th,,,10
6th,,,,5
7th,,,,2
8th,,,,16
9th,,,,,1
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 03:12PM
vegas does not offer TT
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 03:32PM
Element look i took the trouble to post all this stuff and decided not to play it,,for personal reasons as not to drive to casino,, maybe others enjoyed the post and my thoughts for game as presented with pros and cons ,what is the problem with this ??????????????

My analysys was right Buehrle returned allowing just 1 run ,is there someting wrong with that ??????????????????,,all this shit is a guessing game and,,,,,,that is all it is,,,,just as the inn 6-9 looked to be a great under but now after the fact it was wrong,,,,,,
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 04:34PM
2 parlays today

5 inn,,Parlay

Leake
Dickey
Halladay
Sanchez
Nats gm Under line is 5
__________________________
9 inn parlay

Reds gm Over line is 8.5
Dickey
Halladay ,,may do RL not sure just yet
Giants gm Over line is 9
Latos

both Parlays will be married to ( Pitchers to be named)

Laa gm Santana to win in 9 vs Matsuz

Chw gm Over in 9 inn Jackson vs Gallaraga,whatever the # is

will add one more but need to await lines later today

really like cubs gm over with these two,dempster and Parra or

Over in 9 Leblanc vs Monasterios ,,,,,,,or

Price to win  vs baker



goallinebob says:
08/03/10 04:36PM
have little to review with Torres so pass for me,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 04:45PM

game 2 appears 

torres 6.04 era,,,,with Bonderman looks like a good over
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 08:27PM
game 2 appears 


have little to review with Torres so pass for me,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,



torres 6.04 era,,,,with Bonderman looks like a good over,,,
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 08:29PM
mets waste a double top 5th need a push Dickey,, no screwing around
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 08:34PM
cm on mets i need this out,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 08:39PM
damnnn Dickey loads bases with 2 outs,,,,,,CM on Dickey get ur ass together
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 08:42PM
I'M living on the edge,,, Mets gm in 5 is a PUSH,,,,,,,and i'll take it,,,
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 08:43PM
grov,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, i do it all Manually every starter every team,,,every Inning, yeaa i'm F****D up
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 08:54PM
giants up 2-0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 08:56PM
damnn reds down 0-2,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 06:37PM
not touching O's game as Bell only one start so will pass,, think Guthrie is a fair play in 5 esp with his last 3 starts in 5 inn,,,1-0-1
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 07:15PM
just ret damnnn parlay will pay handsomly if can win all games and i'm so damnnnn due,,,,,
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 08:25PM
thanks digs,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,always happy to throw out what the # 's tell me,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,all i wish is the starters do as previously did,,CONSISTENCY is all i ask ,, good or bad jusy keep doing what they are doing
Phils up 5-1,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 09:11PM
Pirates just got 6 runs ,,,,,,,,,,,,, i just got screwed,, in 5 but i have the over in 9 inn so just maybe,,,,,,my parlay can still win in all plays in 9,,,,,i can't believe Leake blew his load after such great starts
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 09:19PM
digs this shit is not easy,,,,,,,,,,,,,,i know i don't need to say that 
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 09:21PM
Leake 5 past last 9 starts
0-5-2-1-6-2-1-1-1,,Love last 4 starts,,,,,,,,,,, and now allows a 6  to Pirates,,, 
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 09:22PM
have tomorrow and thursdays plays all done as long as they don't change STARTERS,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 09:24PM
****were gonna have a BIG POD on*** ****************thursday******************
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 09:26PM
better get the kids Piggy banks Brothers,,,1st year college is available,,
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 09:47PM
i'll give u an inside view of a few,,,,,,,

Billingsly 5 past last 3 starts
0-0-0
inn 6-9
0-0-2
game 
0-0-2
_______________
Corriea
5 past
5-3-2
6-9
5-0-4
game
10-3-6
____________________
davis past 5 last 5 starts
2-2-2-1-2
Inn 6-9
0-0-0-0-0
Game
2-2-2-1-2
_________________________________________
Stowey 5 past last 5
4-8-1-1-0
inn 6-9
2-0-3-3-0
game
6-8-4-4-0
____________________
francis 5 past last 3 starts
0-2-0
6-9 past
0-2-2
game
0-4-2
_____________
Mc Donald 5 past last 3
4
inn 6-9
1
game
5


goallinebob says:
08/03/10 09:48PM
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 09:49PM
well lost parlay in 5 but have 7 to the over in 9 inn,,,
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 09:52PM
off to casino to play some BJ,,,,,,have a great evening brothers as all is never lost,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, we will prevail,,,
goallinebob says:
08/03/10 09:29PM
in fact i now see 2 PODS,,,,,,,,,,,,,nothing like laying 3 k on a 2 teamer
goallinebob says:
08/04/10 10:37AM
5 inn,,Parlay

Leake
Dickey,,,,,,,,,,,,,PUSH
Halladay,,,,,
Sanchez,,,,,,,,,,,,
Nats gm Under line is 5.5,,,
__________________________
9 inn parlay

Reds gm Over line is 8.5
Dickey,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
Halladay ,,may do RL not sure just yet
Giants gm Over line is 9,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
Latos,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
angelobruno says:
08/03/10 03:45PM
always enjoy your analysis bob keep it up
KeyElement says:
08/03/10 03:06PM
In that case, why not bet Detroit TT under?
fgooz says:
08/03/10 05:50PM
gl today goallinebobdo u like baltimore in 5inn today ?
Blue_Chips says:
08/03/10 03:53PM

 

Sportsbetting.com and Bet Phoenix offer this too. I have never played it though. Seems like it would be really hard to gage.

Blue_Chips says:
08/03/10 04:15PM

 

Thank you.

Blue_Chips says:
08/03/10 04:18PM

 

I took the ChiSox TT over 4.5.  

Now, do you guys think they hit the ball like that in Game 2?

Blue_Chips says:
08/03/10 11:58PM
Well, I hope it hits for us.
Blue_Chips says:
08/03/10 09:53PM

 

They don't play tonight.

NickyEyes says:
08/03/10 06:33PM
good luck tonight goallinebob. i'm enjoying your threads more and more each day


Syddigs says:
08/03/10 07:49PM


You're welcome. I loved the game 2 over in Det/CWS as Bonderman is a hit machine and Torres stats looked very ordinary. 5-0 after 2 is a great start but im still steaming after the Balti/KC debacle on Sunday. I always get fucked on the 9.5 total.

I also liked KC/Sea over 8 tonight as both pitchers are just average.

I will be looking at LAA and CWS over for tomorrow based on your early insight.

Again, keep up the great work. I enjoy reading your analysis and thoughts.
Syddigs says:
08/03/10 09:28PM


Looking forward to it Bob. Im now praying for a push on what looked like a sure fire winner after 2 innings. BOL and looking forward to Thursdays POD.
Syddigs says:
08/03/10 07:19PM

Appreciated Bob. Just letting you know in case you didn't. Keep up the great work.
Syddigs says:
08/03/10 09:06PM
5 runs after 2 innings in Detroit and then they stop scoring. Fuck me!
Syddigs says:
08/03/10 09:59PM

KC/Oak I meant. Sorry about that. Mazzaro and Davies.
Syddigs says:
08/03/10 09:42PM
I might lock myself in my bedroom tomorrow so I dont blow my dough on bad beats ahead of Thursday.
b_hook says:
08/04/10 10:53AM
nice work yesterday bob, can't wait for Thurs 
Grov says:
08/03/10 08:25PM
bob,
been following your writeups for a while now.
just wanted to know where you get your info from?
do you just look at all the innings
or is there a site that puts up these numbers?
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