gtmoney76's Blog

Picks for Wimbledon warmup event

By gtmoney76 | View all Posts
Posted Monday, June 08, 2009 09:13 AM   48 comments
Well the French Open was exciting, now no to the Grass Season.
 
I did not post earlier  but Already won the Becker match and awaiting Cavaday in WTA.
 
Feliciano Lopez over Robert Kendrick- 210 -the price is a little steep but Lopez with this big serve and having made QF at Wimbledon last year is a proven player on grass, Kendrick is no sloutch either but with .500 record on grass I will take Lopez for Max Bet even at this price, 2100/1000
 
GGL -160 over Lu- Lu has retired the last two tourneys and GGL with this serve is about a .500 player on grass certainly worth a Medium play here if you are at a book that grades on retirements.
 
Berdych, Hass should both win there matches though too pricey, staying away from Schlutter -who made SF at Wimbledon but seems out of form over Gicquel, Serra is 0-2 to Sela but seems likely to win that match but I have no interest is a tight match.
 
Muller in bad form 1-9 but still expect him to beat Goodall who played well at a Grass challenger last week, no bet here
 
**Please note on the Men's Side there were  several ATP level players that played a Grass Challenger last week as a warmup and the lines will reflect that some.
48 comments
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xar86413 says:
06/08/09 09:49AM
Seppi and Llodra both cash! Anything else cooking?
bevoaustintx says:
06/08/09 09:54AM
maybe anderson over fog at -285?
xar86413 says:
06/08/09 09:57AM
Looking at Marcos Baghdatis now that I have a very unexpected $700 more in the account.. He's playing a kid right?
michaelpaul1 says:
06/08/09 09:57AM
good picks
bevoaustintx says:
06/08/09 09:58AM
eh knew querrey was a good pick
bevoaustintx says:
06/08/09 10:01AM
sort of, from Great Britain, but since Marcos has gone part time he is the WC, think Marcos can do damage but take Anderson over Fognini, better odds
xar86413 says:
06/08/09 10:35AM
I actually took the kid at +300 for a 1/4 unit when I saw that it was still up at my book, and also, he has served up a couple aces already. Figured, why not take a shot.

Anderson is starting off strong, hope that works out for you.
bevoaustintx says:
06/08/09 10:42AM
Eh passsed on Anderson, GL on Ward, a revised OOP came out on the WTA side so there will be lines left but it also means my big Rybarikova pick will have to wait a bit now, but ill see what i can nail in between then
bevoaustintx says:
06/08/09 10:45AM
ok in game thread beginning on my next one
xar86413 says:
06/08/09 10:46AM
P-H. Mathieu -700..

I realize the chalk is crazy here, but Andrei Pavel hasn't won a match in 2009, or in 2008.. Infact, it's been awhle since he's won even a set. Not playing it as yet.
bevoaustintx says:
06/08/09 10:50AM
k come into  my in game thread we can chat there
gtmoney76 says:
06/08/09 11:03AM
ok guys sorry I left earlier for breakfest with family, on Baggy for a dime, I have Baggy to win 1000 laying 3700.  I had Llodra to win 2000 earlier.
gtmoney76 says:
06/08/09 11:29AM
Getting a little crazy but I am taking Youhzny  -900 8350/927.77 at 5dimes
gtmoney76 says:
06/08/09 11:50AM
On an off topic - these are not plays but any means so these don't count but just my thoughts on 2 WTA matches

 

I kind of like Coin and Chan as underdogs because both have good serves, Govortsova is a clay courter with a weak serve and Tansguarman is good hard, carpet, grass player when she is on, but Coin has the ability to beat her.....beware ML's here. I am staying away. I have like the mens draws better today Cavaday was my only wta pick played

xar86413 says:
06/08/09 12:01PM
Youz up the first set. I just need PHM to pull through, and I'm done with tennis for the day. Hit some bases at 2pm and then go have lunch. This could be a great day off barring a major upset here.
gtmoney76 says:
06/08/09 12:44PM
One more that seems silly but riding high so here we go Xavier Malisse came through Qualifying, Andujar hates fast surfaces look at his records, He hasn't played a match on Grass this year and only once before. Hoping for straight sets but took ml 6750/1000 at 5dimes
gtmoney76 says:
06/08/09 01:26PM
Andujar retired after losing 5th game so its a push instead of a win, needed one more game. But can't complain, +$7000 on a day perfect on plays listed as followed from 5dimes.

 

33203310 6/8/09 8:31am -$2,350.00 $5,990.00 1 Wager(s) Placed 33203310-1 $2,350.00 $1,000.00  Win 6/8/09 8:45am  ATP Tennis  211 Michael Llodra -235 vs Evgeny Korolev   
33203111 6/8/09 7:56am $1,375.00 $8,340.00 Wager Won 33202408-1 $875.00 $500.00  Win 6/8/09 6:00am  WTA Tennis  314 Naomi Cavaday -175 vs Julie Ditty   
33203043 6/8/09 7:27am -$2,450.00 $6,965.00 1 Wager(s) Placed 33203043-1 $2,450.00 $1,000.00  Win 6/8/09 7:30am  ATP Tennis  207 Feliciano Lopez -245 vs Robert Kendrick   
33203042 6/8/09 7:27am -$1,600.00 $9,415.00 1 Wager(s) Placed 33203042-1 $1,600.00 $1,000.00  Win 6/8/09 7:30am  ATP Tennis  206 Guillermo Garcia-Lopez -160 vs Yen-Hsun Lu   
33203002 6/8/09 7:13am $2,600.00 $11,015.00 Wager Won 33202405-1 $1,600.00 $1,000.00  Win 6/8/09 6:00am  ATP Tennis  110 Benjamin Becker -160 vs Victor Hanescu  

gtmoney76 says:
06/08/09 01:27PM
33208640 6/8/09 12:42pm -$6,750.00 $10,986.77 1 Wager Placed 33208640-1 $6,750.00 $1,000.00  Pending 6/8/09 11:45am  ATP Tennis  217 Xavier Malisse -675 vs Pablo Andujar 
33208545 6/8/09 12:32pm $3,833.33 $18,317.77 Wager Won 33207363-1* Rolling If-Bet (Win Only) from ticket # 33203385-1.  3,450.00 $383.33  Win 6/8/09 10:15am  ATP Tennis  225 Mikhail Youzhny -900 vs Oscar Hernandez  
33208544 6/8/09 12:32pm $5,444.44 $14,484.44 Wager Won 33207340-1* Rolling If-Bet (Win Only) from ticket # 33205351-1. 
  $4,900.00 $544.44  Win 6/8/09 10:15am  ATP Tennis  225 Mikhail Youzhny -900 vs Oscar Hernandez  
33208371 6/8/09 12:26pm $0.00 $9,040.00 Wager Won 33205351-1* $3,900.00 $1,000.00*  Win 6/8/09 10:15am  ATP Tennis  228 Marcos Baghdatis -390 vs James Ward  
33208329 6/8/09 12:25pm $0.00 $9,040.00 Wager Won 33203385-1* $2,450.00 $1,000.00*  Win 6/8/09 8:45am  ATP Tennis  211 Michael Llodra -245 vs Evgeny Korolev   
33208328 6/8/09 12:25pm $3,350.00 $9,040.00 Wager Won 33203310-1 $2,350.00 $1,000.00  Win 6/8/09 8:45am  ATP Tennis  211 Michael Llodra -235 vs Evgeny Korolev  
33208290 6/8/09 12:24pm $3,450.00 $5,690.00 Wager Won 33203043-1 $2,450.00 $1,000.00  Win 6/8/09 7:30am  ATP Tennis  207 Feliciano Lopez -245 vs Robert Kendrick   
33205351 6/8/09 10:08am -$3,900.00 $2,240.00 1 Wager(s) Placed 33205351-1* $3,900.00 $1,000.00*  Win 6/8/09 10:15am  ATP Tennis  228 Marcos Baghdatis -390 vs James Ward   
33203385 6/8/09 8:37am -$2,450.00 $6,140.00 1 Wager(s) Placed 33203385-1* $2,450.00 $1,000.00*  Win 6/8/09 8:45am  ATP Tennis  211 Michael Llodra -245 vs Evgeny Korolev   
33203380 6/8/09 8:35am $2,600.00 $8,590.00 Wager Won 33203042-1 $1,600.00 $1,000.00  Win 6/8/09 7:30am  ATP Tennis  206 Guillermo Garcia-Lopez -160 vs Yen-Hsun Lu
gtmoney76 says:
06/08/09 01:28PM
Alright guys well I am looking at some doubles and then MLB
gtmoney76 says:
06/08/09 01:34PM
7-0-1 on wagered plays today

9-0-1 on made plays even my leans all hit today- Muller, Serra both won, Gicquel lost as expected but stayed away from along with Serra and Muller.

 

See you guys tomorrow hoping for another great one

xar86413 says:
06/08/09 01:41PM
It was a great day for the chalk. I went 5-0 myself, and setup my bankroll nicely for the MLB card. Long time since I've been on the good side of a heavy favorite.. haha.. Kinda makes me want to back the dogs tomorrow for 1/4 unit each, bound to be some upsets coming.
gtmoney76 says:
06/09/09 06:33AM
ok well back to work.....

 

Looked at alot of early tennis but didn't play any of the 6am EST matches sinces I just woke up. After looking at the sheet there are a few early plays with some chalk that really look promising.

 

Beck -370 over Rochus- this is alot of Vig and not for faint of heart but something all betters should know about Beck is he is awesome in tourney that are in Journey (Halle) is. 2nd the Kid has a very good serve and volley game, Rochus is more of a dirt baller with noodle serve. Beck is a max bet for me of 1K.

 

Darcis-200 over Capedeville- Darcis/Capedeville are both somewhat out of there element prefering clay first off, but looking further in this Darcis is a good play, Capedeville is  5-5 in most recent action all on clay. Darcis is 7-3 playing recently on clay...... Darcis holds value because he does possess a big serve and does move well so his volley game will play better here on grass then capedeville who has a decent serve but nothing spectacular.... Darcis will be a 1K wager for me as well.

 

gtmoney76 says:
06/09/09 06:47AM
Also adding Cetkovska -220 for 1 dime- she has beaten Foretz on Hard and Indoor Carpet to lead 2-0, she goes pretty good on faster surfaces and has a good serve, expect Foretz to lose this match is straights-1 dime wager

 

Lean towards Keethvong agaist out of shape Arvvidson but stay away here-no bet

bevoaustintx says:
06/09/09 07:20AM
took both last night but did take Foretz +3.5
gtmoney76 says:
06/09/09 08:44AM
adding Rezai for 1Dime as well at-240....she had great form on clay and hoping that she will be up for taking out a dirt baller in Marino who already lost to Osterloh is qualies here this week
gtmoney76 says:
06/09/09 08:45AM
Darcis wound up being  a 4k wager for me and lol he has me a little scared down a set at 4-3
gtmoney76 says:
06/09/09 09:38AM
Laying alot of juice today Camerin -225 for 1000. Camerin just won a grass ITF tourney where Osterloh was knocked out by a no body. osterloh has played two matches here recently and won but she is down 2-0 H2H with Camerin both on Fast surfaces and in straights.
gtmoney76 says:
06/10/09 06:32AM
1st posted play for Wednesday Mirza +145- taking big hitter to win over the Brit.
gtmoney76 says:
06/10/09 06:36AM
only other play in earliest group is Berdych but didn't post before it started but did bet both matches to win 1000 on fav and risk 1000 on dog (Mirza).

 

more to come

gtmoney76 says:
06/10/09 06:36AM
Rezai cashed now waiting on Camerin
gtmoney76 says:
06/10/09 06:41AM
Makarova -235 to win 1000- Makarova will roll Voegle she is a good grass player at 9-5 record and has a good serve. Expect straight set win
tha_riddla says:
06/10/09 10:31AM


http://tennis.wettpoint.com/en/schedules-atp.html


gtmoney76 says:
06/10/09 10:37AM

Yep when they seem favorable like Mirza.

Not sure I like Karlovic may take dog there too.....just researching....look at tennisinsight, tennis.matchstat, all good sites

gtmoney76 says:
06/11/09 07:00AM
hey guys sorry to get back to posting so late, was uplate blowing my winnings from early MLB.

 

Anyway on to Tennis


Pending- Czink 1300/1000, Pavlyuchenko if win to win 500

Parlay Beck/Pavlyuchenko- 1000/500

 

will be back with rundown of plays for today

 

gtmoney76 says:
06/11/09 07:11AM
Mens- Kiefer- 235 over Melzer- huge miss match and decent price for Kiefer playing well, big serve and volley play will always out shine the clay courter that Melzer is more a resemblence of.

 

Magdalena Rybarikova-155 her serve will help her the most vs Scheepers but big ground will be Scheepers undoing, i like the HC as well.

gtmoney76 says:
06/12/09 08:51AM
Rybarikova

 

kiefer retired after 1st set so for those at dimes

 

On to today- Hit Na Li early but lets see whats left on the card- alot of juice but alot of winners

 

Tommy Haas- ML -350 for me 7000/2000 at 5dimes. HUGE MISS MATCH Haas is rolling about at good as they get, for those that don't lay juice but get sides and lower limits take the -4. May throw an extra 500 on that my self. Haas has looked very good serving extremely well taking advantage of opponnets such as Tsonga's week moment, he was serving well at RG before Roger took him out. Zverev on the other hand was helped by nearly 2.5-1 unforced error ratio by Berdych we won't see that from Tommy, Berdych has 48 unforced errors and still had several match pts, I watched that match this is as easy a play for me to make as any.  Pound the hell out of this.

gtmoney76 says:
06/12/09 09:01AM
I also the U. Radwanska over Rybarikova -135 is a good value bet- I know I know that Rybarikova took out Zhang but to put it simply Rybarikova serve is  her best weapon but Radwanska has a very overall game for grass and hence is a slight favorite, she has yet to drop a set as Rybarikova did to Scheepers who goes pretty good on grass herself. Radwanska for me not the most popular of plays.

 

Possibly upset play Jurgen Melzer over Novak who looked aweful vs Serra yesterday, Melzer beat an injured (lazy) Kiefer who now goes on my black list of players not to unless there is retirement void rule at sportsbook, not at dimes.  Melzer serve will keep him in this he should at the very least be competitive worth throwing some change at especially on the +4.5 HC.

 

Roddick -215 to win 1 dime over Karlovic- Roddick serve was sloppy vs Hewitt yesterday, alot of 2nd serve in 1st set but that will go up today Karlovic is a statue with no return game, Roddick will win this match, price is reasonable too.

 

Haas and Roddick are at the same time as confident in Roddick as I am Haas is a no brainer and even though laying a considerable more . Just my thoughts and picks here. Anyone who wished to good luck. Be more then glad to answer anyones questions

gtmoney76 says:
06/10/09 06:43AM
well looks like Camerin is choking after playing well yesterday
gtmoney76 says:
06/10/09 06:53AM
Didn't get Makarova in time-but good luck to all that did
gtmoney76 says:
06/10/09 07:09AM
well Camerin Loss was my 1st in Tennis this week, oh well , Mirza and Berdych left, though some big sting in that juice -225. Oh well we will try and make up for it
gtmoney76 says:
06/10/09 08:01AM
Adding Czink -130 for 1 dime, big serve vs the clay courter, though warning the clay courter went to round 32 at wimbly and is 15-7 on grass
gtmoney76 says:
06/10/09 08:51AM
Birdshit chokes at net he had 48 unforced errors to 19 from Zverev, he had multiple matchpoints and several on serve......unreal only Birdshit and Davydenko could lose these matches, and atleast Davy is getting paid be it the otherside when he loses.
gtmoney76 says:
06/10/09 08:52AM
GGL BIG and Czink still pending thinking of taking Tsonga later-175 see alot of value.
gewilson7 says:
06/12/09 10:19AM
I liked Roddick, wasnt too sure on Hass but im going to go with you on this one ,,, parlayed em together
gewilson7 says:
06/12/09 10:52AM
Hass already down 1 break freaking first game what a joke
canes86 says:
06/10/09 09:18AM
trying to find out how Tsonga does against Haas, what site do you use to look at matchups/previous records, etc???
canes86 says:
06/10/09 08:46AM
berdych chokes :(
neversaynever says:
06/10/09 09:59AM
have you ever played an underdog
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