happycap's Blog

Posted Saturday, June 27, 2009 10:19 AM

SATURDAY *** BASES *** THREAD ***

RECORD: 14-10   I have 5 team totals today:   TBJ O4.5   LAA U5   BOS 03.5   CWS U4.5   SFG U4   MAY ADD ... [More]

Posted Thursday, June 25, 2009 04:38 PM

REPORT: SERIOUS offer on the table for T. Kaberle

Darren Dreger is reporting...


Posted Tuesday, June 23, 2009 04:58 PM

What does King Scorpio's "Grandma Capper" have to do with NHL betting??

In response to a comment about the suitability of KS's now famous experiment in baseball to hockey betting I posted this reply just now (in response to Andarmac's comment).  I want to open this up for discussion here if anyone is interested.  Here is my take from KS's thread: 

Generally, NHL dogs can be flat bet for a profit from October thru Feb but once the trade-deadline takes place 2 very important emotional factors take place coincidentally:

1) "sellers" begin to tank (yes, it happens every year - these guys are human) as management has already signalled they do not expect to make the playoffs by getting rid of their better talent for a premium return.

2) lazy-ass buggers who had coasted to that point begin to get their shit together just in time for the playoff run in an effort to secure solid seeding meaning contending teams amp up their performance levels remarkably. 

Net result: Faves do way better the rest of the way.  Dogs appreciate in value but not enough to compensate.

Conclusion: Bet the dogs in whatever fashion you desire but only through the end of FEB (or even until the trade deadline) for best results

 



Posted Thursday, June 11, 2009 12:49 PM

happycap's playoffs POD - G7

RECORD:

43-35(55%) REGULAR SEASON

26-28 PLAYOFFS (-2.76 UNITS)

FRIDAY PLAYS:

PENS/WINGS P1 U1.5 -110

(PINNACLE)  

COMMENT: BEEN A WHILE SINCE I WENT WITH A P1 UNDER BUT LIKE IT AT THIS PRICE IN THIS G7; REFS ARE LESS LIKELY THAN EVER TO BE CALLING MARGINAL PENALTIES THROUGHOUT THIS GAME; PLAYERS WILL TAKE A WHILE TO GET LOOSE GIVEN THE STAKES INVOLVED; GOALIES HAVE BEEN DECENT AND EXCEEDED MY EXPECTATIONS GOING IN - I DON'T SEE THAT CHANGING HERE

GL TO ALL

... [More]

Posted Tuesday, June 09, 2009 10:14 AM

happycap's playoffs POD - 6/9

RECORD:

43-35(55%) REGULAR SEASON

26-27 PLAYOFFS (-1.76 UNITS)

TUESDAY PLAYS:

WINGS  +110

(PINNACLE)  

COMMENT: WOW BEEN A WEEK SINCE MY LAST POST BUT ENJOYED THE AFTERGLOW OF THAT 2-0 NIGHT LONG ENOUGH; I THINK THIS PICK SPEAKS FOR ITSELF GIVEN MY PREVIOUS PLAYS AND LEANS, BUT I WILL SAY THAT I INTEND TO DOUBLE UP IN G7 SHOULD THEY FAIL TO CASH AS A DOG THIS EVENING

GL TO ALL

... [More]

Posted Tuesday, June 02, 2009 12:15 PM

happycap's playoffs POD - 6/2

RECORD:

43-35(55%) REGULAR SEASON

24-27 PLAYOFFS (-3.76 UNITS)

TUESDAY PLAYS:

WINGS/PENS  O5.5 -104

PENS - 140
 (PINNACLE)  

COMMENT: LETDOWN SPOT FOR THE WINGS - PENS GET THEIR FIRST WIN HERE;  ALSO FEEL NEW MATCH-UPS LEAD TO ENHANCED OFFENSE AND REALLY FEEL EITHER GAME ONE OR TWO COULD EASILY HAVE GONE OVER BUT FOR A FEW POSTS, ILLEGAL PUCK FREEZES IN THE CREASE (COURTESY OF ZETTERBERG) AND HANDS-OFF OFFICIATING THAT CAN'T LAST MUCH LONGER - ESPECIALLY AFTER GENO MALKIN'S IDIOTIC (ATTEMPT AT) VIOLENCE AT THE END OF LAST GAME

GL TO ALL

... [More]

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User: happycap
Joined: August 2006
Location: Ontario
Team: Toronto Maple Leafs
Occupation: Education

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