hute92's Blog

Posted Wednesday, March 12, 2014 06:03 PM

Top 5 PF and C plays tonight

Top 5 position vs. defense mismatches for PF:

1.       Derek Favors vs. DAL (29th)

2.       Tristan Thompson @ PHO (27th)

3.       Tobias Harris vs. DEN (26th)

4.       Jason Thompson and Derrick Williams @ PHI (25th)

5.       Zach Randolph @ NO (24th)

Top 5 position vs. defense mismatches for C:

1.       Andray Blatche @ MIA (30th)

2.       Nikola Vucevic vs. DEN ( 29th)

3.       DeMarcus Cousins @ PHI (27th)

4.       Jared Sullinger vs. NY (26th)

5.       Robin Lopez  @ SA (25th)

 

... [More]

Posted Wednesday, March 12, 2014 06:01 PM

Top 5 small forward plays tonight

Daily Mismatch Report: 3-12-14

 (FPPG allowed Last 15 days):

Top 5 position vs. defense mismatches for SF:

1.       Rudy Gay @ PHI (29th)

2.       Aaron Afflalo and Maurice Harkless vs. DEN ( 27th)

3.       Carmello Anthony @ BOS ( 26th)

4.       Wilson Chandler @ ORL (25th)

5.       Marcus Morris vs. CLE (24th)

 

... [More]

Posted Wednesday, March 12, 2014 05:58 PM

Top 5 shooting guard plays for tonight

Top 5 position vs. defense mismatches for SG:

1.       James Anderson vs. SAC (30th)

2.       DeMar DeRozan vs. DET (29th)

3.       Gerald Green vs. CLE (27th)

4.       Wesley Mathews @ SA (26th)

5.       Jared Bayless vs. NYK (25th)

 

 

... [More]

Posted Wednesday, March 12, 2014 05:57 PM

Top 5 Point Guard plays for tonight

Daily Mismatch Report: 3-12-14

Top 5 position vs. defense mismatches for PG (Last 15 days):

1.       Isaiah Thomas vs. PHI (30th in FPPG allowed vs. PG)

2.       Goran Dragic vs. CLE (27th)

3.       Kyrie Irving @ PHO (25th)

4.       Jameer Nelson vs. DEN (26th)

5.       Mike Conley @ NO (24th)

... [More]

Posted Wednesday, March 05, 2014 06:57 PM

Daily Fantasy Basketball Report

Though Dirk Nowitzki is usually a safer play at home, the Nuggets front court defense is atrocious right now.  Kevin Love might tell you they’ve had a little trouble defending underneath without fouling. In their last three games, Denver has fouled opponents 27.7 times per game, which is second worst to only New Orleans who sits at 30. Denver also ranks #25 overall in defending the paint this year, allowing 44.6 PPG.

With Kevin Garnett out of the lineup for the 3rd straight game, Andray Blatche will get another start. Over his last three games Blatche has averaged 35.1 FPPG, and though the Memphis defense ranks #1 against centers overall and #4 in the last 8 games played, he’s still capable of putting up 15-10-3-3.

Amare Stoudemire’s price across the board has hit the floor, and though it’s unclear if he’s starting again, the Knicks have lost 8 straight and have nothing to lose by increasing his minutes.

Small Forward

Harkless- put up solid points in 4 straight and plays vs. HOU

Batum 42.1 FPPG L5, and plays ATL

Jimmy Butler

... [More]

Posted Tuesday, May 28, 2013 05:51 PM

Batter vs. Pitcher Notes MLB - 5 picks

Avila, Cabrera, Fielder, Infante, Hunter, and Don Kelly each have a career OPS higher than 1.000 in 42 total appearances vs. Geanmar Gomez.  In my opinion Detroit will cover the -1.5, which they have done in 4 of the 6 wins of their current 6-1 stretch, but the 9.5 is too high to take the OVER. Until yesterday PIT had gone 14 straight games with under 9.5 total runs. 6 of DET last 10 have been under 9.5.

Ryan Howard (5 for 14, 2 HR, 7 RBI) is the only Philly of note with any significant history against Dempster. In their last 10 vs. RHP Philly has scored 1.89 r/9, and hit .211. In contrast, Ortiz, Pedroia, and Ellsbury are a combined 12 for 59 with 0 HR against Cliff Lee.  

St. Louis is on a 5-1 stretch, and has covered -1.5 in 5 of their last 6 wins, and on the other side Kansas City is on a 1-10 skid and have lost by 2 or more in 5 of their last 6 losses.

The White Sox are 7-2 when Chris Sale pitches and the UNDER is 7-1-1. His counterpart Edwin Jackson has contributed to the Cubs’ failures to the tune of 2-8 on the season. The Sale/Under parlay has hit four times in a row.

Cincinnati is on a nice 6-1 run and have covered -1.5 in 5 of the 6 wins. When Matt Latos pitches the Reds are 8-2 this year, and the Latos/Reds -1.5/OVER parlay has happened in four straight. The Indians counter with a 1-6 record in their last 7 and a bull pen with an 8.01/1.75 in its last 10. Five of the six losses were by -1... [More]

Posted Friday, May 24, 2013 04:15 PM

Batter vs. Pitcher Notes MLB - 2 picks

5-24-13

Today’s Hot List:

-          Billy Butler 8 for 16 and 3 HR/ 1.829 OPS vs. Vargas

-          Curtis Granderson 17 for 39 and 3 HR vs. Hernandez

-          Desmond, Harper, and Suzuki are a combined 19 for 43 and 4 HR vs. Kendrick

-          D. Freese, M. Carpenter, and A. Craig are 12 for 20 with 2 HR lifetime vs. Capuano

Today’s Cold List:

-          Morneau/Willingham 5 for 22 vs. A.Sanchez

-          The entire Royals line-up vs. Vargas and LAA bullpen, with Billy Butler being the exception.

-          M.Reynolds, A.Cabrerra, and C.Santana are a combined 6 for 36 and 14 K’s against Lackey.

-          David Wright 2 for 16 and 7 K’s lifetime vs. K. Medlen.

In limited sample size: [More]

Posted Friday, May 24, 2013 02:10 PM

Today's hot/cold hitters

5-24-13

Today’s Hot List:

-          Billy Butler 8 for 16 and 3 HR/ 1.829 OPS vs. Vargas

-          Curtis Granderson 17 for 39 and 3 HR vs. Hernandez

-          Desmond, Harper, and Suzuki are a combined 19 for 43 and 4 HR vs. Kendrick

-          D. Freese, M. Carpenter, and A. Craig are 12 for 20 with 2 HR lifetime vs. Capuano

Today’s Cold List:

-          Morneau/Willingham 5 for 22 vs. A.Sanchez

-          The entire Royals line-up vs. Vargas and LAA bullpen, with Billy Butler being the exception.

-          M.Reynolds, A.Cabrerra, and C.Santana are a combined 6 for 36 and 14 K’s against Lackey.

-          David Wright 2 for 16 and 7 K’s lifetime vs. K. Medlen.

In limited sample size:

... [More]

Posted Tuesday, May 07, 2013 12:52 PM

Today's 2-team MLB Parlays: Fade MIL/O 4-1

5-7-13

Every day I analyze each matchup page for every MLB game. I like taking note of the streaks. Here is what I found:

Detroit is 9-1 in their last 10, and A. Sanchez (U 4-1) has posted 5 straight QS. They are facing J. Zimmerman (U 4-1) and the under may be worth a look tonight, however the Detroit/OVER parlay is 7-5 in its last 12.

Fading Milwaukee with the Over is 4-1 in the last 5 games and they send W. Peralta (1.67, 6.00) to the hill against Grimm (1.27, 2.28.)

If you’ve been betting the alternate run line (-2.5 runs) against Houston lately, you’ve gone 7-3 in your last 10. Fading HOU with the over is 7-3 in the last 10 as well, and they’re playing the Angels who have an over of 5-2 in their last 7 and are 21-10 (OVER) on the year.

Cleveland is quietly 7-1 in their last 8 and the over is 6-2-1 in that stretch. The parlay cashed 6 out of 8 times, and all seven of Cleveland’s wins during the streak have covered the alternate run line (-2.5 runs.) Not to mention they’re playing Oakland. We all know about the A’s OVER run which is 12-3 as of late.

 



Posted Friday, May 03, 2013 03:37 PM

AL BREAKDOWN 5-3-13

AL BREAKDOWN 5-3-13

8.5 TWINS@CLE- Solid starting pitching (Hernandez 2.35, 1.17 in 15 innings) could be offset by CLE .321, 8.50 r/9 in L10 vs. LHP, and MIN good history (Florimon Dozier Parmalee) against Masterson. 1st 5 over might be a play. Both bullpens are hot at the moment.

8 NYY @ OAK- Here we have a nice OVER vs. OVER situation- Combined OVER of 9-1 in L5. OAK OVER of 24-5 on the season. The number has been at 8 or 8.5 in 9 of OAK L10, and in those games the Over is 9-1. Tonight’s is set at 8. Though Sabathia has proven to throw 8 quality innings on a regular basis, and Moss, Donaldson, and Cespedes are a combined 1-18 against him, Sabathia has still given up 5 HR in his L2 starts. AJ Griffin started the year with 3 straight gems but has now cooled (11 ER in 11 IP in L2.)

7.5 SEA @ TOR- Bluejays bullpen 6.75 L5. There’s usually one top to bottom lopsided pitching match- up. M’s bullpen 2.50 L5 and Felix Hernandez is on fire. Romero finished 2012 strong but is a complete question mark.  Ackley, Bay and Montero all have an OPS over 1.000 against Romero. Morse seems to be back in stride as well.

9 BOS @ TEX- BOS is batting .282, 6.32 r/9 and TEX is batting .276, 4.50 vs. LHP in L10. OVER is 7-2-1 in BOS L10. Bullpen ERA L10: BOS 5.54 and TEX 5.11. Beltre, Cruz and Kinsler have had success against Dubront in a small sample size of 16 combined AB. For the record, Ortiz, Pedroia, and Ellsburry are a comb... [More]

Posted Monday, January 12, 2009 02:38 PM

Eat it G-Men; we Stomped you out!

Think Eli is still better than Peyton? What happend to punding the rock and utilizing play action? What happened to Coughlin? Brad Childress thought that was bad coaching. And dont tell me it's because of Plaxico Burress, it's not. The Eagles stomped you out because Eli Manning looks at his shoes during a quarterback sneak. As tough as that was to have home-field advantage, it's even tougher to throw a spiral. Have a good off season boys, I'm sure you'll be ready for weeks 1-10 next year.


Posted Thursday, January 08, 2009 12:29 PM

Thursday Love

Thursday Picks

 

PIT -110 @ Nashville- 1 unit

CHI -170 @COL- 3 units

PHI -160 vs MIN- 1 unit

 

FLA -5.5 -110 – 1 unit

 

LAC +900 @ SA - .20 units

DET +2 -110 @ DEN- 2 units

DET is 3-1 ATS on no rest, DEN is 5-5

DET is 6-2 ATS in L 6 @ DEN

DET 12-4 ATS in L 16 meetings



Posted Monday, August 18, 2008 03:34 PM

Braves Smell Something Barry Zito-licious

Today I noticed a couple of trends in the Giants at Braves game that should be taken note of.

 

In day games LHP Barry Zito is 1-6, with an 8.50 ERA, and 2.22 WHIP. The day/night splits aren’t always a lock, but I have a feeling this one is because it’s game 4 of a four-game series and Campillo needs to pitch well to even the series, instead of lose 3-1. Jorge Campillo is 4-1, 2.05 and 0.95 in day games, but has given up 17 ER in his last 23.2 IP. The Braves are 5-1 in game 4’s this year, and are 4-0 in game 4’s after a loss.

 

Zito actually pitched fairly well in his last start allowing two hits in the first 5 IP. The bullpen helped him surrender 5 earned runs in the 6th to provide him with his 15th loss.

 

The Braves are hitting .296 against LHP in their last 10 games and scoring 5.40 runs/9 innings.

 

Do you either:

A)    Take the money line at poor value (-230) because you know the braves are going to win?

B)     Bet on the run line (Braves -1.5 @ -120) because it’s better value?

C)    Say screw the Braves, and take the (OVER 8.5 @ -110) because Campillo has given up 10 ER in his last 2 starts, and Barry... [More]

Posted Thursday, August 14, 2008 12:31 PM

***SF@HOU In-Game***

***SF@HOU***

HOU -176

UNDER 9 -115

 

Important Trends: UNDER is 14-2 when Moehler starts a game this year and the UNDER is 11-3 in San Fran’s last 14 games overall.

Added Bonus: SF is batting .261, and scoring 2.66 runs/9 in their last 10 against RHP. The UNDER is also 13-9 when Jerry Lane is umpiring, and UNDER has resulted in 3 of his last 4 games overall.

Buyer Beware: The Giants pen is one the Yankees think needs work. These guys are bad right now. The Giants bullpen has an 8.31 ERA in the last five, and a 7.96 in the last 10. HOU on the other hand is crushing the ball early and late.



Posted Tuesday, August 12, 2008 02:35 PM

I know the Twins better than my wife

The Yankees aren't looking at the scouting report on Twins RHP Nick Blackburn and thinking, " Wow I'm glad we get a shot at this righty tonight. We desperately need to win this series and the stakes are high for game 2 and or 3." They're not thinking that at all. They are thinking, in my opinion, " Gee I would really like to have Joba Chamberlain pitching tonight."
 
Logically speaking, the Joba injury has a huge affect on the team morale at this point. It's the only excuse the Yankees have to their disposal should things get really bad for Girardi.
 
Blackburn has been the un-sung hero in the Twins rotation all year long, and he's gotten no love in Scott Baker's shaddow.
 
I look for Blackburn to keep things going tonight with 7 IP, 2 ER.
 
It's also worth noting the Twins are indeed licking their chops at that bullpen.


Posted Tuesday, August 12, 2008 02:20 PM

Is this trend worth noting?

Would it be worth betting the UNDER in favor of Odalis Perez completely based on the following Covers.com Top 5 Trend stat:
Under is 10-0 in Perezs last 10 home starts.
 
???


Posted Monday, August 11, 2008 08:34 AM

2-0 Sunday...Pick of the day: ***BAL@CLE***

OVER 9.5 (-110)
OVER has played in last 3 meetings and 7 of Carmona's last 8 home starts.
BAL is hitting .298 in their last 10 games against RHP
Both Carmona and Sarfate in their last 3 starts, have WHIPS of 1.89 and 2.00, ERA's of 10.66 and 10.29, and the OVER is 5-0.


Posted Sunday, August 10, 2008 02:19 AM

HOU - C.Lee = value on OVER Sunday?

"It's tough to lose him," Houston manager Cecil Cooper said. "It didn't look good. He carried us the last month and a half. It's a big hole to fill, but we're capable of filling it. I'm just now starting to suck it up."
 
I wouldn't say it's a good thing to lose C.Lee for the next 2-4 weeks. The question is how long it takes Berkman to fill in, and produce for two.
 
Both Volquez and Rodriguez are good pitchers, but both have pitched horribly in their last two starts. Furthermore, Cincy hits lefties better, and Houston hits righty's better.
 
By the way the Umpire Jerry West is known to be streaky with the totals. the OVER is 13-10, and 3 of his last 4... Can you say 10.52 runs per game?
 
 


Posted Sunday, August 10, 2008 02:04 AM

the Liriano Train has left the station

"My slider was good and my changeup was good," Liriano said. (I witnessed this kid first hand in 06, and he’s money now. We can now safely ride the Liriano train to the bank.

 

"Frankie threw the ball good," Twins manager Ron Gardenhire said. "I think the long [fifth] inning might have got to him a little bit. I think he had a better breaking ball and changeup than he had a fastball. He pumped his fastball when he needed it and it had some life on it. It was a good performance by him.

 

Analysis: Man does Ron Gardenhire love us media freaks or what? Thanks Gardy for something to further engage in now that we know how money Liriano is. In my opinion, the strikeouts will soon be here.



Posted Saturday, August 09, 2008 06:32 PM

+6.0 units today!

So far today...
LAA +130 - 3 units
OVER 9.5 - 1 unit
LAA -155 - 2 units
 
Saturday night Picks
 
DET -1.5 (-105) - 2 units
DET -200 - 2 units
 
Good luck!!!


Posted Saturday, August 09, 2008 03:43 PM

The Yanks bullen is..

The Yanks bullen ERA is 5.67 in their last 10 games, and 6.11 in their last 5, which means things are getting worse since the team has discovered Joba Chaimberlain's injury. We can expect 5.0 innings and not much more out of today's starter Dan Giese. That leaves 4 innings of the Yankees pen, and the Angels are licking their chops. The Angels are 15-6 in game 2's after a win.


Posted Saturday, August 09, 2008 03:31 PM

TAKE the ANGELS and LACKEY -1.5 +130!

@ sportsbook.com or anywhere else.
 
I like this play particularily because of how much of a disaster situation this is for Dan Giese (NYY starting pitcher) if he get's tapped early. He has given up 2 ER in his last 14.1 IP out of the pen.  
 
It's obvious the Yankees are desperate without Joba, therefore have an added excuse to lose this game.
 
Add that to the fact the home team is 18-5 with umpire Bill Welke, and his OVER is 14-8, and we have the makings of a 7-4 Angels type of win. Just do it.


Posted Saturday, August 09, 2008 11:54 AM

Bengals +3 Monday night

Some of us Packers fans are really making our situation worse than it has to be. Especially kids yelling explatives for crying out loud. Their parents are probably the same idiot spoiled fans who made signs at the NFC Championship game that said where's your popcorn now T.O.? Yeah, there you go... let's assume we already won the game. Ever think of focusing on the Giants?

There's nothing more frustrating to a loyal fan such as myself then to hear reports that Aaron is being shot down multiple times a week by fans who don't know a thing about affecting their team in a positive way. They can't curse the owner out, so let's just give it to the guy that holds the success of our upcoming season in his hands. Stupid freaking Packer fans; go move to Minnesota where you belong! I stand by McCarthy and A-ROD, but not Thompson.

 

Kevin Hute



Posted Thursday, August 07, 2008 03:17 AM

Cake Walk on Braodway

Not only do the Jets have 10 winnable games, the Jets have 10 winnable games after the convenient week 5 bye-week. Worst case scenario is they start 1-3 and have a buy to get things right for the rest of the cakewalk on Broadway. Chad Pennington may not be happy at this point, but all of his boys are still going to remain positive.  I expect the attitude and confidence of the team to skyrocket after they hang 42 on Cincinnati in week 6.

 

Following that, they have a lot to be positive about even if they are 2-3 because they then play @OAK, vs. KC, @ BUF (would be a big win,) vs. STL in their next four. They win three of those for sure! I would guess they will be 6-3 because of how amazingly great this is to every Jet’s fan, but 5-4 is very realistic heading into the 2nd Patriots game.

 

If, and that is a huge “IF” they beat New England in the 2nd match-up in week 11. This would put them at the very worst 5-5 looking ahead to @ TEN, vs. DEN, @ SF, vs. BUF, @ SEA (which will be a loss,) and vs. MIA to clinch a playoff berth in week 17. Favre would have no excuse to not have the playbook down by then. Since all the books are adjusting the lines right now, I would set a realistic line of OVER 8.5 wins -110. I would even bet that at -200. If I could get OVER 9.5 wins at +120 or better, I would take that. A couple available bets can be found as f... [More]

Posted Thursday, August 07, 2008 03:15 AM

JETS schedule perfect for FAVRE

Not only do the Jets have 10 winnable games, the Jets have 10 winnable games after the convenient week 5 bye-week. Worst case scenario is they start 1-3 and use their bye week to get things right for the rest of the Cakewalk on Broadway.

 

Chad Pennington may not be happy at this point, but all of his buds are still going to remain positive.  I expect the attitude and confidence of the team to skyrocket after they hang 42 on Cincinnati in week 6.

 

Following that, they have a lot to be positive about even if they are 2-3 because they then play @OAK, vs. KC, @ BUF (would be a big win,) vs. STL in their next four. They win three of those four for sure! I would guess they will be 6-3 because of how amazingly great this is to every Jet’s fan, but 5-4 is very realistic heading into the 2nd Patriots game.

 

If, and that is a huge “IF” they lose to New England in the 2nd match-up in week 11, it would put them at the very worst 5-5 looking ahead to @ TEN, vs. DEN, @ SF, vs. BUF, @ SEA (which will be a loss,) and vs. MIA to clinch a playoff berth in week 17 with their 10th win. Favre would have no excuse to not have the playbook down by then.

 

Since all the books are adjusting the lines right now, I would set a realist... [More]

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