igotthegoods's Blog

FRIDAY CFB PITTSBURGH @ RUTGERS DISCUSSION

By igotthegoods | View all Posts
Posted Friday, October 16, 2009 02:00 AM   0 comments
WOW. What a day for me. After gong 11-2 this week with a $3140 profit, I went 0-4 today losing $1760 with 3 bets on the USF game and 1 bet on the Dodger game. I have set high goals for tomorrow in NHL, MLB, and CFB aiming to win around $800-$2000.

With that being said, lets talk some Friday night CFB!

Here are some quick stats

SUATSOUOFFDEF


Yards Per Point
Head To Head
Pitt is 6-4 SU   avg 30.4 ppg
Rutger is 6-4 ATS  avg 21.5 ppg

Trends
Positive Trends for Rutgers
Rutgers is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Rutgers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Rutgers is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
Rutgers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

Negative Trends for Rutgers
Rutgers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Positive Trends for Pitt
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Rutgers

Negative Trends for Pitt
Pittsburgh is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Rutgers
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Rutgers

Other Stats
Rutgers has a 22nd ranked defense allowing 16.4 ppg
Pitt has a 33rd ranked defense allowing 18.8 ppg

Rutgers has a 29th ranked offense scoring 31.8 ppg
Pitt has a 18th ranked offense scoring 34.8 ppg

Rutgers allows 65.2 yards on the ground
Pitt allows 109.5 yards on the ground

Rutgers allows 237.4 yards through the air
Pitt allows 226.3 yards through the air

Rutgers has completed 62 of 117 passes for 906 yards (4td, 3int)
Pitt has completed 105 of 157 passes for 1334 yards (14td, 3int

Rutgers has carried the ball 209 times for 915 yards (11td)
Pitt has carried the ball 199 times for 999 yards (12 td)

Average Opponent Power Rankings (did myself so could be off)
Rutgers 84.675
Pitt 85.222

My Predicted Score (Based on AOPR)
36-33 Rutgers

Doesn't look like Pitt has a good pass defense but Rutgers has a pretty balanced offensive attack with two decent running backs

the Rutgers run defense looks really good and Pitt has one designated running back that's a 5-8, 195 lbs freshman who is one of the best in the country so far this year

I think the question here is can Rutgers stop the Pitt run game? If not I see Pitt blowing this game out, they have too many weapons for the long ball

Does anyone know if who has the O-Line and D-Line advantage?

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User: igotthegoods
Joined: September 2009
Location: Hawaii
Team: Los Angeles Lakers
Occupation: Other

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