iverchnk's Blog
Posted Saturday, October 31, 2009 06:25 PM
Went 4-1-1 (+5 Units) last week, bringing my season record to 19-14-1 (+4.5
Units).
Man did I dodge the bullet on the NOS @ MIA game last week or
what. Thought my bet was toast after the
first half, but the Saints came through big!!
Quality not Quantity, I only have three plays this week:
1)
Hou
(-3) *3 Units – this line is where it’s at because Buffalo won 2
straight. But in those two wins, they
won because the opposing teams’ QB basically self destructed, Sanchez threw 5
ints, Delhomme threw 3 ints. Was it
because Buffalo was playing good defense, no not really, they were decent and
solid, but most of those INT’s were credited to their own inaccurate
throws. I don’t see M.Schaub self
destructing in the same manner, HOU offense will take care of business.
2)
BAL
(-3) *1 Unit – BAL is the more
desperate team coming off the bye and they normally play fired up at home. Their run defense is still stout, while their
secondary is struggling. But good thing
for them, K. Orton and the Bronco’s Offense don’t usually go deep too often. B’More should win this game if they go back
to their philosophy of running the football, they have 3 great backs, but in
recent losses they have been ... [More]
Posted Saturday, October 24, 2009 05:26 PM
Went 3-2 (+2 Units) last week, bringing my season record to 15-13 (-0.5
Units).
Hoped some of you got onto my last minute MNF play last week. Lesson to be learned from last week is to
stay away from (-14) spreads...haha, but what can I say, I guess I’m just too stubborn
sometimes to listen to my own advice. Good
thing I stuck with 1 unit only for those games.
Without further a due, here are this week’s picks and I apologize for
the shorter write up this week:
1)
SD
(-5) *1 Unit – The Chargers are due for a break out game. This game will be it. Should be a good day for the SD offense.
2)
Indy
(-13.5) *1.5 Units – Bob Sanders
provides a boost for Indy’s D, but its not like they’ll need it against
STL.
3)
GB
(-9) *1 Unit – I don’t see Cle’s D providing much pressure on
A.Rodgers. And when that happens,
Rodgers will pick you apart.
4)
CAR
(-7) *1.5 Units – The Panthers look like the Panthers of old, pounding
the ball with their two talented backs.
If they stick to that game plan, I don’t see how the Bills have an
answer for it.
5) ... [More]
Posted Sunday, October 18, 2009 06:37 AM
Last week I went 2-3 (-2.5 Units), bringing my season record to 12-11 (-2.5
Units). Horrible, never envisioned a
start like this....haha, but still we still have 2/3 of the season left. I am a strong believer of its how you finish,
not how you start.
Anyone catch the Hou @ ARI game?
Can’t believe I lost because Hou couldn’t get 1 YARD on 3 TRIES!!!
Unbelievable!!!
So to not get burned again (last week Hou & ARI opened at 48 and I
had at 50), here is an early bet from a total game that I liked.
1)
Nyg
@ NOS (47.5 Over) *2 Units – Bombs away!! Enough Said.
2)
Phi
(-14) *1 Unit – With Raiders
best offensive weapon D. McFadden out.
They don’t stand a chance winning this game depending on the inaccurate
arm of J.Russell. The blitz happy Eagles
Defense will have an easy time shutting the Raiders down. I don’t like betting high spreads, so I am
sticking to 1 Unit on this one.
3)
PITT
(-14) *1 Unit – Another big
spread game for 1 Unit. Once Pitt gets
the lead in this game, they will pound the ball with Parker & Mendenhall
and CLE’s D can’t do anything about it.... [More]
Posted Friday, October 09, 2009 09:22 PM
Last week I went 3-3 (-1 Unit), bringing my season record to 10-8 (Break
Even).
That’s not cool, Time To Bring Da Heat On This Week’s Picks!!!
1)
Minn
(-10) *1 Unit – STL’s best offensive weapon is S.Jackson, I don’t see
him running on this stout Run D. Their
passing attack with K.Boller is a joke; I don’t see them doing much damage in
the air, even if M.Bulger plays.
2)
NE
(-3) *3 Units – I said it last
week and I am going to say it again. I
still don’t think Den is as good as their records show. They didn’t really do much to beat the
Cowboys last week, other than the winning touchdown scored by B.Marshall. The Cowboys beat themselves, with Romo
missing open receivers and constantly challenging Champ was not a good idea. Brady will do better and Den’s leading rusher
Buckhalter is banged up and probably wouldn’t play.
3)
Indy
(-3.5) *2 Units – Tenn’s pass defense has been horrible this year. That’s bad news when you go up against P.
Manning. If Tenn can score early, they’ll
have a chance, but if the Colts go up early and force Tenn to catch up by
passing; then this game is GG.
4)
Hou
@ ARI (Over 50) *1.5 Units – T... [More]
Posted Friday, October 02, 2009 01:36 AM
Last week was my first losing week this season went 1-2 (-2 Units). For the season I am 7-5 (+1 Unit).
Just like I called it, my 2 Unit game last week between 49ers and
Vikings will only go over if there were going to be Special Teams score or
Defensive score. Low and behold, there
were 2 special teams score in one game.
A FG block for TD and a 101 yds Return for a TD...Unbelievable!!
Instead of waiting for all my plays to be finalized and making you guys
wait till late Friday. I’ve decided to
send out what I have made plays on already.
I still have some leans on a couple games. If I make I play I will send those out
tomorrow, but so far, here are this week’s picks:
1)
Cinn
(-5.5) *1.5 Units – With Carson Palmer back at QB, Cincy’s passing
attack is looking good again. The same
can’t be said with CLE’s offense. Seen
reports saying J. Lewis and P.Dawson is going to be out for this game. Derek Anderson is going to be starting and
personally I think he is better than B. Quinn, but I don’t think that will be
enough for the Browns to cover. Their D
has shown me nothing, no turnovers, no pressure, NOTHING.
2)
Tenn
(-3) *1.5 Units – Both teams relay on their running game to generate
offense and b... [More]