iverchnk's Blog
Posted Saturday, January 23, 2010 08:32 PM
Last week went 1-2 (-1.5 Units), season
total 40-41-4 (+4.5 Units)
Man, what’s up with kickers this year. Seems like more so this year, where games are
lost due to the inaccuracies of the kickers.
Feel bad for the Chargers loss last game.
1) INDY
(-7.5) *1.5 Units – It’s been a great run for the Jets, but I think
this Sunday is when their luck runs out.
D.Revis will probably shut down R.Wayne, because he is that good. But P.Manning’s got other weapons and to top
it all off, they have M.Stover, the Ex-Raven kicker who is automatic within 44
yards, so Jets would not be so lucky this week with their opponents missing
FG’s.
2) MINN (+3.5)
*1 Unit – If the Vikings can successfully pound
the ball with A.P., and not fall behind early, they will win. NOS’s run D is soft and they usually get
teams to abandon the run game by scoring quick and early. When D.Brees have time to throw, he is
unstoppable. But with the Vikings D-Line
applying good pressure like they did to Romo last week, D.Brees will be thrown
off his rhythm. Just like how the
Cowboys did, when they beat the Saints in Week 15.
Ivan
...
[More]
Posted Saturday, January 16, 2010 04:33 PM
Last week
went 1-2 (-1 Unit), season total 39-39-4 (+6 Units)
1) bal
(+6.5) *1.5 Units – Similar to last week’s game, the last time the
Ravens and Colts met, the Ravens should have won that game if not for a bad
interception in the Red Zone by the Ravens, losing that game by 2 pts. Although the Colts’ starters will be well
rested, they might show some rust from not playing in a Full Meaningful
football game in over 3 weeks. Ravens
are going into this game with momentum.
I’ll take the points.
2) MINN
(-2.5) *1 Unit – This game is going to be won
on the ground. The team that has a
better day rushing will win this game.
Dallas has 3 talented backs and a D-Line that’s been playing well. But in the end I am going to have to give the
slight edge to the Vikings. They got the
2 Williams on Defense that stuffs the run and they got AP, he’s fallen off a
bit this year, but he is still dangerous.
As for QB, I’ll go with the more experienced Favre.
3) ari
(+7) *1 Unit – The Saints stumbled into the playoffs and they just
didn’t look right compared to the hot team that started the season. Both teams statistically have defenses that
are average at best, but I am going to give the edge to the Cardinals to step
it up in the playoffs because of the ... [More]
Posted Saturday, January 09, 2010 05:14 PM
Last week went 1-0-1 (+1 Unit), season
total 38-37-4 (+7 Units)
Finally some meaningful football games
again!
Pick for Wildcard Weekend:
1)
bal (+3) *1.5 Units – The Patriots losing Welker is huge! Brady turns to him in tough situations all
the time, without him, Brady just lost his go to guy. Also when these 2 teams met back in Week 4,
if it wasn’t for a couple of bad calls, dropped passes and an interception in
the Red-Zone, the Ravens could have very well beat the Patriots that day. This is a very winnable game for the
Ravens. I’ll take the points!
2)
gb (Pick Em) *1.5 Unit – Reports
suggest the chances of Boldin playing is doubtful. That’s an important piece of the Cardinals
offense taken out and now GB defense can focus solely on Fitzgerald. GB’s defense have been playing exceptionally
well lately and Arizona’s secondary can be beaten through the air.
3)
CINN (-2.5) *1 Unit – Last week’s
matchup between these two teams was very one sided. But I am not banking on the Jets to repeat
that performance. I feel that
emotionally this week, there will be a letdown.
They went... [More]
Posted Saturday, January 02, 2010 08:55 AM
Last week went 1-1 (0 Unit), season total 37-37-3
(+6 Units)
Loving all the Bowl games, just started
betting those this year and its been fun =).
Other than the few meaningful AFC games which have playoff implications,
I know I’ll be paying more attention to the Bowl games instead this weekend.
Pick for Week 16:
1)
sf (-7) *1 Unit – Too much pride in Singletary and his team to lay down and not
come out playing hard for the last game of the season. STL on the other hand can lock up this
upcoming draft’s number 1 draft pick if they lose.
2)
tenn (-4) *1 Unit – both teams are
out of the playoffs, but don’t be fooled.
Tenn still has something to play for.
C. Johnson needs another 128 yards rushing to crack 2,000 and another 75
yards to break the record for most yards from line of scrimmage. The whole Titans’ offense will be pumped to
get it for him.
Happy New
Year!!
Ivan
...
[More]
Posted Saturday, December 26, 2009 11:50 AM
Last week went 1-2 (-1 Unit), season total
36-36-3 (+6 Units)
First off, I got to apologize for the
horrible Teaser Parlay last week…hahah, lost 4 out of the 5 games on that
ticket. That’s why I hate betting the
last couple of weeks before playoffs, line makers are sharp and how the teams
are going to be coming to play is unpredictable with the playoff picture
becoming more and more clear. It is also
unfortunate that I haven’t had the chance to share my 2nd half bets
this season. I’ve actually been doing
quite well on that the whole year, but because of the short 15 minute window at
halftime and most of the time I am putting bets through my phone (my phone web
browser doesn’t allow me to access my mailing list on yahoo, don’t know why),
it is usually too late to send it out after I put my bet in. I plan to take my plays to a free blogging
website soon; so hopefully posting it there during halftime would be more
beneficial to you guys.
Pick for Week 16:
1)
hou @ MIA (-2.5) *1 Unit – hou Defense is going to struggle trying to stop Dolphins rushing
attack. C.Henne has proven he belongs in
this league ever since he was given the starter position this year. M.Schaubb will be pressured the whole game
from the Dolphins who are 2nd in the league in sacks. He will not have the luxury of hav... [More]
Posted Monday, December 21, 2009 07:16 PM
nyg @ WASH (Over 43.5) * 1 Unit
- nyg is playing for their playoff lives and WASH's Offense like a said
the last couple of weeks, is looking better and better as each week
progresses.
GL
Posted Sunday, December 13, 2009 02:51 PM
Loving the tight playoff races! For Week 13
I went 4-4 (+1 Unit), season total 33-33-2 (+5 Units)
Picks for Week 14:
1) den @ INDY (Under 44) *1 Unit – So far this season, when Indy plays
a good defense, the Totals have been low.
Denver’s secondary is one of the best in the league. Matched that with a conservative Denver
Offense, we have ourselves an Under!
2) sea @ HOU (Over 44.5) *1 Unit – Two decent passing offenses up against one
average secondary and one poor secondary, I'm going with the Over!
3) wash (-1) *2 Units – Ever since Jim Zorn gave up play calling
duties, the Redskins have been playing better and better. Oak is still a bad team, even with a new QB.
4) phil (SU win) *1 Unit – Phil’s D is good against the run, take away NYG’s
run game. Their secondary is good and should be able to hang with NYG’s
inexperience receivers. ... [More]
Posted Thursday, December 03, 2009 06:51 PM
Damn, that last missed FG by J.Carney
hurts. It turned my Week 12 into a
losing week. I went 3-4-1 (-0.5 Unit),
season total 29-29-2 (+4 Units)
Here are the picks:
1) Nyj (-3) *1.5 Units – This game is being played in Toronto,
and to me this is a neutral site, not a home game for the Bills. D. Revis will shut down T.O.
2) Den (-4.5) *1.5 Units – I
still don’t believe Denver is an elite team, but they’ll look elite playing
against the Chiefs.
3)
Tenn (+7) *1 Unit – Tenn’s Offense will kill the clock and
minimize the number of times P.Manning will get the ball. V.Young is playing really well.
4) Tenn @ INDY (Under 47) *2 Units – Same reason as I mentioned above. Tenn is going to milk the clock every time
they have the ball.
5) Bal (+3) *1 Units – I
don’t think GB can match Bal’s overall physicality over 4 quarters.
Good Luck
Everyone!!
Ivan
...
[More]
Posted Thursday, November 26, 2009 08:00 PM
Hope this makes it out to some of you on time, I will have a more in
depth write up on this weeks picks coming out later on tonight or
tomorrow.
Nyg (-4.5) * 1 Unit
- I was a couple games early this year coming out saying the Bronco's
are over-rated and I got burned with 2 big losses, now it is starting
to finally show in their last 4 games and I don't see them turning it
around to make the playoffs this year.
Good Luck
Ivan
Posted Friday, November 13, 2009 01:23 PM
Went 2-4 (-2 Units) last week, bringing my season record to 24-18-1 (+7.5 Units).
Breaks my heart to see the Giants give up a touchdown with less than 25 seconds left to lose the game! I’m still on vacation, so the write ups are a little short.
1) Nos (-13.5) *1 Unit – STL secondary is going to be in for a long day.
2) TENN (-7) *2 Units – With V.Young back at QB, the Titans offense have sprung back to life in the last 2 games. Their rushing attack will be too much for Bills Defense to match.
3) Den & WASH (Under 37) *1 Unit – Two conservative offense, matched with two good secondary’s, equal low scoring game.
0 comments
|
Add a comment
Posted Friday, November 06, 2009 06:40 PM
Went 3-0 (+5 Units) last week, bringing my season record to 22-14-1 (+9.5
Units).
Hectic upcoming 3 weeks for myself in a good way. I’ll be going on vacation, YES!!! So I apologize for the short write ups in the
upcoming 3 weeks. I am going to try my
best not to miss any weeks’ picks, but if I do, I apologize ahead of time.
this week’s plays:
1)
Hou
& INDY (Over 48) *1 Unit – 2 great pass first Offense and in recent
years when these two teams meet, it is usually a high scoring affair.
2)
BAL
(-3) *1 Unit – Last time the Ravens beat themselves with
2 dumb defensive penalties on Cincy’s last drive. That is not going to happen again. Cincy is off a bye, but the Ravens’ are still
fresh being only one week away from their own bye.
3) NE (-10.5) *2 Units – Brady will
attack Dolphins’ rookie CB’s all day, and the Pats have had an extra week to
prepare.
4) Dal & PHIL (Under 49) *1 Unit – Dal
is going to run the ball more instead of counting on Romo to beat the Eagles’
good Secondary. This game is not going
to be as ex... [More]
Posted Saturday, October 31, 2009 06:25 PM
Went 4-1-1 (+5 Units) last week, bringing my season record to 19-14-1 (+4.5
Units).
Man did I dodge the bullet on the NOS @ MIA game last week or
what. Thought my bet was toast after the
first half, but the Saints came through big!!
Quality not Quantity, I only have three plays this week:
1)
Hou
(-3) *3 Units – this line is where it’s at because Buffalo won 2
straight. But in those two wins, they
won because the opposing teams’ QB basically self destructed, Sanchez threw 5
ints, Delhomme threw 3 ints. Was it
because Buffalo was playing good defense, no not really, they were decent and
solid, but most of those INT’s were credited to their own inaccurate
throws. I don’t see M.Schaub self
destructing in the same manner, HOU offense will take care of business.
2)
BAL
(-3) *1 Unit – BAL is the more
desperate team coming off the bye and they normally play fired up at home. Their run defense is still stout, while their
secondary is struggling. But good thing
for them, K. Orton and the Bronco’s Offense don’t usually go deep too often. B’More should win this game if they go back
to their philosophy of running the football, they have 3 great backs, but in
recent losses they have been ... [More]
Posted Saturday, October 24, 2009 05:26 PM
Went 3-2 (+2 Units) last week, bringing my season record to 15-13 (-0.5
Units).
Hoped some of you got onto my last minute MNF play last week. Lesson to be learned from last week is to
stay away from (-14) spreads...haha, but what can I say, I guess I’m just too stubborn
sometimes to listen to my own advice. Good
thing I stuck with 1 unit only for those games.
Without further a due, here are this week’s picks and I apologize for
the shorter write up this week:
1)
SD
(-5) *1 Unit – The Chargers are due for a break out game. This game will be it. Should be a good day for the SD offense.
2)
Indy
(-13.5) *1.5 Units – Bob Sanders
provides a boost for Indy’s D, but its not like they’ll need it against
STL.
3)
GB
(-9) *1 Unit – I don’t see Cle’s D providing much pressure on
A.Rodgers. And when that happens,
Rodgers will pick you apart.
4)
CAR
(-7) *1.5 Units – The Panthers look like the Panthers of old, pounding
the ball with their two talented backs.
If they stick to that game plan, I don’t see how the Bills have an
answer for it.
5) ... [More]
Posted Sunday, October 18, 2009 06:37 AM
Last week I went 2-3 (-2.5 Units), bringing my season record to 12-11 (-2.5
Units). Horrible, never envisioned a
start like this....haha, but still we still have 2/3 of the season left. I am a strong believer of its how you finish,
not how you start.
Anyone catch the Hou @ ARI game?
Can’t believe I lost because Hou couldn’t get 1 YARD on 3 TRIES!!!
Unbelievable!!!
So to not get burned again (last week Hou & ARI opened at 48 and I
had at 50), here is an early bet from a total game that I liked.
1)
Nyg
@ NOS (47.5 Over) *2 Units – Bombs away!! Enough Said.
2)
Phi
(-14) *1 Unit – With Raiders
best offensive weapon D. McFadden out.
They don’t stand a chance winning this game depending on the inaccurate
arm of J.Russell. The blitz happy Eagles
Defense will have an easy time shutting the Raiders down. I don’t like betting high spreads, so I am
sticking to 1 Unit on this one.
3)
PITT
(-14) *1 Unit – Another big
spread game for 1 Unit. Once Pitt gets
the lead in this game, they will pound the ball with Parker & Mendenhall
and CLE’s D can’t do anything about it.... [More]
Posted Friday, October 09, 2009 09:22 PM
Last week I went 3-3 (-1 Unit), bringing my season record to 10-8 (Break
Even).
That’s not cool, Time To Bring Da Heat On This Week’s Picks!!!
1)
Minn
(-10) *1 Unit – STL’s best offensive weapon is S.Jackson, I don’t see
him running on this stout Run D. Their
passing attack with K.Boller is a joke; I don’t see them doing much damage in
the air, even if M.Bulger plays.
2)
NE
(-3) *3 Units – I said it last
week and I am going to say it again. I
still don’t think Den is as good as their records show. They didn’t really do much to beat the
Cowboys last week, other than the winning touchdown scored by B.Marshall. The Cowboys beat themselves, with Romo
missing open receivers and constantly challenging Champ was not a good idea. Brady will do better and Den’s leading rusher
Buckhalter is banged up and probably wouldn’t play.
3)
Indy
(-3.5) *2 Units – Tenn’s pass defense has been horrible this year. That’s bad news when you go up against P.
Manning. If Tenn can score early, they’ll
have a chance, but if the Colts go up early and force Tenn to catch up by
passing; then this game is GG.
4)
Hou
@ ARI (Over 50) *1.5 Units – T... [More]
Posted Friday, October 02, 2009 01:36 AM
Last week was my first losing week this season went 1-2 (-2 Units). For the season I am 7-5 (+1 Unit).
Just like I called it, my 2 Unit game last week between 49ers and
Vikings will only go over if there were going to be Special Teams score or
Defensive score. Low and behold, there
were 2 special teams score in one game.
A FG block for TD and a 101 yds Return for a TD...Unbelievable!!
Instead of waiting for all my plays to be finalized and making you guys
wait till late Friday. I’ve decided to
send out what I have made plays on already.
I still have some leans on a couple games. If I make I play I will send those out
tomorrow, but so far, here are this week’s picks:
1)
Cinn
(-5.5) *1.5 Units – With Carson Palmer back at QB, Cincy’s passing
attack is looking good again. The same
can’t be said with CLE’s offense. Seen
reports saying J. Lewis and P.Dawson is going to be out for this game. Derek Anderson is going to be starting and
personally I think he is better than B. Quinn, but I don’t think that will be
enough for the Browns to cover. Their D
has shown me nothing, no turnovers, no pressure, NOTHING.
2)
Tenn
(-3) *1.5 Units – Both teams relay on their running game to generate
offense and b... [More]
Posted Saturday, September 26, 2009 03:32 PM
Had a decent week last week going 3 – 1 +2 Units. For the season I am 6 – 3 up +3 Units.
So let’s carry that momentum into this week!!
1)
SF
@ MINN (Under 39) *2 Units – Two hard hitting defenses faces off. Both offenses are not flashy and relies more
on their running game to move the chains.
The only way I see this game going over is if there are special teams or
defensive scores. Other than that, I see
a slow grinding defensive oriented game.
2)
Den
@ OAK (Under 36.5) *1.5 Units – We got two of the best shut-down
corners playing in this game. Pair that
up with two so-so QBs. I don’t see any
big passing plays at all in this game.
As long as none of the RB’s bust for huge runs, this game is going to
stay under.
3)
ARI (-2) *1.5 Units – Indy barely
escaped with wins against two weaker opponents in its’ first two games. Their defense without Bob Sanders in the
secondary has been struggling. The Cards
seem to find their groove on offense in their win last week. ARI should outscore Indy in this one.
Good Luck Everyone!!
Ivan
...
[More]
Posted Sunday, September 20, 2009 01:44 PM
(THOUGHT I POSTED THIS EARLIER, BUT FOR SOME REASON IT DIDN'T WORK, SO HERE IT IS AGAIN....SORRY FOR THE DELAY!)
What a way to start the season!
Couple of pretty entertaining games that came down to the
wire. So I went 3-2 +1 Unit for Week 1
(for calculation simplicity, I am disregarding the Vig). Lets jump straight to the picks for this week
1) Titans (-6.5) *2 Units – The
Titans should’ve beaten the Steelers if it wasn’t for the 2 failed FG
attempts. D-Line is not as dominant as
last year without Haynesworth, but Linebackers to Secondary is still really
good. If the Jets D gave the Texans
problem at their home, I see Titans D with 10 days rest, will dominate Houston
this week. Plus I see Chris Johnson
getting his first 100+ yds game for this season.
2) Vikings (-10) *1.5 Units – Vikings
D is going to be pressuring Matt Stafford all game and its not going to be pretty. AP and Chester Taylor would have a field day
running at Lions D.
3) Nyg @ DAL (Over 44.5) 1 Unit –
First regular season game in the new stadium.
The Cowboys should be pumped for this one! Romo and Co. Looked good last
week and as long as they can minimize the pressure from NYG’s talented front 4,
Dallas will get their pts. Dallas D ... [More]
Posted Sunday, September 13, 2009 12:09 PM
Alright,
Here it is Week 1 plays. Because it is the first week I am only
playing 1 unit per play. I normally hate
playing big Favourites, but after going through all the games on the schedule a
couple times, these are the games where I feel the best about. So here it is!!
1) Ravens (-13) *1 Unit – KC’s
offense is still lost, they fired their Offensive Coordinator last week, O-Line
is not great & Matt Cassel is hobbling around from his pre-season
injury. Only bright spot for them is
Dwayne Bowe, but he can’t win a game single handed. As for B’More, I think they are one of the
most completed teams this year and I actually have them going all the way this
year. That defense is just plain Nasty
and Offense with a more experienced Joe Flacco and Ray Rice emerging to playing
a big part, is going to be productive.
2) Vikings (-4) *1 Unit – Vikings
got one of the best D-Line in the NFL, and the rest of the Defense is
respectable also. As for offense, all
they needed was a QB, and voila they went out and got Brett Favre to go along
already to me one of the best Running back tandems in the NFL with AP and
CT. As for Cle, Brady Quinn hasn’t
really proven himself to be a star in this league yet and I am not impressed
with Cle’s D.
... [More]