Went 4-1-1 (+5 Units) last week, bringing my season record to 19-14-1 (+4.5 Units). 

Man did I dodge the bullet on the NOS @ MIA game last week or what.  Thought my bet was toast after the first half, but the Saints came through big!!  

Quality not Quantity, I only have three plays this week:

 1)      Hou (-3) *3 Units – this line is where it’s at because Buffalo won 2 straight.  But in those two wins, they won because the opposing teams’ QB basically self destructed, Sanchez threw 5 ints, Delhomme threw 3 ints.  Was it because Buffalo was playing good defense, no not really, they were decent and solid, but most of those INT’s were credited to their own inaccurate throws.  I don’t see M.Schaub self destructing in the same manner, HOU offense will take care of business.

2)      BAL  (-3) *1 Unit – BAL is the more desperate team coming off the bye and they normally play fired up at home.  Their run defense is still stout, while their secondary is struggling.  But good thing for them, K. Orton and the Bronco’s Offense don’t usually go deep too often.  B’More should win this game if they go back to their philosophy of running the football, they have 3 great backs, but in recent losses they have been airing out the ball with J.Flacco way too much.  Playing against Denver’s  good secondary should force the offense to go back to the run.

3)      Mia (+3) *1 Unit – Both teams starting Rookie QB’s and both teams love running the ball.  I am giving the Dolphins the slight edge in this because the Wildcat sure looks good against the NYJ Defense without their big run plug in the middle K.Jenkins.  Also, NYJ will be without their quick backup RB L.Washington.  The NYJ will target Mia’s rookie CB’s with B.Edwards, but I don’t think Sanchez with the way he is throwing in recent games, can get him the ball accurately.  Let’s just hope the Dolphins are not still hung over their horrible loss to the Saints last week.

Good Luck Everyone!!

Ivan