jfio626's Blog

Posted Thursday, March 29, 2012 12:35 AM

3/29/12

Welcome back, gentlemen.  I hope everyone is as excited as I am to get back to the grind that is betting baseball day in and day out. 

YTD: 0-0 (0 units)

Oakland -110 (1 unit)

BOL to everyone this season, hope you all have a productive year.


Posted Monday, December 26, 2011 06:53 PM

12/26

YTD: 0-0
Sides: 0-0
Totals: 0-0
Team Totals: 0-0
ML Parlays: 0-0

2.5 units
Hornets/Suns Over 192

1 unit 
Magic -6.5
Nuggets/Mavs Over 201.5
Lakers -3
Wizards TT Over 96.5

ML Parlay: Saints/Bucks/Bulls 1 unit to win 1.7

Season W/L Totals (all to win 2 units):
Bobcats Under 16.5
Bulls Over 47.5
T-Wolves Over 23.5

BOL fellas



Posted Tuesday, December 20, 2011 06:17 PM

12/20/11

Starting fresh with some posted plays.  Let's see how this works out, trying to set a weekly goal of +5.0 units.

Week to date: 0-0
YTD: 0-0

12/20/11

Samford/UK Over 135 (3.5 units)
St. Bonnie -2 (1 unit)
Northeastern -2 (1 unit)
Evansville +6.5 (1 unit)
Ark-LR +14.5 (1 unit)
IPFW +22 (1 unit)
Bucknell +11 1H (1 unit)
Wright St +2.5 (1 unit)

Parlay - Evansville ML/Wright St ML/UK Over 135 (0.7 to win 7)

BOL fellas 


Posted Friday, September 30, 2011 04:08 PM

MLB Playoffs

Record: 0-0

TB/Tex Under 8 -115 (to win 1.5)
Tigers +115 (risking 1.5)

BOL fellas 



Posted Monday, September 12, 2011 06:26 PM

Monday 9/12

YTD: 7-3-1 +2.9 units
4-3-1, - 3.6 units yesterday.  Big play on the Titans came back to bite me in the ass. 2 for the early game:

Pats -6.5 (-125) (to win 3 units)
Green-Ellis Over 60.5 rush yds (-115) (to win 2)

BOL fellas 




Posted Sunday, September 11, 2011 11:10 AM

Sunday 9/11

YTD: 3-0 (+6.5 units)

Big night Thursday with the over basically cashing at the half, the Saints' big comeback to hit the 2H, and Brees easily hitting 278 yards. Lets try to keep it going Sunday.

Titans -1 (5 units)
Eagles/Rams Over 44 (3 units)
Lions/Bucs Over 43.5 (2.5 units)
Steelers PK (2.5 units)
49ers -5.5 (2 units)
Vikings/Chargers O42 (3 units)
Michael Turner Over 72.5 rush yds (-125) (1.5 units)

Season W/L Totals
Cowboys Over 9 (+125) (3 to win 3.8)
Redskins Under 6.5 (-140) (4.2 to win 3)
Vikings Over 7 (-130) (3.9 to win 3)

BOL as always fellas, and thoughts and prayers go out to those affected by the tragedy 10 years ago today. 





Posted Thursday, September 08, 2011 07:53 PM

Thursday Plays

YTD: 0-0

Saints/Pack Over 47.5 (4 units)
Brees over 277.5 yds (1.5 units)

BOL fellas 


Posted Thursday, September 01, 2011 05:04 PM

College Football Kickoff

Two plays for opening night, will be in attendance in Nashville and I don't think we'll see any shortage of points.  Not really sure why the line is moving against me today, but I'll gladly take the two extra points.
UK/WKU Over 48.5 (8 units)Mississippi St -28 B1/2  (2.5 units)
Season W/LUK Over 6 Wins -175 (5 units)Basically this bet hinges on the Cats to take care of business in the non-conference and beat the teams it should in the SEC.  The Cats have managed 5 straight bowl trips, with only one of those last 5 seasons ending with only 6 wins.  UK has also not lost a non-conference game since 2006, so if that trend can continue, and with this schedule it definitely should, this bet will basically hinge on a 2-6 conference record for a push.  Louisville is always a test as the in-state rival, but UK has owned this series the last 4 meetings and the Cats catch them at home this year in week 3.  Certain games I am just chalking up as losses already (@LSU, @USC more than likely), but Florida could be vulnerable this year and UK catches them at home as well.  Overall, I don't see worse than a 6-6 record, so I don't mind laying the heavy juice and hope for a surprising win along they way that should cash this futures bet.
BOL fellas ... [More]

Posted Friday, August 26, 2011 05:37 PM

Friday, August 26th Action

0-0 since taking a couple of months of to regroup.  Let's see if I can finish the stretch run on a good note.

Braves -140 (to win 3 units)
Red Sox -150 (to win 3)
Brewers/Cubs Over 9 -105 (to win 2)

NFL-X: Pack/Colts U41.5 (to win 1.5)

BOL fellas


Posted Friday, April 08, 2011 05:00 PM

Friday, April 8th

1-0 last night with the DET/BAL O9 cashing.

Three plays for tonight, all for one unit:

HOU -103
COL/PIT O8 -105
PHI/ATL 1st 5 U3.5 -115

Still looking over Seattle, love that spot for them, so if these games go well I'll be putting in a Mariners bet as well.  BOL fellas.





Posted Thursday, April 07, 2011 07:02 PM

Thirsty Thursday

Just one play tonight, nothing on the afternoon card really jumped out.

DET/BAL Over 9 (-105)  - 1.5 units

After what I saw from Penny the first time out, I've decided to either fade the Tigers when he's on the hill or take the over.  While the short price on the O's seems tempting, I'm just not buying into them just yet.  A road sweep to start the season is always nice, but I can't think of many teams in the majors that wouldn't be sweeping the Rays at this point.  Tillman is going to be a quality major league starter for a long time IMO, but he was inconsistent last year, particularly throwing strikes.  He has walked 3 or more in 5 of his last 7 starts dating back to last year, so if the big bats for Detroit can scratch a couple of these free passes across, Brad Penny's gas can of a right arm should take care of the rest.  BOL fellas.



Posted Monday, April 04, 2011 07:26 AM

Marathon - Day 5

Will update the record later today.


ATL/MIL O9

STL -1.5 (+135) - Straight fade of Morton.

BOL fellas. 


Posted Saturday, April 02, 2011 11:45 AM

Marathon - Day 3

YTD: 2-2 (-0.15 units)
Totals: 1-2
Sides: 1-0

Juiced out two days in a row.  Oakland errors killed any hope of that under last night.  Bigger card for me today, all for 1 unit.

ATL -150
SF -112
DET +157
TB -1.5 +115
NYM/FLA O8

Pending:
Milwaukee Brewers Over 85.5 Wins (4 units)


Posted Friday, April 01, 2011 06:03 PM

Marathon - Day 2

YTD: 1-1 (0.00 units)

SEA/OAK U6.5  (1 unit)

Rangers -107 pending, wasn't able to post earlier

Pending:
Milwaukee Brewers Over 85.5 Wins (4 units)


Posted Thursday, March 31, 2011 11:54 AM

Marathon - Day 1

Slow and steady wins the race.

ATL/WAS Under 8.5 (1 unit)

BOL fellas 

Pending:
Milwaukee Brewers Over 85.5 Wins (4 units)





Posted Wednesday, March 16, 2011 04:32 PM

Tournament(s) Thread

Overall Goal: 15 units 

Trying to take this slow and build a little bankroll going into baseball season.  BOL to everyone for these tournaments, let's end the year on a good note.


Wednesday, March 16
UT-SA ML -150 (to win 1.5 units)
USC/VCU Over 128 (1.5 units)
Texas Souther/Colorado Over 144.5 (1 unit)





Posted Wednesday, January 12, 2011 06:54 PM

1/12/11

Weekly Goal: +5 units

DAY 1: 4-5-1, -0.25 units

Card so far:
Louisville/Nova Over 150 (2 units)
Pitt/G-Town Over 65 1H (1.5 units)
G-Town -3
Syracuse -3 (-105)
Mizzou -11


Posted Tuesday, January 11, 2011 06:36 PM

1/11/11

Failed miserably in my first week to reach my goal of +7.5 units for the week, so I'm going to scale it back to clearing 5 units over the next seven days.  Just not in a good groove right now at all.

Card so far:
MSU/Wisky Under 56.5 1H
UK/Auburn Over 64.5 1H
UK -24
Texas Tech +7


Posted Saturday, January 08, 2011 02:26 AM

1/8/10 Make or Break Saturday - HUGE Card

Weekly Goal: +7.5 unitsDAY 1: 2-4-1, -2.95 unitsDAY 2: 5-6, -4.1 units DAY 3: 5-2, +1.6 unitsDAY 4: 6-3. +0.9 units
11-5 over the last 2 days, but missing every single multi-unit play  I put it, which couldn't be more frustrating.  I'm having my first big play of 2011 going today in NCAAF, but I'm also trying to find 5-7 hoops plays to throw in as well.  These are some initial leans I have going over this huge card, I'm gonna look over things again in the morning to see if anything else jumps out at me:
Morehead -18: Jacksonville State is just dreadful, Morehead should be able to name their score in this one.
Loyola Marymount -12.5: I might auto-fade SD the rest of the season, or at least until they prove they can cover a spread.
G-Town/WVU U144:  Only once in the past 10 meetings have these two combined for this number, and only one other time have they reached 130.  Basically it's always been a slugfest between these two teams, and I'll bank on the early start time adding a few more bricks to this contest.
Washington -20:  Played this exact same spread against Oregon Thursday night and got burned by a last minute 3.  I'm not sure how the injury to Gaddy is going to affect the Huskies in the short-term, but this Oregon State team has been horrendous on the road this season.  I'll probably bite again and see if U-Dub can cover 3 TD's this time around.
E. Illinois +1: The Panthers have won 5 straight against S... [More]

Posted Friday, January 07, 2011 07:24 PM

1/7/11

Weekly Goal: +7.5 units
DAY 1: 2-4-1, -2.95 units
DAY 2: 5-6, -4.1 units 
DAY 3: 5-2, +1.6 units

A little late posting, but only 2 NCAAB plays for tonight:

Butler -6
Siena +2

Probably gonna be on LSU and the under for the bowl game, as well as the Suns in the NBA.



Posted Thursday, January 06, 2011 01:32 AM

1-6-11 Early Leans/Plays

Weekly Goal: +7.5 unitsDAY 1: 2-4-1, -2.95 unitsDAY 2: 5-6, -4.1 units  
Time to turn this shit around.  Going against my original plan to limit plays, and it's just the second day in .  Some early leans for Thursday's card:
Xavier +9 - I was shocked to see Cincy laying this many in such a heated rivalry game.  I know they're undefeated and have blown out pretty much everyone on their schedule, but that schedule is 336th in the country (compared to X's 29th ranked schedule).  There hasn't been a true blowout in this series since '01, so I'll gladly take the points with a much more battle-tested team.  Also, possible look-ahead to Nova for Cincy, although I don't think that will factor much with it being such a heated rivalry game.
Washington -22 - Oregon is just a bad, bad, bad team.  I made a mental note to look for this matchup after watching Mizzou and Oregon play earlier this year.  Oregon looked completely lost in the up-tempo pace the Tigers played, and if not for a ridiculous shooting second half, they would have gotten run out of the gym.  Luckily, Washington isn't coming off of an overtime game with Georgetown like Missouri was, and I expect them to put a serious drubbing on the Ducks tomorrow night.
Pepperdine -9 - See Ducks, Oregon.




... [More]

Posted Wednesday, January 05, 2011 01:12 AM

1/5/11 Early Leans w/write-ups

WEEK GOAL: +7.5 UNITSDay 1:  2-4-1, -2.95 units
Still stinging from missing out on 2.5 units by pushing the bowl game, can't get over the fact that they don't return the blocked punt instead of falling on the damn thing.  Doing some research for tomorrow's games a little early, here are some initial leans, gonna narrow it down to 3-5 plays tomorrow.
UAB/Duke Over 140.5 - I really like the Blue Devils to bounce back after their lowest point total of the season Sunday against Miami.  Even in that contest, they still hung 74 and won comfortably.  UAB allows an impressive 58.6 PPG, but looking at this stat further, it comes against the 315th ranked offensive SOS.  Basically they're playing good D against bad O, and this definitely won't be the case in Cameron.
Seton Hall/Louisville Over 139.5 - Over the last 4 seasons, these two teams' matchups have averaged 165 PPG. While SHU is only averaging 69 points a contest, their tempo is 65th in the country, so they won't be afraid to get into the track meet that Ricky and the Cards will try to play.  Like Duke, I'm banking on UoL to bounce back off of a low-scoring affair in their last contest.
Ole Miss -6 - This lean is based largely on SMU's PATHETIC schedule so far this season.  Wayland Baptist, Central Arkansas, McMurry, Dallas Christian, Alabama State, just to name a few.  In fact, Kenpom has SMU's schedule 344th in the country.  Out of 345 teams. Hopefully the athletes from ... [More]

Posted Tuesday, January 04, 2011 03:43 PM

1/4/11 - Time to start the resolution

One of the many New Year's resolutions for me is to really work on my money management and limiting my plays (much easier said than done), so I'm gonna see how long I can keep that up in 2011.  My main goal for the new year is to try to turn a profit on a week-by-week basis instead of just focusing on the long-term gain.  For the next few weeks, I'm gonna keep my weekly goal small and see if I can't find a little success before increasing what I'm shooting for. 

Week 1 Goal:  7.5 units

Day 1 plays:
NCAAB
Creighton +1
tOSU/Iowa O135.5

NBA
OKC -1
TOR/CHI U199.5

NCAAF
tOSU/ARK O56.5 (to win 2.5 units)

BOL fellas  




Posted Saturday, December 18, 2010 12:05 PM

Bowl Thread - Goal: 10 units

Posting all of my plays this bowl season in one thread, and as the title says, I'm trying to clear 10 units over the next month.  Much easier said than done, but I think it's definitely manageable.  Onto Day 1:

UTEP +11 (-106) (1.5 units)
Fresno +1.5 (1 unit)
Troy -2 (-115)   (1 unit)

BOL everyone, I hope you all have a profitable bowl season and happy holidays.  


Posted Thursday, November 25, 2010 11:10 AM

Marathon - Day 10

YTD: 34-30-2 overall, -3.15 unitsSides: 20-17Totals: 3-4-11H total: 7-4-11H side: 1-12H total: 0-32H side: 1-0ML: 1-1ML Parlay: 0-1
UK ML really killed me last night, but not much to do but try and turn it around today.  Some plays and thoughts before I head out for the afternoon:
TA&MU/BC Over 63 1H - Hate going against the early morning under trend, but I think this one is a couple buckets too low.  The Aggies have scored 52, 41, and 39 in their 3 1st halves this year.  I usually hate taking BC totals because so much of it hinges on how well they shoot out of the flex offense they run, but I see these two teams pushing close to 70 after 20 minutes.
BC +7 - Not gonna be a popular pick on the board, but that's part of the reason I like the play.  After a SU loss to Yale earlier in the season, you'll be hard-pressed to find many people rushing to back the Eagles,  but I think this is a good spot for them.  I expect a big game out of Reggie Jackson, and I wouldn't be surprised if they take this one SU.
Wisconsin -20 - I haven't taken too many big favorites this year, but I really like this Badger team.  I feel that they're gonna be the forgotten team in the Big Ten this season with all the love for Sparty and OSU, but Wisky will be right in the mix come March.  The combination of Taylor and Lauer will be tough for Manhattan to contain.
UGA +7 - Gonna wait on this one, but I think the Dawgs have the athletes to keep this... [More]

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User: jfio626
Joined: November 2007
Location: Kentucky
Team: Kentucky Wildcats
Occupation: Student

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