Weekly Goal: +7.5 units
DAY 1: 2-4-1, -2.95 units
DAY 2: 5-6, -4.1 units
DAY 3: 5-2, +1.6 units
DAY 4: 6-3. +0.9 units
11-5 over the last 2 days, but missing every single multi-unit play I put it, which couldn't be more frustrating. I'm having my first big play of 2011 going today in NCAAF, but I'm also trying to find 5-7 hoops plays to throw in as well. These are some initial leans I have going over this huge card, I'm gonna look over things again in the morning to see if anything else jumps out at me:
Morehead -18: Jacksonville State is just dreadful, Morehead should be able to name their score in this one.
Loyola Marymount -12.5: I might auto-fade SD the rest of the season, or at least until they prove they can cover a spread.
G-Town/WVU U144: Only once in the past 10 meetings have these two combined for this number, and only one other time have they reached 130. Basically it's always been a slugfest between these two teams, and I'll bank on the early start time adding a few more bricks to this contest.
Washington -20: Played this exact same spread against Oregon Thursday night and got burned by a last minute 3. I'm not sure how the injury to Gaddy is going to affect the Huskies in the short-term, but this Oregon State team has been horrendous on the road this season. I'll probably bite again and see if U-Dub can cover 3 TD's this time around.
E. Illinois +1: The Panthers have won 5 straight against SEMO, by an average margin of 18.8 PPG. The last 3 times these two have met in the Show Me Center, EIU has won by 26, 20, and 20 points. I'll put my money on this trend continuing tomorrow.
Tennessee PK: I think this team may have found itself a little bit in the throttling of Memphis earlier this week. Arkansas is coming off of a thrashing of its own in Austin, and while this will be the first game of Pearl's suspension, I think the Vols may play with a little bit more fire with their coach being out.
UK 1H -4: Georgia hasn't played in 8 days, and the Cats have had pretty good success in Athens over the years. I also think the NCAA's ruling of Kanter being ineligible (AGAIN) may light a fire for the Cats tomorrow, at least early on. (May play the full game instead, depending on where the line ends up.)
Mizzou -4: This will probably be my biggest play of the day. I love backing this Tiger team, especially as short favorites, and this looks like a great spot to take them. Mizzou has won 8 straight in the series, with 7 of those wins coming by an average of 19 PPG (the 8th was a 4 point W). The Tigers have owned the series, and I'm not scared in the slightest of Colorado's undefeated home record, especially when I look at the teams they've beaten in Boulder.
K-State/OSU Over 136: Gut play, but I think this one will be a shootout and come down to FT's in the final minutes.
Nebraska -2.5: Classic lookahead spot for Iowa State with Kansas and Baylor coming to town in the next two games. I'll take the Huskers as a short home fave who has won 10 straight.
Gonna try to narrow these down tomorrow and possible add some others as I come across them. I'm hammering (for me, 5 units) the Pitt/UK over in the bowl game - our defense is atrocious, plain and simple, and Dion Lewis might go for 200. The Pitt coaching situation scares me a little bit, which is why I'm gonna sprinkle a couple units on the Cats +4 as well, but I really see this game in the 60s when it's said and done. Also playing the SEA/NO over 45 in the NFL, as well as the Colts more than likely.
BOL to everyone, and thoughts/comments are much appreciated.