jimmydafreak's Blog

Posted Thursday, November 03, 2011 08:40 AM

Darth Saban vs. The Mad Hatter

In the sea of opinions out there on tv and the internet, I’m not sure anyone really cares about mine, but I’ll give it to you anyhow.

I love how both fan bases are so confident their team will win.  That’s exactly how it should be.  The shit-talking before the game is half the fun.

I have been posting about this game on Blankets since January when I did a fairly detailed preview of both Alabama and LSU.  I said back then that Alabama and LSU would be the best two teams in college football.  I said this game would pretty much be the “Game of the Year,” and that it would decide the SEC & national championship.  I reiterated that in my Alabama pre-season write-up.  Thus, the magnitude of this game has not taken me by surprise in the least.  I’ve also been consistent in saying that I think with this game being played at Bryant-Denny Stadium, you have to give the edge to the Crimson Tide here.

I will not delve into statistics because stats are like bikinis; what they reveal is interesting, but what they conceal is vital.  Once you jump into the stats rabbit hole, you can never get out.  It provokes endless and pointless debates about how this team has faced better defenses and that team has face better offenses yada, yada, yada.  I think we all know that the stats are very even acros... [More]

Posted Wednesday, August 31, 2011 01:58 PM

Weather update for BYU and Utah State backers

We are expecting record-breaking triple digit temperatures along with stifling humidity on Saturday.

For me personally I think Auburn will move from the no-play column to the play column.  This will be strictly a heat play for me.

The heat will also effect the Kent State/Alabama game.

If nothing else, consider 2nd half plays on the southern teams.

Posted Wednesday, August 24, 2011 09:11 AM

2011 Alabama Preseason Assessment

I always like to wait until I watch Alabama’s last scrimmage of the year before I do my annual write-up.  That allows me to deliver the most accurate and up-to-date information possible.  If at any time throughout the season you have any questions about this team, or a wager concerning this team, please feel free to ask.  I’ll do my best to answer your question(s), and point you in the right direction.

I apologize in advance if this season’s annual preseason write-up reads like a Billy Mays infomercial, but this 2011 Alabama team really has no weakness.  How far this team goes will be determined by their discipline, unity and team leadership.  Talent will not be an issue.

I feel pretty comfortable in saying that Alabama is the deepest and most talented team in the country.  The amount of talent that Saban has amassed in a few short years is simply staggering.  Some of you may recall that the 2007 team (Saban’s first season at Alabama) made history when not a single player on the roster was drafted by a NFL team.  On the other hand, all 11 defensive starters and at least 8 out of 11 offensive starters on the 2011 team will have NFL futures.  But Alabama’s talent pipeline doesn’t end at the 22 starters.  Because of the exceptional talent that Saban has accumulated over the last several years, they also have amazing depth at every position.  Personnel-wise Alabama is at the point where they could suffer a ... [More]

Posted Sunday, December 27, 2009 07:38 PM

Why Alabama is the pick in championship game

In my pre-season VT/Bama write-up, I said that Bama would be a much better team this season than last even though the pre-season magazines and most people were predicting otherwise.  I also predicted that Bama would win the SEC West, beat Florida in the SECCG, and go on to beat the Big 12 champion in the national title game.  Many laughed, but here we are.

First I would like to say that even though I’ve done quite a bit of statistical analysis on both teams, statistics won’t be the basis for this write-up.  I will include some of what I’ve done in other posts in this thread for those who are interested.  But statistics in bowl games are largely irrelevant IMO because bowl games are always out-of-conference games and each conference is really a league unto itself.  In this case Texas plays in the Big 12 and Bama in the SEC, and those to conferences are very different in the way they approach and play football.  Instead, I will focus more on how I think these teams matchup, and what effect I believe these matchups will have on the outcome of this game.  See also my thread on ”Why You Shouldn’t Bet Against the SEC in Bowl Games.”


Before I do so however, I just want to make the point that the best and most consiste... [More]

Posted Monday, December 07, 2009 09:36 AM

Why You Shouldn't Bet Against the SEC in Bowl Season

This is a tried and true method for winning money betting on bowl games year in and year out, and I've used this theory successfully for almost 20 years.  My theory is that you NEVER bet against SEC teams.  Now I'm not advocating that you blindly bet on every SEC team (even though you would make money if you did so), but you should be betting on most of them.  The lines, the motivation of the teams invovled, and other intangibles should guide your final decision making process.

The SEC has 10 teams playing in bowl games and they probably won't lose more than two of them.

Here is why I believe this strategy is successful EVERY year.

Let's start at the beginning.  For the SEC, it all starts with recruiting.  This year's recruiting rankings are very typical of what you see every year  There are 6 SEC teams ranked in the top 9 nationally.

Now imagine if you're Mark Richt at Georgia and you have the nation's 9th best recruiting class.  That sounds great until you realize that you have the 6th best recruiting class in your own conference!!!  The point is the SEC has the best athletes in the country, and more of them.  That is a plain and simple fact, and if you want to win money, you need to understand this.

My second point is this.  If you've ever played sports, you know that when you play against top-notch competition, it pushes you to get better and play your best.  SEC teams... [More]

Posted Saturday, December 05, 2009 08:57 AM

Tebow Drinking Game!!!

I'm not the author of this, but I thought it was too hiilarious not to share.

In honor of Tebow's sheer awesomeness, we give you the Tebow SEC Championship Drinking Game!

* Drink every time Tebow is called "a warrior." Bonus chug if any of your friends sing the first two lines of Scandal's opus "I am a warrior" and change the lyrics to "Tebow is..." Dance, Tebow, you magnificent *******.

* Drink every time Tebow's called "a leader," then salute.

* Drink every time Tebow's called a "special athlete," then yell "Tiiiimmmmmmmmay!"

* Finish your drink if the announcers suggest Tebow should win the Heisman again this year.

* Drink every time Tebow points to the sky. Then realize the only reason the sky hasn't fallen is the strength of his pointing.

* Drink every time Tebow references God. Or himself. Tom-A-to. Tom-ah-to.

* Drink every time he's shown on the sidelines flapping his arms like a bird (or an idiot) to pump up the crowd.

* If (when) Tebow actually takes flight, finish your drink and do a shot.

* Drink every time Tebow's on camera for no reason when the Florida defense is on the field.

* Drink every time Tebow is seen screaming with his helmet off.

* Drink every time they show a "I Heart Tebow" sign in the stands.

* Drink every time you see a Florida fan in jorts. (Small sips on this one. Otherwise it could kill you).

* Shot every time they mention his e... [More]


User: jimmydafreak
Joined: October 2003
Location: United States
Team: Alabama Crimson Tide
Occupation: Information Technology

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